A 🧵 about investment mistakes from a guy that has made them all. Topic:

WHEN SHOULD I SELL?

We have seen the Crypto market drop over 50% from its previous highs earlier this year.

IMO the decision to sell is the hardest decision anyone is faced with when investing money.
It doesn’t matter if you’re investing in cryptocurrencies or stocks. Whether it’s #Bitcoin or #AMZN, selling is a difficult call to make.

My personal struggle with the “should I sell” decision is likely a common struggle.

The decision to buy is easy. You’ve done your research
and you truly believe in the utility of the token - so you buy. In a bull market with everything going up - you buy. You believe in the business or the product - so you buy. You believe you have inside information - so you buy. You experience FOMO - so you buy.
Selling is much harder to do. If you are up and the token or stock is pumping, greed won’t allow you to sell. You refuse to sell early and miss out on all that
additional profit.

If you are losing money on your investment, you don’t want to take the loss or face the reality
that you were wrong (or maybe way too early).

Selling is also difficult because sometimes we become emotionally attached to what we have invested in. This emotional attachment is most prevalent in the Crypto space. As we all know, the digital asset space is very tribal.
People call your investment a shitcoin or a scam. Because they’re wrong, you become even more loyal to the token or asset.

Please believe me, I’m not judging anyone here. I’m speaking from personal
experience. I’ve been guilty of all of the things I’ve mentioned (ie don’t we
all FOMO at some point). Experience is the greatest teacher in life, including with investing. I’ve learned to take the emotion out of it.

I’m not attached, dedicated, or loyal to my #BTC my #ETH my #XRP my #AMZN or my #AAPL stock - nor even my house. I’m attached, dedicated,
and loyal to my family, not my investments. I’m emotional as hell about my family, not about stocks, real estate or crypto.

But I wasn’t always agnostic about my investments. I’m sharing my thoughts and mistakes with people because I see my younger self inside many of my
Crypto friends on Twitter. As the crypto market was tanking yesterday, I tweeted out don’t panic sell. Not because I’m so calm and chill, but because I have sold in a panic in the past.

For example, I’ve learned that when there is bad news before the stock market opens and the
pre-market share prices are tanking, you should never sell at the bell or during the morning session.

Experienced investors will tell you that the dumb money trades at the open (when emotions are high) and the smart money trades at the end of the trading day.
Of course, if you’re trading on leverage or margin, you might not have a choice sometimes. Been there and done that. I’ve experienced margin calls a few times in my life when I was fully leveraged and didn’t have the cash to rebalance my equity percent and had to sell at a loss.
Several of those margin calls came after I accumulated huge profits (on paper) but didn’t sell because of greed. And huge unrealized gains can disappear in an instance (think March 2020 and the covid crash).

In the past I’ve experienced a margin call because I didn’t sell a
couple stocks much earlier because I didn’t want to take the loss or admit I was wrong.

Like I said, experience is the greatest teacher. Because of experiencing those dark days and beating myself up, I don’t trade on margin or leverage that I can’t afford (assuming those
investments will get cut in half at any moment on bad news and with no notice).

Although it’s still difficult, I’ve gotten much better with the decision to sell.

Selling an investment should never be viewed as disloyal to a project or company or that you lack faith.
My goal now is that when I sell anything it’s an emotionless event. Certain objective criteria have been met so I sell. For example, everyone knows I own #XRP. I believe in #XRP and I’m fighting for #XRP.

But that doesn’t mean that I’ve never sold any #XRP since 2016.
There is nothing wrong with taking a profit. I’m sharing my mistakes because I remember @JoelKatz
commented something about there’s nothing wrong with cashing out some of your profits if you are up significantly and it improves your life or words to that effect.
I recall a few people taking issue with his statement and there was a lot of criticism, etc. I’ve also seen many people say that they will never sell their #BTC or #XRP or whatever. There’s nothing wrong with that and I don’t criticize their choice at all.

But some people
criticize others who have taken profits as if it’s disloyal to the token or the project or even that community.

I learned the hard way that I can’t time the market. Taking the emotion out of it has helped me greatly.

If you think you messed up, just know its called learning.

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More from @JohnEDeaton1

20 Jun
@sprwn is relying on what the @SEC_News said about me in response to #XRPHolders motion to intervene. I quoted an old adage in my reply brief:

“When You Resort to Attacking the Messenger and not the Message, You Have Lost the Debate.”

Many people didn’t read the reply brief.
But considering @sprwn has used the SEC as his only source in his unprovoked attack of me, I will quote my response to the SEC’s attack so that it is in proper context for those that are unaware:

“The SEC has attempted to portray XRP Holders’ counsel as an unhinged conspiracy
theorist crusader unfairly targeting the SEC. Attorney Deaton’s criticism of the former leadership of the SEC is mostly based on the media’s reporting regarding troubling discoveries of conflicts of interests, self-dealings and personal gain regarding former Director of
Read 14 tweets
14 Jun
Months ago I tweeted that the most important decision a prosecutor makes is at the beginning of a case when he decides what charges to file.

I predicted that the decision to charge @bgarlinghouse and @chrislarsensf with aiding and abetting would come back to haunt the @SEC_News.
The SEC charged the two executives with reckless conduct for the entirety of their tenures working at @Ripple.

What that means is that the SEC must prove that Brad and Chris actually believed #XRP was a security or it was reckless for them not to realize #XRP was a security.
When determining recklessness the court looks to what an objective person would believe under the circumstances.

What Ripple is arguing here is that if at any point during the last 8 years the SEC failed to classify #XRP as a security in connection with their own policies,
Read 12 tweets
8 Jun
AND WHAT IS THE LAW:

“Cryptocurrencies (sometimes called tokens or digital assets) are a lawful means of storing or transferring value and may fluctuate in value as any commodity would. In the abstract, an investment of money in a cryptocurrency utilized by members of a
decentralized community connected via blockchain technology, which itself is administered by this community of users rather than by a common enterprise, is not likely to be deemed a security under the familiar test laid out in S.E.C. v. W.J. Howey Co.”

-Judge Castel (Telegram-1)
Judge Castel also made clear:

“the security in this case is not simply the Gram, which is little more than alphanumeric cryptographic sequence. Howey refers to an investment contract, i.e. a security, as ‘a contract, transaction or scheme’,”

- J. Castel (quoting Howey)
Read 6 tweets
8 Jun
A partial historical review of @SEC_News 🆚 @Ripple:

The SEC waited 8 years to bring a case against @Ripple allowing individual investors to buy #XRP on over 200 exchanges worldwide.

In 2015 the DOJ and #FinCEN declare #XRP a convertible virtual currency.
In 2017 when the SEC aggressively sued companies in the digital asset space violating securities laws, it left Ripple and #XRP alone.

In 2018, the SEC allowed Ripple to purchase a 9% stake in @MoneyGram fulling knowing #XRP would be transferred to MG who would in turn
immediately sell it in the secondary market on exchanges like @coinbase to individual investors with no connection to or even knowledge of the company Ripple.

After more than a 2 year investigation into Ripple and it’s executives, the SEC could not find one instance of fraud or
Read 12 tweets
5 May
#XRPHolders:

I have more than a few DMs from people asking whether it’s possible that if we are successful in a motion to intervene and then lose the underlying case if sanctions would be ordered against #XRPHolders.

First, there are currently 6 named proposed intervenors.
I have alleged, along with those 6 named intervenors “and all others similarly situated.”

The 17,000sh people that have signed up to join are not officially in the case. The 6 named intervenors are not yet in the case for that matter. I have informed the Court that I represent a
putative class of 12k plus (it has grown since then). If we win the motion to intervene then that doesn’t mean everyone that signed up is a defendant in the case. In order to be a defendant in the case the judge would have to certify a class (ie “class action”). Before she did
Read 9 tweets
11 Apr
#XRP AND #EXCHANGES

I hope to be proven wrong but as I’ve said before I do not believe that @coinbase @krakenfx @binance etc. are going to re-list or un-suspend #XRP until the @SEC_Enforcement comes out and issues a no-action declaration or we get clarity from the SDNY Court.
Let me explain how the SEC Attorney misled the Court when answering Judge Netburn’s question regarding whether anyone selling #XRP would be violating Section 5 of the Securities Act.

This will also help me prepare for our brief (due in 8 days). 😥😫

Attorney Tenreiro said that
Section 4 exemptions would apply and therefore retail holders would not be in violation. Not true. If the purpose and intent is to have #XRP distributed by purchasers into a secondary market no exemption applies under Section 4, as Tenreiro suggested to Magistrate Netburn.
Read 9 tweets

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