5/ They can say that because their partner is the IDC.
"The IDC also has important stakeholder linkages with the South African government, regulators and utilities and other key players that are necessary to provide a catalytic stimulus for the energy storage industry."
6/ Given my findings yesterday, it looks very much like the IDC are underwriting the debt required to build the mini-grid at Vametco.
That's buy-in to the tech.
So if the door is to be opened then they've certainly acquired the right key.
7/ There are two angles here. Eskom and S.A. private industry.
If in tendering for the Eskom BESS the vanadium rental option is on the table then not only is Eskom potentially being offered the most appropriate tech for their chosen applications but also a means to finance it..
8/ at a far lower cost to lithium-ion.
Vanadium electrolyte forms c. 35% of the cost of the battery. By renting that element (something lithium-ion cannot offer because it degrades over time), Eskom can improve its RE input efficiencies and save money at the same time.
9/ If an S.A based third party institution were available to carry the risk of the vanadium cost and rent it back to Eskom, then the offering takes on even more meaning.
Over on the industrial side of things the same rental product surely must be very attractive.
10/ As Mr Nikomarov points out Eskom power generation is still very dirty. That makes their operations dirty and acts as a hindrance in a world market that more and more is seeking cleaner carbon emission friendly purchasing.
11/ To this can be added the burden of loadshedding and lost production.
Whether S.A. miners like it or not they cannot avoid the changes taking place in the world forever.
Attitudes are changing at a pace.
12/ That's why the Vametco mini-grid is so important in demonstrating the tech + its benefits to other similar operations.
Having the IDC at its back only makes it all the more compelling.
So two angles that whilst taking longer to come to fruition are very much in still play.
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2/ Here now is the same historical V205 price chart marked up at $9 per lb.
Upon hitting $9 per lb the only time since 1980 that the V205 price has not gone on to spike to at least $11.50 per lb was in 2006/07 but it was coming off a downtrend.
3/ on all other occasions, the price continued higher because such pricing demonstrates a tight market is in play.
On a simple comparison to FeV that equates to a $50 per kg market.
Yes, we need more information on Europe/US prices.
2/ That's now well above my $8 per lb rising trend break out point.
More importantly,
"People in the market has high enthusiasm for inquiries, and big factory is expected to adjust June V2O5 flake next week, and their wait-and-see sentiment increases."
3/ As I have said previously the big factories in China are key here as they produce the vast majority of Chinese V205.
B. 25.25% ownership in Enerox who's 2020 contract wins were c. 65% of what IES achieved and will hold $30m for expansion to production twice the size of IES.
2/ C. 55% ownership of a 200MWh electrolyte plant under construction with the IDC of S.A.
D. Mini-grid project under construction at Vametco in partnership with the IDC with potential to open up localised VRFB production and industrial opportunity.
3/ E. Actively tendering for Eskom BESS projects totalling c. 1,440MWh with the battery tender element valued by the World Bank at $468m.
F. First active vanadium rental product in play with a UK client.
2/ The IDC is a national development finance institution.
So give that the IDC state involvement in the mini-grid and the actual debt element appears to have come from a French Development Bank, then perhaps their role is as the underwriter.
3/ If so then that demonstrates significant confidence in the product, the BE team, the future market and the relationship.
With everything I've discussed today in mind the following statement from the Q1 2020 update is all the more intriguing,
2/ Page 44 deals with the business activities of the New Industries unit.
What is interesting is on addition to the electrolyte plant they are clearly also the funder for the Vametco mini-grid which is currently awaiting license sign off from the regulator.
3/ So not only are they backing electrolyte but also the project that BMN describe in their 11th Nov 2020 RNS as,
"one of the first solar generation project with long-duration storage to be financed, off-balance-sheet in Africa."