$KSM is up +25% today. How do you follow the Crowdloan race for #Kusama?
$150 million was raised in 1 day. Polkadot forces projects to generate a community from Day 0, instead of relying just on VCs.
2) "Ending": There are 5 consecutive one-week auctions, 1 per week. If the project doesn't win in 43 days, then the $KSM is return to the community automatically. There will be a pause to stablized the network or even start @Polkadot's auctions
3) "Cap": Needs to be high enough to attract a sizeable community and provide sufficient rewards. For example, @AcalaNetwork is setting aside 20% of their tokens for the crowdloan @ 1.5M $KSM cap.
4) "Total Cap": In case of irrational markets, the cap prevents all of $KSM to be allocated to the Crowdloans -- which would be a security risk.
5) "Leases 13-20": Recall that slots 1-12 were used for testing and the common goods parachain. Projects can bid for just 1 slot (just 6 weeks) but none are looking for that right now.
Expect initial auctions and those near Lease 90-100 to be hotly contested.
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What metrics are the most valuable as a price catalyst?
As DeFi hits bearish times, memes are giving way to fundamental analysis. Some data points are useless as a price signal (like TVL).
First, why is TVL useless as a price signal?
+ TVL tracks capital -- which is mercenary and temporary
+ Not all capital is equal -- @Uniswap V3 is more efficient than V2
+ It's the max extractable value. In a selldown, investors care about downside protection, not max values
2/6
How do we know a metric matters as a price signal?
Correlation will be high and price impact is orderly. We can deduce that "Active Users" is a relevant data point to track 3/6
MEV (Miner Extractable Value) seems like such a complex attack that traders ignore it. But there's too much at stake though. Let me ELI5: 1. What is MEV? 2. How big of a deal is it? 3. How can you avoid it or profit?
h/t @defin00b@bertcmiller
1. What is MEV? It's the additional profit a miner can get by re-ordering, including or excluding transactions from the blocks they are in charge of producing.
While winning a block is fair, the winning producer gets to play God for 1 block... and reap excess profits
2. Is it a big deal? They've made $235 million in the past month. For example, when you set a 0.5% slippage tolerance on @Uniswap, bots are likely creaming off the top
Macro Update: The crypto selldown of the past couple weeks has seen the most amount of value wiped out. Crypto investors underrated the Fed's statements because we've largely been dancing to our own tune the past 10 years. This formula doesn't work anymore 1/
But with institutional adoption, we now need to pay attention to cross-asset flows. #Bitcoin is viewed as a risk-on, growth asset, at the extreme end of the risk spectrum.
The Fed said that it was only thinking-about, thinking-about tapering. #Bitcoin and risk-assets love quantitative easing and egregious money printing. It hates quant tapering and tightening belts.
3/
#Bitcoin has never experienced an equities / credit bear market. Are we at risk of one?
With institutional adoption, crypto investors can no longer ignore what's going on in fiat markets and cross-asset flows. Let's look at the macro picture
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1/
Private sector leverage (households + corporates) growth is low.
Unlike the Nikkei 1980s, 1990s dotcom and 2008 Subprime bubbles where the 5year change was much higher messari.io/article/macro-… 2/5
Leverage is a key indicator of a macro bubble as it has a way of amplifying balance sheet weakness. What's the status of corporate BS?
Cash levels and net debt levels are the strongest they've been in 20 years 3/5 messari.io/article/macro-…
The @Polkadot parachain auctions is setting the stage for a vibrant apps ecosystem with practical interoperability.
What are the biggest projects? Who will be the first to launch on @kusamanetwork?
Kusama and Polkadot are soon launching their parachain auctions. Cross-chain composability and scalability have never been so important.
How does an auction work for users? What does it mean for $DOT, $KSM price & circulating supply?
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Why do developers want to do this?
The benefits of connecting to the @Polkadot or @kusamanetwork network includes full control over your environment -- but with a cheap & secure way for blockchains and apps to launch.