Still a lot of late shorters that have had an easy run so far. Usually these highs tend to get swept before anything else.
Keep your eyes out for a swing failure pattern to occur. This is where price sweeps these highs to take liquidity and rejects/falls immediately afterwards.
$BTC Solid breakout and retest of the diagonal so far. Looks good for continuation towards $39K and possibly 42-43K after that.
$BTC There is our $39K.
Wonder when people start fomo'ing in again.
Probably when BTC is at resistance 😅
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🔹What happened?
🔹Do I think the bull market is over?
🔹What's next?
🔹What will I be doing?
🔹What happened?
First off, what the hell happened?! Especially on May the 19th in particular?
Of course there's plenty of arguments and narratives for what happened. Be it Elon, China FUD or just the general end of the bull market as a whole.
1/x
The one thing that's most likely though, which we can see from the data, is the fact people have been over-leveraging into longs... A LOT.
We knew this was happening all along and usually we got away with a 20-30% dip but this was not like the other corrections.
2/x
Fun change I've went through in the past 6 months or so as my portfolio grew bigger:
I used to care more about missing out on gains than losing money itself. The opposite is now true.
I rather protect my capital and miss out on potential gains than take unecessary risks.
Of course you will still see me ape into small caps and go big on $alts etc.
The difference being that I pick the risks I take more carefully. I also focus on hedging my spot holding a lot more when I think there is a high probability of potential downside.
This change in mindset probably has to do with the fact that with a relatively smaller portfolio I was ready to take bigger risks to try and make the maximum amount of gains I could, within the current cycle.
Don't ask me for my exact reasoning. It's a bit of a mix between seeing the PA, some indicators and a gut feeling.
Of course it should be obvious this is no signal to all in long or go out of your regular trading risk management.
Just a though by me I wanted to share.
For everyone asking about how this would affect $alts:
$BTC and alts can move together but if BTC starts pumping out some big numbers each day, expect alts to go more risk-off and more money to flow into BTC.
ALT/BTC pairs may suffer a bit but USDT pairs should still be good.
1. You deposit 1 BTC and get 0.5 BTC bonus. 2. You first trade with the 1 BTC as usual. 3. If you were to lose your 1 BTC for some reason you'd move on to the 0.5 Bonus BTC. 4. ANY profits made with the 0.5 Bonus BTC are fully withdrawable. The 0.5 BTC itself isn't.