Thread by @EdConwaySky

New: @matthancock tells HoC the data behind his claim Pakistan & Bangladesh had positivity 3x higher than India (as per thread 👇)
He says: positivity of passengers “was 1.6% in India and 4.6% in Pakistan, which is three times higher. As I said.”
Finally an answer!
BUT…

https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1394361567786016768

While it’s great that the Health Sec has at last provided the data, there are still some oddities.
- First, why didn’t he say anything about Bangladesh?
- Was Bangladesh’s positivity really three times above India’s, as he explicitly claimed on Mon?
He still hasn’t explained this

- Second, why isn’t this data publicly released?
If govt decisions are happening on the basis of key data series then surely there’s a public interest case in making that data public.
As this farago showed, this data is NOT public.

- Third, while @matthancock is right to point out that the data I mentioned on Mon 👇covered a period that includes days after the decision to red-list 🇵🇰 & 🇧🇩, he has’t said when HIS data is from. This is crucial: was it on 2 April? Before? A period avg or daily snapshot?

https://twitter.com/edconwaysky/status/1394361585691471877

There’s a bigger issue here tho.
We know that as of 7 Apr, Indian positivity was close to Pakistan. And well above Bangladesh.
Yet even after that rise (1.6% to 5.1% is a BIG leap) govt still waited for 12 DAYS before red-listing India.
He still hasn’t explained why.

Here’s another way of putting it:
● When levels of #COVID19 among passengers from Pakistan hit 4.6%, govt added it to the red list.
● When levels of #COVID19 among passengers from India hit 5.1%, govt waited for nearly a fortnight before adding it to the red list.