What a surprise. Daniel Kawczynski (who is now trying to play the victim, claiming bullying!) demonstrated a complete lack of insight into his conduct, according to the official report.
He claimed one of the complainants was “a member of the snowflake generation” used language that was extreme, but not profane and appeared to be under the influence of alcohol in one of the conversations.
The complainants also said he lied in a WhatsApp group message about the incidents.
Kawczynski claims he is being fitted up because he is too tall at 6ft 9inches

Seriously.
I would point out that this is NOT an apology. It is saying meaningless words. And the body dealing with it should state clearly that this is not an apology and deal with him as if he has not made one.
Sir Stephen Irwin :”Whilst we fully grasp that the life of an MP can be highly pressurised, these responsibilities and stresses do not justify a loss of courtesy, an exaggerated sense of importance or entitlement, or bullying.”

independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
The MP showed a “worrying lack of insight and contrition in relation to the appropriateness and impact of his behaviour”.

He made “critical and untruthful comments” on a WhatsApp group shared with other members of the committee”
“It is also clear that as this day proceeded, the (MP) consumed a significant amount of alcohol,” the report states.

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More from @fascinatorfun

15 Jun
Late yesterday PHE released a new chart regarding vaccine efficacy.

Welcome that it displayed data separately for Pfizer and AZ and fir Alpha and Delta variants

However the outcomes are markedly different from the table c3 weeks ago and markedly different from the Scottish data
This is the chart and the link.

khub.net/web/phe-nation…

It is a pre print so there pay be changes.

Also not much in the way of supporting data (with wide confidence intervals

They suggest similar second dose efficacy AGAINST HOSPITALISATION Pfizer (96%) to AZ (92%) Image
In fact marginally better 2nd dose performance against delta than Alpha.

But we know nothing of the respective cohorts or numbers involved, age groups and timescales and it seems prudent to wait for that.
Read 17 tweets
14 Jun
I’ve been thinking about the PHE data on infections, hospitalisations and deaths from test positive Delta cases (see left) v today’s vaccine data (R- h/t @HugoGye )

The pool of totally unvaccinated people is 25-26 million.
The pool of 1-dosed is 11.7 million - a chunk of which will be within 21 days of vaccination.

The pool of 2-dosed is just short of 30 million. But a good chunk still within 14 days of second dose.

So the cohort with SOME vaccination is markedly bigger than those with NO dose.
🦠 Yet you can see that the unvaccinated outpaces the vaccinated when it comes to cases.

🏥 & hospitalisations (even if not by as much as one might have hoped, but time to build immunity could change that picture in the next 6 weeks)

⚰️& deaths - but not by a lot, except 2-dose
Read 18 tweets
14 Jun
🦠 7742 new cases (36%⬆️ on same day last week, 45.5% on rolling 7 day average)

Worth noting that Monday - Friday of last week every day was over 7k cases by specimen date. Wednesday a few cases off 8k.

It isn’t more testing.

ENGLAND positivity it up again. 2.2%.
🏥 data is very laggy with last complete day on admissions being Tuesday 8th June.

But IN hospital data for England indicates a steady climb from 860 a week ago to 993 today. ⬆️. A 15.6% increase

ICU 🛌 133 to 170 in the same period. ⬆️ A 27.8% increase.
💉 277k doses of vaccinations given in total.

A a bit Meh given the place we are in - but clinics have been working long and busy hours.
Read 8 tweets
14 Jun
Budget watchdog announces cost of Brexit at £1,200 for each person in Britain - Mirror Online

Oh. If an household consists of 2 adults & 2 children, then that is more than the Treasury 2016 pre referendum estimate of £4,300 per household mirror.co.uk/news/politics/…
Here you are. To be fair the lower bound rate is £1300 per capita.

But over 15 years.

Yet here we are.

2021 and only 5 months out of the transition period and 1 yr 5m after we left.

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
OBR says real business investment has barely grown since the referendum, whereas the March 2016 forecast was fir 20% growth.
Read 6 tweets
12 Jun
When viruses jump to humans it would be "very rare for them to be a perfect," said Prof Wendy Barclay, Imperial College virologist. "They settle in and then they have a great time."
“There are examples of viruses from flu pandemics to Ebola making the jump and then accelerating.”
“It's "foolish", @ArisKatzourakis , “to attempt to put a number on how high it could go”, but he can easily see further jumps in transmission over the next couple of years. “Other viruses have far higher R0s and the record holder, measles, can cause explosive outbreaks.”
"There is still space for it to move higher," said Prof Barclay. "Measles is between 14 and 30 depending on who you ask, I don't know how it's going to play out."
Read 6 tweets
12 Jun
🦠 7738 new cases. Even by specimen date there have been 3 x 7k+ days on the trot and likely another 7k+ day when all results in.

⚰️ 60 day deaths (21) nearly double 28 day deaths (12)

💉 488k vaccination doses given

🏥 admissions UP -187 on 8-6-21.

ICU 🛌 UP -158 on 10-6-21
🦠. Cases just before relaxation of measures on 17-5-21 : 1852

7th, 8th, 9th May all over 7,600 and 10th likely to be similar when all swabs processed.

That has quadrupled in 4 weeks.
🏥 admissions were at 78 on 16-5-21. Now at 187.

More than doubled and hospitalisations lag cases.
Read 6 tweets

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