Thread by @TheValuesVoter

Since 1972, the GOP has never won an election in which it won white men by less than 24 points.

In 2000, when Bush barely won, he won white men by 24 points. In 2004, when he barely won again, he won white men by 25 points.

In 2020, Trump won white men by 23 points.
#TrumpLost

1972 - Nixon won white men 66-31 (+35), won election
1976 - Ford won white men 51-47 (+4), lost election
1980 - Reagan won white men 59-32 (+27), won election
1984 - Reagan won white men 67-32 (+35), won election
1988- Bush won white men 63-36 (+27), won election

1992 - Bush won white men 40-37 (+3), lost election
1996 - Dole won white men 49-38 (+11), lost election
2000 - Bush won white men 60-36 (+24), won election
2004 - Bush won white men 62-37 (+25), won election
2008 - McCain won white men 57-41 (+16), lost election

2012 - No data available at this level.
2016 - Trump won white men 62-31 (+31), won election
2020 - Trump won white men 61-38 (+23), lost election

The GOP always wins white men as a group just as Democrats always win black voters as a group. But the issue for the GOP is margin.

Because it does so terribly badly with almost every other group, even a 23 point advantage among white men hasn't historically been good enough.

Again, as a group, the GOP hasn't won:
- Moderates since 1984
- Women (overall) since 1988
- 18-29 year olds since 1988
- "Other" ethnicities since 1988
- Postgraduates since 1988
- Asian Americans since 1996
- 30-44 year olds since 2004

And since 1980, here's what's happened with white college grads:

1980 - Reagan won them by 24 points
1984 - Reagan won them by 25 points
1988 - Bush won them by 21 points
1992 - Bush won them by 1 point (3 way race)
1996 - Dole won them by 4 points (3 way race)

2000 - Bush won them by 8 points
2004 - Bush won them by 11 points
2008 - McCain won them by 4 points
2012 - Romney won them by 14 points
2016 - Trump won them by 4 points
(worst ever to date by GOP in a race w/no major third party)
2020 - Trump lost them by 3 points

Here's a partial list of the various groups which Trump either won by a lesser margin in 2020 than in 2016 or lost by a greater margin in 2020 than in 2016 (i.e., he did worse with), according to national exit polls:

Men (all races combined)
Women (all races combined)
Whites

White college grads
White non-college grads
18-29 year olds (all races combined)
45-64 year olds (all races combined)
65 and older (all races combined)
Democrats
Independents
Liberals
Moderates
Post-grads
Catholics (all races combined)
White Catholics
Hispanic Catholics

White Born-Again Christians (yes, really. Trump won them 81-16 in 2016 and won them 76-24 in 2020).
Married people (all races combined)
Non-married people (all races combined)
People living in Suburbs
People living in cities of 50,000 or less and rural voters combined
White men

Exit poll information pulled from the following: (all originally from Edison Research)

nytimes.com/interactive/20…
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
cnn.com/election/2016/…
cnn.com/election/2020/…

pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016…
nytimes.com/elections/2008…
nytimes.com/elections/2012…