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Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
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20 Jun, 5 tweets, 2 min read
1/n The power of the internet is incredible. Long story short. Back in 2018, I built a set of trading indicators, some of them truly novel stuff which I haven't published neither in source or a paper. tradingview.com/u/redknight666…
2/n Needless to say that I have been using them successfully since then, but something interesting happened yesterday. A user of Tradingview platform sent me this message. Some of my indicators happen to have some likes, and I always wondered how people used them.
3/n Obviously I said YES, bring it on. The indicator in question is a very strange indicator from a family I named as "Trend Denormalized". Most oscillators have an equivalent TA version. And in fact, I have and used successfully too the TA-RSI and other unpublished ones.
4/n What's interesting is that after some reverse engineering on the charts I found this guy used it in what I would have said "A completely wrong way" but when using it with a laggy indicator that can pinpoint a stronger trend it just happened to be pretty precise for entries.
5/n It's great when someone uses something you build in unexpected ways because it gives you a deeper understanding of your own creation. I would say that the thing is completely tradeable. What do you think? #BTC #TradingSignals

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More from @federicolois

Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
13 Jun
1/n I have been sitting on this information for weeks on end, waiting someone to highlight it. But, if I tell you I will be subjected to 'being special' treatment. So, I wont give you the fish, I will teach you how to catch it.
2/n Resources and materials:
- [1] Total Coronavirus Deaths in Israel: worldometers.info/coronavirus/co…
- [2] National surveillance data: thelancet.com/journals/lance…
- [3] Supplementary: thelancet.com/cms/10.1016/S0…
3/n For better understanding you should be reading the whole [2] to understand what it means. I promise you it is worth the effort. I wont go anywhere (actually I will because I already wrote this).
Read 9 tweets
Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
21 May
1/n I have my doubts that with all the emojis the real message suffered. The more you look for unknown coronaviruses inside pneumonia patients, the more we are going to find. "I believe there are many animal [coronaviruses] out there that can transmit to humans"
This is key.
2/n Why would you ask? Because there exist something called: "Pneumonia of unknown etiology"
And that number at least in this study is a whooping 54%.
hindawi.com/journals/bmri/…
3/n Someone told me the other day: "Most people are blissly unaware that the world is a harsh place. They don’t appreciate most of what is around us..." And that is what's going on. We are unaware that in more than half of the pneumonias we dont know what causes it.
Read 5 tweets
Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
21 May
Mientras tanto nuestro presidentisimo @alferdez que tiene un grupejo de epidemiologos que parecen extras salidos de una revista condorito. Cierra todo por 1 semana, cuando haciendo esto mismo hoy es 1ero mundial en muertos diarios por millón. Ya lo dijo Einstein, insanity.
Que te quede claro, esto es una cuestión netamente política. Porque si miraran las estadísticas (y supieran lo que estan mirando) verían que ya se nota la desaceleración en las curvas de mortalidad y eso que tenemos 12 días de lag de datos.
Y algo más, a pesar de @FernanQuirosBA ser uno de los mas sensatos en toda esta locura, @horaciorlarreta comete el garrafal error de entregarle en bandeja la caída de la mortalidad que se vienen por mobilidad cerrando las escuelas. Sean inteligentes. @PatoBullrich @mauriciomacri
Read 4 tweets
Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
11 May
1/n I was going to write a review myself, because this paper was hilarious, specially the twist at the end. @MIT_CSAIL discovers through observations that there is something called "Scientific Method". But the thread by @commieleejones is just gold. He deserves a follow.
2/n But I think there is never a waste of a good thread. So I encourage the authors @crystaljjlee, @arvindsatya1 et al. To research a little bit about the THE SCIENCE because well, its kinda lacking.
3/n It doesn't require much to someone that has been working in data for a living for 10+ years to figure out when something like this happens, there is something afoul going on.
Read 7 tweets
Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
5 May
@GidMK @WesPegden @pafournier @AlastairMcA30 @sdbaral @VPrasadMDMPH 1/n That shouldn't be too difficult. Take a 50% seroprevalence location (my hometown serves quite well), spike based randomized serostudy done less than a month ago. Know the population, 125K inhabitants, 15% percent >60yo. 3 deaths over the entire pandemic below 40yo.
@GidMK @WesPegden @pafournier @AlastairMcA30 @sdbaral @VPrasadMDMPH 2/n Therefore, that is 60K (rounding down) infected people, and given our population structure we know that at least 30K of those had been below 40yo. Right? So from 30K infections you got 4 deaths.
@GidMK @WesPegden @pafournier @AlastairMcA30 @sdbaral @VPrasadMDMPH 3/n But we can do even better. You know I kinda know the person in charge there (did I mention is my hometown?). You know how many of those had been healthy? I dont want to spoil it, but...
Read 7 tweets
Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
4 May
1/n Unpopular opinion here, but stay with me. As noted there is a vaccine hesitancy problem in many countries (as some like to call it). For example, many report that in the USA there is more availability than people wanting to vaccinate.
2/n So what would governments do: "We are going to stay in lockdown because we cannot achieve 'herd immunity' this way", which if you have followed me this last year you know that not to be true, BUT, dont focus on that.
3/n The hesitancy problem is not gonna go away, those that wont take the vax until trial is over, wont take it no matter what you do. Those that already taken it, are not their problem anymore. What about the middle ground.
Read 7 tweets

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