When asked to explain what my method is for investment winning over the years I have often equated picking stocks to predicting songs rising on the hit list.
You might hear a song for the first time and think, that’s catchy.. I think it will grow on me. It’s the same thing with stocks and their stories. ‘That’s very interesting. Sounds like amazing potential I want to learn more’. Then you think about the boxes it checks
I think about people of all ages/generations and try to imagine what they will think. Like when I first heard ‘old town road’. It checked so many boxes to cover all ages and worked for the hip hop crowd to the country lovers. Mass appeal
I have often got into winning investments because I feel they are prime to rise in popularity.
Best wins come when U can correctly predict something will go from hated/ignored to loved/cherished/appreciated. Finding a story barely covered and predicting the move to front page
And being prepared to sell because enough of the public see or think like you. I’ve always found picking upturns relatively easy. The hardest part is staying with a theme that has real legs. This commodity bull will be tricky
The economy will at times be rocky. But we all must focus on the underlying demand for ‘stuff’, that the entire world has, combined with the willingness of governments to print fiat money to achieve growth and maintain political favour
All politicians have been trained now that the public sector generally wants printing. We want full employment, if their is a slow down or a rise in joblessness we demand our leaders immediately ‘do something’
There is zero doubt in my mind that popular opinion will continue to push for printing away every problem. We are on a path to high inflation or even perhaps hyperinflation in many parts is the word. Money creation is the main tool and it will be used again again
Utilized until the tool is broken. Until the public cries out against it. That will only come when inflation hurts. It will be a time when bonds are loathed and popular opinion is that if your in cash or low interest instruments your guaranteed to lose.
Trillions in savings erroneously ‘stored in bonds’ will be released. The savers of the world will attempt to get a claim on assets that protect them from inflation. New financial products will continue to be created and consumed by a public looking for inflation protection
Hoarding via financial products will drive prices higher and create a feed back loop. The more prices rise the more people will see to escape low yielding bond funds in an attempt to preserve wealth.
Buying begets buying. Prices rises create demand. Fiat is trash and our faith in our leaders, system and policies will erode. You will want to be on the right side or this trade. Either that or see your savings get smoked in real terms
Commodities have never been cheaper vs paper. It’s truly another popular delusion. The madness of the our crowd will soon turn on the fiat paper currencies and the bullshit crypto crap. Both instruments are nothing more that a game of musical chairs
No one owns paper money or crypto garbage cause it can be consumed or enjoyed. Soon people will come to understand that you either have claims on real stuff or your ‘wealth’ is parked in some worthless ponzi paper backed by nothing.
There soon will come a time when too many people are looking for an actual seat but the chair owners aren’t willing to give up their spots for some ponzi paper or crypto delusion
The hard asset owners are about to make a glorious comeback and it’s gonna get crazy
The more you understand all the various investment styles that the financial community employ the easier it becomes to get in early on investment themes that will have growing universal appeal and result in maximum gains. #uranium
Investing in #uranium already checks so many boxes for all sorts of investors and the best part is that larger funds will enter the space as share prices rise and the liquidity / market cap invest-ability box is finally checked for them.
Also we’ve slowly seen banks and brokers ‘invest’ in covering #uranium companies. This will make it ‘easier’ for the lazy fund managers out there to get up to speed and begin taking positions in stocks.
The brokers all abandon coverage because there was no volume in the stocks and no capital flowing into the space for them to generate commissions and get a return on their cost of paying analysts to cover the space. It’s starting to look like a profitable investment to some
It starts with the smaller ‘boutique’ firms and will eventually move to the larger banks and brokerages.
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Upc upsides their deal to $70mm and it resulted in a plus $1/lb #uranium price jump as predicted. Will end up being close to $2 from the day before to the day after when it’s done.
I’ve read some commentary from brokerages and investors now reluctantly entering the #uranium space now for the first time this cycle.
I say reluctantly because the commentary is not overly bullish yet, which is great for us long term investors.
So many have missed the boat
For many years #uranium followers have heard the bear case that resulted from the Japanese and others curtailing nuclear plants and reducing demand. But that’s now being more than offset with modern new builds that consume greater amounts per facility
Another thing to consider about the #uranium gobbling that’s about to happen when Uranium Participation Corp dual lists (TSX and adding NYSE) is that not only is the US market 13 times bigger than the Canadian market but the US Market is double what it was last cycle ($30t now)
So last cycle upc grew with its launch and its post ipo stock issuance to consume over ~25mm lbs equivalent of #uranium
Fuel buyers, miners, those in the market buying today like CCO need to ask themselves how much will it consume now?
Once listed on the NYSE it will be accessible to a market more than 25 times larger than last cycle and now with Robinhood traders that irrationally enjoy squeezing single stocks like $gme to $20b plus.
Seeing as I believe the #uranium price is gonna rip shortly. I want some torque. Along with having some micro cap like $vui.v I decided to buy some $mga.to I hadn’t looked at it much at all this cycle but was put onto it by my old buddy Matt!
$mga is an interesting little #uranium play / company as they own close to ~$90mln with of $NXE but thier market cap is only ~$70mln they have some other small investments but several interesting deposits that in all honesty I haven’t done much work on yet.
But both its cap and share price are small and it’s just nuts to see a uranium junior trading below the value of their investment in another quality senior uranium company that I also own and like.
So, here is my thoughts on why today’s news of Sprott taking over management of Uranium Participation Corp will light this market on fire and ultimately help drive the price of #uranium much higher and faster than most realize.
As a bit of history, I’m the guy who actually conceived of uranium participation corp back in the mid 2000’s (over a sushi lunch) in the year leading up to that lunch I had aggressively pitched Eric Sprott on going big in uranium stocks and predicted a move from $11/lb to $140/lb
I had got the $140/lb simply as the inflation adjusted price from the 70’s uranium bull market and over that year we had bought 20% of most uranium juniors and a decent chunk of Cameco. We also invested in a few privates and helped some shell companies acquire uranium assets
Today $SRHI completed its move to the TSX.V and I thought I’d share some exploration and production thoughts I’ve had as I’ve gone through the technical reports and discussed the asset with my mining contacts and why I think it’s the cheapest #copper producer and explorer around
From the technical report there is in excess of 100 occurances appear similar on their land holdings #copper#exploration#10bagger
Vale was responsible for nearly all the historical drilling and it as totally concentrated on the two deposits that were quickly discovered in the very early days of Vale’s exploration of Tres Valles. #copper#buymore
Gonna be some serious FOMO in #copper as it seems certain to take out it’s all time high. These stories I’m reading about no smelter margins and tightness in concentrate leads me to think the ATH in copper will be taken out in short order. Days or weeks at most
I’m in pretty deep but fomo added to some more this morning myself.
I just keep thinking there is obviously a fundamental change occurring in the #copper market here. The EV transformational demand coming through and this is pre the infrastructure bill.
I think copper will be $8-10/lb in couple years. Will take a serious spike as well as the belief that it’s gonna stay high to curtail enough demand. I’m with @METhompson72 that demand will have to killed to with high prices to balance the copper market