Breaking: G7 has now agreed a deal on tackling corporate tax avoidance by the tech giants. "It's a proud moment" says Chancellor @RishiSunak. More on @skynews soon
Full details to come in a communique soon but my understanding of main points:
1: new tax rules for firms with 10pc profit margins. Above that, 20pc of profits to be reallocated based on a formula involving sales. Will affect abt 100 firms.
2: global minimum corp tax rate of 15%
While the deal is certainly less ambitious than many wanted (eg 15% not 21%, only 100 companies covered by new rules) there’s no disputing this is a big moment. Global biz tax rules date back a century to the League of Nations. This is the most meaningful step to reform them yet
Still some questions: how will the rules work in practice and will they just encourage a different kind of avoidance? And will other countries sign up - esp those with tax rates below the 15% minimum (and if not what sanctions will apply to them?). Here's @Paschald recently:
Reaction from French finance minister @BrunoLeMaire here: "this is a historic moment... we have shown that the G7 powers are capable of setting international rules for the 21st century"
"I don't recognise those figures".
This is odd given the figs @TrevorPTweets quoted to @MattHancock are govt's own figs from its NHS Test & Trace spreadsheets. They show it waited far longer to put India on the red list than Pakistan after its Covid positivity hit a certain level
Let me take you (& @matthancock) through it.
This may seem like water under the bridge but it MATTERS because:
1 we now have more of this Delta/Indian variant than almost any other country outside Asia
2 we still have little clarity on how govt decides on red/amber/green lists
It's worth saying at the outset that @MattHancock is absolutely right about one thing: when taking these decisions it's far better to focus on data collected through our testing system on incoming travellers than data you get from, for instance @OurWorldInData. So let's do that.
New: G7 insiders are now expecting a breakthrough on a global minimum corporate tax rate at next week’s finance minister’s meeting in London. Full story: news.sky.com/story/global-t…
There’s been lots of movement behind the scenes on this.
Last wk the working plan was the summit would mostly be about climate change.
Now TAX is likely to dominate.
And G7 insiders say a deal in London is “doable”. Which in turn wld make a G20/OECD deal later this yr more likely
This is big stuff.
Biggest overhaul of tax rules in a century.
But there’s ongoing negotiation between sherpas abt which companies would be affected and how the two “pillars” of this (1. changing how we calculate what taxes are owed where, 2. Global minimum rate) interact.
Exclusive: Big blow for Joe Biden as Irish finance minister tells me he has “significant concerns” with US proposals for global minimum corporate tax rate:
•No plans to change Ireland’s 12.5% rate.
•Expects it to be in place in 5/10 yrs time.
Story here: news.sky.com/story/ireland-…
Irish finmin tells @skynews:
- “sig reservations” abt Biden tax plans
- “proud of the part the 12.5% tax rate has played in our econ development”
- N Ireland protocol helped secure “the long term interests of the island [of Ireland], but “there are issues”
These comments from @Paschald represent the strongest reproach yet to the US president, who is seeking to persuade countries around the world to agree to a floor on corporate tax rates of 15% - the biggest potential reform to international biz taxes in a century.
If we do eventually discover that #Covid19 was indeed something which came from a Chinese laboratory rather than naturally jumping from animals to humans, I think much of the media/establishment will need to think long and hard about how it got this so wrong.
The problem isn’t just what @TomChivers calls “seeing the smoke” vs “reading the room”
It’s not just about interventions
It’s about a kind of mob mentality where we convert the conventional wisdom into a tablet of stone which we then bash over the head of anyone who disagrees
It’s about the fact that when curious people attempted to investigate or cover the lab escape theory - like @mattwridley or @Ianbirrell - they were derided as conspiracy theorists.
Social networks removed their posts, citing fact check sites which didn’t know the answer either.
New: @matthancock tells HoC the data behind his claim Pakistan & Bangladesh had positivity 3x higher than India (as per thread 👇)
He says: positivity of passengers “was 1.6% in India and 4.6% in Pakistan, which is three times higher. As I said.”
Finally an answer!
BUT…
While it’s great that the Health Sec has at last provided the data, there are still some oddities.
- First, why didn’t he say anything about Bangladesh?
- Was Bangladesh’s positivity really three times above India’s, as he explicitly claimed on Mon?
He still hasn’t explained this
- Second, why isn’t this data publicly released?
If govt decisions are happening on the basis of key data series then surely there’s a public interest case in making that data public.
As this farago showed, this data is NOT public.
I wasn’t planning another thread on #COVID19, the Indian variant & why govt took so long to put it on the red list. But then something odd happened.
Let’s begin with this, @MattHancock in the House of Commons this afternoon: parliamentlive.tv/event/index/a1…
Here, in case you missed it, is what he said: “The truth is that when we put Pakistan on the red list - and indeed Bangladesh - the positivity of those arriving from Pakistan and Bangladesh was three times higher than that from India.”
Recap:
Bangladesh & Pakistan were red-listed (compelling travellers to quarantine in hotel & banning non-citizens/residents) in early Apr.
India wasn’t added til 19 Apr (enacted 23 Apr).
The gap matters because that was potentially when Indian variant B.1.617.2 gained a foothold