#euco discussion on climate ongoing for a few hours. Some highlights:
- ๐ต๐ฑ reject draft conclusions, demanding removal of reference to carbon pricing. Poles pushing for โฌ to compensate for expanded ETS
- ๐ช๐บ VdL confirms cars & buildings will be gradually introduced to ETS
- Polish PM tells #euco Poland faces additional cost of โฌ4bn under new ETS
- ๐ท๐ด๐ง๐ฌ๐ฑ๐ป also warn against steep rise in their national emissions targets if Commission tweaks effort sharing criteria
- Merkel ๐ฉ๐ช and other richer countries want east and others to suck it up on ESR
Predominantly poorer MS that want to use #euco conclusions to reflect concern that headlong rush to net zero will hurt their most vulnerable households. They are unlikely to win which means we're more likely to end up with no conclusions at all
#euco is over. Leaders have removed this section from the climate conclusions on upcoming effort sharing rules
New climate #euco conclusions reflect contentious debate between richer and poorer countries today. We end up with a a nothing ๐ statement that in the end does no harm to anyone
Von der Leyen acknowledges the commission's plans (ETS) "may have a social impact". An understated way of talking about potentially significant regressive impact of making consumers pay higher fuel and heating bills under expanded ETS (in absence of subsidies, compensation etc)
Von der Leyen confirms commission will propose a mini-ETS for cars and heating with "clear social compensation structure" to prevent regressive impact of extending carbon price to households. "We have to get this right because the transition should be just" #euco
Commission's mini-ETS sounds like a replica of Germany's mini-ETS for cars, buildings set up at the beginning of 2021. Germany, unsurprisingly, is vsupportive. But other countries outside the east, such as France, are wary of provoking a gilet jaunes style backlash #euco
Wrapping up #euco, widespread sentiment among leaders that they support green transition but want assessment of distributional impact of Commission reforms. Draghi said he would not support conclusions without it. Polish PM said he's rarely agreed with so many colleagues ๐
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EU leaders prepare to talk Belarus at #euco tonight. MS like Poland and others want to consider sweeping economic sanctions against Lukashenko regime but that is unlikely to win favour with ๐ซ๐ท๐ฉ๐ช. More viable option at this stage are targeted measures against ๐ง๐พ individuals/biz
Lithuania's Gitanas Nauseda arrives at #euco calling on EU to embrace three decisions tonight against Belarus
- closing of Belarusian airspace to EU airlines
- declaration of Belarusian airspace as "unsafe" for civil flights
- extension of framework against sanctions
Latest version of #euco draft conclusions call for extension of sanctions regime against ๐ง๐พ and banning of Belarusian Airlines flights at EU airports
Lufthansa flight from Minsk to Frankfurt looks to have been grounded hours ahead of an EU summit where leaders are due to discuss possibility of banning Belarus flights from landing in the EU. Possible sign of tit-for-tat to come #EUCO
Lithuanian government announces that from tomorrow it will prevent flights coming in and out of the country from flying over Belarus' airspace. All EU countries have the right to do the same if they wish #euco
Mark Rutte is closer to resigning as PM than at any point in his 11 years. Dutch parliament holding a debate now and likely vote of no confidence in Rutte tonight after he was caught lying about having a prominent gov critic - Pieter Omtzigt - as a minister in a new coalition
Rutte's offence in this case is not particularly egregious - particularly compared to his government's endemic racial profiling in the tax ministry that led to the fall of the cabinet. But this may be the lie that break's the camel's back for Rutte
After nearly 12 years Rutte truly the Godfather of Dutch politics. He's going down on a tax charge.
EU's vaccines bazaar is back again today. Last night, Slovenia and Czech Republic joined Austria in blocking a 30/70% division of 10m vaccines. Latest draft presidency ๐ต๐น proposal offers to *cut* additional vaccines for AT, CZ, SL. 3m would then be shared among ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฑ๐ป๐ช๐ช๐ญ๐ท๐ธ๐ฐ
For those who think the EU has no sense of humour: the Czech Republic is rewarded for blocking the first proposal by having its additional vaccines share cut from around 140k to 70k. The missing 70k would be distributed to its allies in Austria and Slovenia.
Austria, Slovenia, Czechs reject draft presidency proposal. 24 MS will go ahead and share extra vaccines for ๐ธ๐ฐ๐ช๐ช๐ญ๐ท๐ง๐ฌ๐ฑ๐ป. One diplomat says ๐ฆ๐น๐จ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฎ "take vaccines but do not share vaccines...the Sheriff of Nottingham was hidden under the Robin Hood costume of Kurz and his friends"
๐After Sebastian Kurz's broadsides against the EU and demands for a vaccine correction mechanism, the EU is now considering ways to send extra vaccines to hard hit countries - excluding Austria ft.com/content/f0e74aโฆ
Germany leading a plan to redistribute portion of 10m additional Pfizer vaccines to countries hardest hit. Contenders include ๐จ๐ฟ ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ท๐ฑ๐ป๐ช๐ช but not ๐ฆ๐น. EU diplomats says Kurz tactics mean he won't get "one jab more". They also point out that ๐ฆ๐นnot facing immediate vaccine squeeze
Austrians saying they will block any redistribution of the 10m if they are not given any additional doses. The veto would also then mean that other countries demanding help would not be given emergency doses
EU leaders had a 16 min discussion on rule of law #MFF tonight #euco. Orban gave a concise and to the point expalanation of Hungary's stance. There were no fireworks or emotive pleas from the rest, including Merkel. One diplomat describes it as "stage managed" to avoid a bust up
Merkel kicked off #euco proceedings with a technical intervention about need to get a dealHungary, Slovenia, and Poland all took the floor at. Diplomats don't think Polish veto is as solid as the Hungarian one (for now) while Jansa is playing for a domestic crowd.
Rule of Law spat was never going to be solved at #euco tonight. Relatively short and drama-free interventions - including from Orban - indicator that a possible deal is in the works. Silence in Brussels is usually the sound of a fudge brewing