Today's vaccine update πŸ’‰

- Shots reported today*: 471,409 (63% 2nd doses)
- Total shots: 27,729,183
- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 72.3%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 73.8% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 73.0
- Inventory: 7.3 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/

* Missing YT (not reported yet)
The latest estimates of vaccinations by age:

- Those 60+: 89.4% have at least one dose and 21.0% have two
- 18-59: it's 67.0% and 9.0%
- Adults: 73.8% and 12.7%

Note: data comes with a 6-13 day lag; these are my own estimates
In total, Canada is now up to 27.7 million shots given -- which is 90.4% of the total 30.7 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 1,925,050 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 3.7 million are fully vaccinated with two shots.
Canada's daily pace:

Today's 471,409 shots given compares to an average of 399,380/day over the past week and 369,459/day the week prior.

We can use the latest average daily pace to project where vaccination rates are soon headed.
Based on that pace, and a model of 1st vs 2nd shots, here's when we might achieve different rates:

- 75% of people with a shot: June 16
- By Canada Day: 80.3% with 1+ doses and 28.5% with 2
- Match current U.S. fully vax rate: July 22
- 75% fully vaccinated: August 13
Dose projections are informative, but effective protection is lower than the share with a shot. One dose is less effective than two, plus effects lag and are uncertain. Roughly, current "coverage" is ~22-49%

Useful research summary: publichealthontario.ca/-/media/docume…
Turning to individual provinces, here's total shots given and share of delivered doses used.

- Most shots given: YT at 130 doses per 100 people
- Fewest: NL at 67

- Highest share of delivered doses used: NB with 95%
- Lowest: NU with 65%
A more detailed look at provs/terrs:

- Highest overall: YT at 70% receiving at least one shot
- Most 1st doses only: NL at 60% receiving that shot
- Most Fully Vaccinated: YT at 61%
- Fewest Vaccinated: NU at 45%
How does Canada compare to others? Here's all 37 OECD (i.e., developed) countries:

- Share of pop. w/ at least one dose: Canada ranks 2nd
- Total doses per 100: 7th
- Fully vaccinated: 31st
Canada/US comparison.

Received at least one dose:
- Top Prov: QC, 66.5% of pop
- Top State: VT, 71.8
- Top Terr: YT, 69.6

Fully vaccinated:
- Top Prov: AB, 14.4% of pop
- Top State: VT, 59.8
- Top Terr: YT, 60.8

Interactive plot here: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/usa
Going forward, here's a cdn/usa comparison of total doses per 100 people.

- In Canada, this rises by 1.05 per day. The US rises by 0.34 per day.
- Projected out, we match the US in 27 days
- Reaching the current US rate takes 18 days.
Of course, there's lots of countries and many ways to compare. Here's a selection across several metrics/groups of how Canada ranks globally. Pick your preferred measure!
Fin.

Note: all graphs (and more!) are automatically updated and posted online for later review and easy sharing at the following site: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/

β€’ β€’ β€’

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
γ€€

Keep Current with Trevor Tombe

Trevor Tombe Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @trevortombe

12 Jun
Today's vaccine update πŸ’‰

- Shots reported today*: 510,910 (new record!)
- Share 2nd shots: 64%- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 72.9%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 75.1% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 74.3
- Inventory: 7.8 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/ Image
In total, Canada is now up to 28.2 million shots given -- which is 89.9% of the total 31.4 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 2,546,940 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 4.0 million are fully vaccinated with two shots. Image
The latest estimates of vaccinations by age:

- Those 60+: 89.8% have at least one dose and 26.5% have two
- 18-59: it's 68.7% and 8.7%
- Adults: 75.1% and 14.1%

Note: data comes with a 6-13 day lag; these are my own estimates Image
Read 15 tweets
10 Jun
Today's vaccine update:

- Shots reported today*: 401,833 (59% 2nd doses)
- Total shots: 27,257,480
- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 71.8%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 73.6% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 71.7
- Inventory: 7.8 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/

* Missing YT (not reported yet)
The latest estimates of vaccinations by age:

- Those 60+: 89.4% have at least one dose and 19.4% have two
- 18-59: it's 66.6% and 8.3%
- Adults: 73.6% and 11.7%

Note: data comes with a 6-13 day lag; these are my own estimates
In total, Canada is now up to 27.3 million shots given -- which is 90.0% of the total 30.3 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 2,141,010 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 3.4 million are fully vaccinated with two shots.
Read 14 tweets
9 Jun
Today's vaccine update for Alberta:

-Everyone: 57.3% have at least one dose and 13.4% have two
-Age 12+: 67.2% and 15.7%
-Age 20+: 68% and 17.3%

Stage 2 target: 60% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses (achieved!)

Stage 3 target: 70% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses
And here's the pace of Alberta's vaccination over time. Today's rate of 34,636 compares to an average of 45,155 over the past week. And today, 9,708 were first doses and 24,928 were second.
Going forward, Alberta will remove all provincial public health restrictions two weeks after 70% of those age 12+ have at least one dose.

At its current pace, that share is reached on June 15 so full re-opening would occur on June 29.

We reach 50% fully vaccinated by July 18
Read 4 tweets
9 Jun
Today's vaccine update:

- Shots reported today: 352,219* (54% 2nd doses)
- Total shots: 26,855,647
- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 71.3%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 73.3% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 70.7
- Inventory: 8.5 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/
* Missing YT (not reported yet)
The latest estimates of vaccinations by age:

- Those 60+: 89.3% have at least one dose and 18.1% have two
- 18-59: it's 66.3% and 7.8%
- Adults: 73.3% and 10.9%

Note: data comes with a 6-13 day lag; these are my own estimates
In total, Canada is now up to 26.9 million shots given -- which is 89.1% of the total 30.1 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 2,371,492 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 3.2 million are fully vaccinated with two shots.
Read 14 tweets
8 Jun
Today's vaccine update for Alberta:

-Everyone: 57% have at least one dose and 12.8% have two
-Age 12+: 67% and 15.1%
-Age 20+: 67.8% and 16.6%

Stage 2 target: 60% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses (achieved!)

Stage 3 target: 70% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses
And here's the pace of Alberta's vaccination over time. Today's rate of 39,107 compares to an average of 44,580 over the past week. And today, 11,749 were first doses and 27,358 were second.
Going forward, Alberta will remove all provincial public health restrictions two weeks after 70% of those age 12+ have at least one dose.

At its current pace, that share is reached on June 14 so full re-opening would occur on June 28.

We reach 50% fully vaccinated by July 19
Read 5 tweets
8 Jun
Today's vaccine update:

- Shots reported today *: 407,964 (38% 2nd doses)
- Total shots: 26,503,428
- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 70.8%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 73.1% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 69.7
- Inventory: 8.8 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/

* Includes some weekend doses Image
The latest estimates of vaccinations by age:

- Those 60+: 89.3% have at least one dose and 17.0% have two
- 18-59: it's 66.0% and 7.4%
- Adults: 73.1% and 10.3%

Note: data comes with a 6-13 day lag; these are my own estimates Image
In total, Canada is now up to 26.5 million shots given -- which is 88.8% of the total 29.8 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 3,801,418 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 3.0 million are fully vaccinated with two shots. Image
Read 14 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(