Alastair Thompson Profile picture
May 22, 2021 16 tweets 13 min read Read on X
This morning's rainfall forecast is actually last nights (I am in the process of moving - a bit stretched. There is a lot going on.

Here we see the ongoing impacts of a #WestAfricaWaterPlume coming into the Middle East and 2 large storms, one over Syria and one over Medina
Here are last night's 10-day rainfall forecasts for North Africa which are nothing short of astonishing with respect especially to what is expected in #Algeria and #Mauritania. The largest forecast #DesertRain event to date.
This animation is from the is morning and shows the current status of both #WestAfricanMonsoon events. The Plume directed at the #MiddleEast is continuing and the one in the west Sahara is strengthening.
This animation shows the #MiddleEast stream yesterday morning, a little bit later in the morning.
This animation CMC model shows the next three days of activity in the West Sahara as modeled. If you look closely you can also see the activity over Chad and the Sudan directed at the #MiddleEast and the comparative size of the events is obvious.
But it doesn't stop there. This animation shows the remainder of the week and through next weekend. Note that the CMC is the most bullish of the models when it comes to this phenomena. Both about the strength of the plume and its resulting #DesertRain impacts.
Rain forecasts.

Here are the10-Day forecasts for the #HornOfAfrica #Ethiopia and the Blue and White #NileBasin.
.. and their three day counterparts. The skies are relatively clear over the area today providing possibly some needed respite from the massive levels of precipitation since April 13th.
These images from yesterday show the extent of growth underway in Eastern Ethiopia Sudan and South Sudan.
This image shows the same areas in January for comparison.
Moving to the Middle East here are last night's 10-day rainfall forecasts. The KMA model seems to be the first to be incorporating the #WestAfricaWaterPlume impact.
And here are the longer range forecasts. Again so far only the KMA is capturing the reality on the ground. And the impact seems to be mainly in the north of the #MiddleEast over the Levant. and Iraq.
Moving further east all the models are now in agreement about the arrival of a #BayOfBengal Tropical Storm mid next week over the Ganges Delta.
This animation from this morning shows the two active cyclone formation areas one in the Bay of Bengal which shows #Invest93B which has now strengthened from a disturbance to a depression.

You can follow the storm in real time via @zoom_earth here >> zoom.earth/storms/93b-202…
Here are this mornings 10 day rainfall expectations for the area from the latest model runs. Note however that the predictions around the strength of #Tauktae fell significantly short of the reality. So people in the region should be planning for a possible catastrophic landfall.
ENDS/

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More from @althecat

Sep 10
At this point following the Qatar obscenity Israel is now breaking the internet and the world.

something decisive is needed to break Israel - a peaceful action that will work and show the world that justice still exists and that peace is possible.
A wise friend proposed a brilliant idea. Every nation on earth which is willing and able should send a frigate to the Mediterranean Sea and take a message to Israel that it cannot ignore.
The foundations of the United Nations itself are now crumbling under the weight of the Gaza Obscenity and nations like Britain that seem to have been turned are facing protest and resistance of epic proportions from their citizens.

The center cannot hold.
Read 5 tweets
Sep 4
I’ll be posting videos and news here on Twitter from the flotilla which is about to depart from Majorca for Tunis on the first leg of the journey to Gaza.
More boats are expected to join the flotilla from Europe and North Africa along the way as it moves west across the Mediterranean. @GretaThunberg is making the voyage again and Israel will not be able to contain or stop this flotilla most likely. And definitely not the publicity.
This first video is of a wind squall hitting one of the boats as it departs Barcelona.
Read 13 tweets
Aug 10
Netanyahu has proposed a pathway to end the war in Gaza under pressure primarily from the U.S. UK, France & Germany. Spain and Ireland and several other European nations & the European Commission.

LIVE: PM Netanyahu Holds a Press conference youtube.com/live/1ebXvF9MO…
The @israelipm sounds defeated. Hopefully this is the beginning of the end. The deal being offered to Gaza is far from perfect but it sounds workable in Netanyahus outline.
@IsraeliPM Whether it will be approved by Hamas however is unclear and rather complicated - as it’s unclear who inside Gaza would be in a position to respond to the offer. Many of Hamas’s fighters may prefer to die as martyrs also than to agree to any deal.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 25
Guess who has the most to lose if/when @realDonaldTrump discovers he’s now a lame duck President.

He is now so deep under water both in polling and with his base that it’s very hard to imagine him bouncing back.
I’ll answer my question shortly buts it’s well worth pondering…. In the meantime consider this.

Trump is now a laughing stock. And not only is everyone in America now laughing at him. But he has also been abandoned by his base and his party.
The bonfire of vanity that belongs to Donald Trump is iridescent, a signal to the world that his presidency has ended before it even started.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 25
This is pathetic from @realDonaldTrump he’s lashing out like an angry teenager. Jerome Powell says he’s included a the costs of a building that was completed years ago in his very public attack on the FED Chair.
Trump has completely lost the plot. The single most damaging thing that he could do to undermine confidence in the U.S. dollar (which he publicly claims to want to deflate and there by make all Americans poorer - is to attack the Federal Reserve and the SEC.
@realDonaldTrump Trump is setting fire to the dollar to distract from his Epstein mess what a complete baby.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 2
I attended the Bonn climate talks. They were very disappointing to everyone. The elephant in the room was (of course) the U.S. decision to withdraw from the talks altogether.

open.spotify.com/episode/3YV0SU…
Unfortunately.. perhaps intentionally in advance of the continuation of climate talks regardless of #US_Disintigration the talks were also very sparsely attended particularly by activists and NGOs. The reason for this was @elonmusk destroying @-USAID.
@elonmusk As you can see the USAID Twitter account is now dead - deleted which is an appalling act of vandalism executed by Elon and his tech-bro team of teenagers.
Read 13 tweets

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