How to measure success? On ransomware, the goal is delay and disruption; stopping Putin isn't about some legal action. So, some wins #GenevaSummit for US have already happened at G7 and NATO with greater focus and cooperation against Russia. Also 1/
Attribution isn't nothing. Calling out Putin's acceptance of criminal enterprises that target US networks is a positive step SINCE the opposite was occurring before (remember Trump focused on China and Iran). 2/
Those criminal enterprises will be less confident of continuing their mayhem against US civilians if they think either Putin might go after one or more of them as a public gesture to curb continuing international pressure or DOJ continues to disrupt their access to currency. 3/
This could lead to more "benign" (in the scale of things) ransomware attacks, placing critical infrastructure off limits and trying to draw some red lines. That, to me, is a good scenario. 4/
All this talk of "acting tough" against Putin is manly vagueness. I have no idea what it means. We have plenty of covert options and one would assume that they are being utilized. In the public realm, what Putin says matters less than what the criminal gangs who he condones 5/
believe Putin and the West might do now that they've been called out. They won't be so bold; they will be slightly paranoid; they could be delayed. Those are all victories to protect our homeland and the public. "Tough" is not a strategy. Delay and disruption are. 6/6
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