Hawkshaw Special Situations Research by Kian Ghazi @hawkshawlp does deep dives on select equities often times on so called 'battleground' names. This past week it put out a very interesting piece on $SFIX.
I won't go into the details but the report had some very interesting work around key touch points including CACs, churn, LTVs and how direct buy + previews may improve returns on ad spend.
The company has offered some clues over the years but this report does a great job of tying everything together.
The long and short of it is that there may be ample room for $SFIX to accelerate marketing spend to drive customer acquisition and revenue growth.
Kian has kept a low profile on twitter but perhaps if we boost his follower count a bit he'll start sharing some of his insights on $SFIX and other names that his firm has covered.
Stitch has approximately 6,000 stylists on the payroll which probably costs something like $150 million annually. This is a relatively large expense for the company of this size.
This investment is unique in apparel ecom and I do not believe that it is currently thought of as a strategic differentiator by the investment community.
Some more thoughts on $SFIX and its evolving consumer service - no views on the share price in the short-term.
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Stitch Fix's current 'no look' fix business in the U.S. has grown quite large despite addressing a fairly small portion of the overall apparel market.
Not to knock the current product but it is decidedly non-traditional and has had the burden of carrying significant friction when it comes to acquiring customers.
Over the years, I've been involved in some real battleground names where the debate over the company's prospects was quite intense to say the least.
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With some of these companies, I, and other longs, have been opposite some highly reputable, brand name funds.
At one investor meeting many years ago, after going over a favored long at the time, I was hit with 'but so & so are short that name' to which I responded 'so what, we’re both going to be right.'
Some thoughts on a narrow topic: What $SFIX's service may look like as it continues to evolve. As usual I have ABSOLUTELY no view on short-term results or quarterly expectations.
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My real interest lies in what the company might look like over the next 5 to 10 years. On that basis, Stitchfix remains a very interesting company to analyze.
The company continues to inch impressively closer to its end state: a 100% unique, personalized apparel showroom for consumers.