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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
@althecat
Jun 19, 2021 • 15 tweets • 11 min read • Read on X
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It's morning in Europe after a day of destructive weather in Spain and the Netherlands in particular. The low discussed in recent #EuropeBigWet updates has arrived and as expected is bringing a significant change in the pattern over Europe.

Extended update follows.
#EuropeBigWet coverage of began on June 4th. But April & May were weird too.

Recaps...
6 June: threadreaderapp.com/thread/1401635…
7 June: threadreaderapp.com/thread/1401903…
8 June: threadreaderapp.com/thread/1402294…
10 June: threadreaderapp.com/thread/1403067…
17 June: threadreaderapp.com/thread/1405502…
The cause of the unusual weather being experienced in Europe, Sahara, the United States and he Middle East is the same. Very high levels of airborn water vapour in northern hemisphere.

These two images 18th June show the visible part, cloud cover in the North Atlantic/Pacific.
Here are corresponding current images showing water vapour, for the North Atlantic and North Pacific as of 6am today. Offered here to show the global nature of this phemonena. The focus in the remainder of this update will be the ongoing #EuropeBigWet.
This years Atlantic Hurricane season is also unusual. So far all three named tropical storms have been in the North Atlantic. Here we see the paths for the first two, Ana and Bill. The third tropical storm Claudette which was named yesterday is following this pattern.
This is relevant to Europe as these storms are playing a significant role in the #EuropeBigWet.

Claudette is as of now coming ashore in Louisiana. And the storm you see top right is associated with Bill.
A few days ago the extratropical low which was formerly TS Bill combined with a low sitting over Eastern Canada and then transited the Atlantic moving due east.

This animation shows the next 24 hours in terms of atmospheric PWAT aka Precipitable Water.
Apart from the ongoing disruption to the Cricket that this will cause, there is another feature of this which is helpful to understand. Air containing water also contains greater mass and as a result more energy (=lightning) and more intertia (=slow moving).
What we see now in the simulation above is very different from earlier simulations which showed the low stalling over the UK.

The latest version is better for the NZ vs England Cricket in Southhampton. It still contains rain. Overnight tonight and Monday afternoon.
Next we have four current 5-day rainfall forecast for Europe as a whole from GFS, ECMWF, CMC and KMA models. The UK is now getting of significantly more lightly in rain, with France, Germany, Switzerland & Scandinavia now getting the most rain.
Over a longer time frame there appears to be littlle prospect of the the overall wet pattern changing. These four images, 72 hours apart.
Over the next 16 days the Northern Hemisphere PWAT / Water Vapour traffic jam is simulated to spread east.
These two images show the global water vapour picture today and in 10 days time.
These four images Access-G model (Australia) & GEFS model (US) show the global water vapour picture today and in 10 days and 16 times time, globally and in the Northern Hemisphere.
While this thread is a #EuropeBigWet update. The phenomena which are bring moisture to Europe are not confined to Europe, or the Atlantic. What we are seeing in the data is that the world is getting wetter. Everywhere.

/Ends

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jan 2
So @elonmusk has definitely opened the doors it seems to Pandora’s box.
He may have jumped the gun a little. But he has his reasons.

Germany & Magdeburg.

But the fuse was arguably lit when the CIA and FBI Commandeered Jack Dorsey’s Twitter for its own purposes.

I don’t think we are going back.

This is the new normal.
Welcome to the era of Trump.

This is what happens when you have a VERY Messy transition of power in the Global Hegemony.
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 21, 2024
This video is about the work done by the “terrorist” who drove through the Magdeburg Christmas Market tonight at high speed killing injuring around 100 people.

How does a doctor practicing as a psychiatrist go from being a women’s rights defender focussed on Assisting Islamic women to escape an oppressive culture to being a multi murderer in his adopted country.

Meet @DrTalebJawad

A very unusual terrorist.
A good starting point for those interested in getting closer to the truth about what happened tonight is to visit @DrTalebJawad ‘s Twitter profile and look at his recent messages before the account gets locked.

It is immediately apparent that this is not your normal Islamic terrorist, in fact it quickly becomes apparent from his tweets that he was likely suffering from a psychotic break or something similar before he committed the horrific act of terrorism in Magdeburg.Image
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This incident took place in Magdeburg a city relatively near to where I am currently in Eastern Germany. It was fairly late evening. But the news exploded locally very quickly on Twitter.

And the initial speculation was of course that the terrorist was Islamic and that it was another planned terror attack.

At this point several hours later however it looks like the perpetrator was having an accrue psychological break.
Read 11 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 20, 2024
Follow ⁦@bartov_omer⁩ he is an Israeli Genocide Scholar and (my guess) a realist geopolitical analyst who will almost certainly be heard a lot in coming days and weeks. x.com/bartov_omer?s=…
…. In large part because his explanation of the true nature of the implementation of the current phase of the so-called “general’s plan” in Gaza and the criminality of @IsraeliPM Bibi Netanyahu is so clear and authoritative.
The war in Gaza is now over Bartov explains.

What is now happening, and what remains to be done on the a Israeli side is effectively the implementation of the full Zionist extremist (Ben Givir Smotrich and Netanyahu plan - I.e. removing Palestinians from Gaza altogether, an object that will be achieved through starving the remaining civilians and using other methods to make it impossible to continue to live there.

The strip is already being carved up into enclaves for this purpose. You could call them “Ghettos” (my word) corralling and keeping the Palestinian population separated whilst efforts to remake and settle the strip are completed.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 19, 2024
. @amanpour It’s not just the IDF that responds to press questions with rote answers that are clearly false.

The U.S. @StateDept has been doing exactly the same thing throughout the war for 14 months. Parroting the line “Israel has a right to defend itself” when everyone in the planet knows this is not true.

I know you must know this also. We all do.
I commend your report but I ask you and your network to please go further and actively oppose this war. And to call for it to end.

It is clear now in recent statements from Trump and Netanyahu that another war is intended in the Middle East by the U.S. and Israel. Its advocates will stood start lining up to beat the drums for this war.

Please @CNN, it is now time to end all of this.
The question we all have then is “When will the U.S. bring this evil to an end?”

A war with Iran 21 years after the horrific war in Iraq will have devastating consequences beyond imagining.

In its unwavering support for Netanyahu these past 14 months the U.S. is in the process now of destroying itself. Just as Israel is, or has done already.
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 17, 2024
The first speaker in this star studded panel here is sober clear and damning.

“… featuring Mustafa Barghouti, Mads Gilbert, Ilan Pappe, and Ingrid Fiskaa – discusses and critically explores three key areas: the present moment where Gaza remains under constant genocidal attack from Israel; the so-called “legitimacy” of the rules-based order (including but not limited to international law) that’s supposed to prevent or stop such violence; and the future of rebuilding Gaza in a way that actually honours the hopes, dreams and aspirations of the Palestinian people.”

The panel is moderated by Paul Salvatori, senior producer and presenter at TRT World.

Oslo Panel for Palestine youtu.be/nwCgY9auyuw?si… via @YouTube
As Christmas and the New Year approach, reflection, both self and outward looking are part of the zeitgeist for the faithful throughout the world.

As it stands this Christmas in Bethlehem will be the “second Christmas during an ongoing Genocide”. Placed in quote marks here because it seems hard to reconcile with reality.

How can this still be continuing?

How is it that the @Statedept even now - 15 months after October 7th and more recently the defeat of both Hezbollah and Assad - is still mostly saying “Israel has a right to defend itself. As massacres of 50-80 Gaza civilians - predominantly women and children - continue to occur on a daily basis.
Could there at least be a Christmas and New Years Truce? A brief silencing of the guns, a break from the endless massacre of innocents via fire-from-the-sky, as if Gaza were now Mordor.

It is certainly already nearly as desolate.

Someone needs to ask Bibi Netanyahu who is unusually and nearly singularly responsibility for all of this. WHEN AND HOW DOES THIS END?
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 16, 2024
There is a new chapter on the story of Mosab Hassan Yousef.

This is the original production of this. But he will soon be known far better than he was when Chris Cuomo brought his story to life here back in December 2023 at the outset of the war, in the wake of January 7th.

Hamas Founder's Son Turned Israeli Spy - Mosab Hassan Yousef, "The Green... youtu.be/llJxz1pAlQQ?si… via @YouTube
“Hamas’s Aspiration is global”

“The Muslim Brotherhood is Here in the United States.”

For clarification Mosab Hassan is unquestionably completely genuine and in is views, and like me he is a pacifist when it comes to saving human life from conflict. And this as he articulates very very clearly remains his view.

And for this reason - notwithstanding the fact that this latest broadcast is extremely triggering, and will likely soon become very controversial, is also very important.Image
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The target of this messaging is Americans. Not me.

And probably not you, even though a large portion of my followers are in the U.S.
Read 19 tweets

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