So from 1876 through 1864, the Democratic Party won the majority of the 11 former Confederate states. 23 Presidential Elections in a row.

And since 1964, it's only won the majority of the former Confederate states once, in 1976.
Obviously, the Democratic Party of today is quite left-leaning and most of the former CSA states are right-leaning ideologically.

But that doesn't exactly explain this change.
For 86 years, most of the former Confederate states voted for Democrats during Presidential elections. No matter who the Democrat was.

And then, like a light switch, after 1964, it just stopped. With one notable exception in 1976 when former Georgia Governor Jimmy Carter ran.
The 1964 Civil Rights Act was passed before the 1964 Election.

The 1965 Voting Rights Act was passed the next year.

Other notable events occurred during this turbulent decade, the 1960s.

But this was a really abrupt change to a long, long pattern.
So, again, for the 23 elections between 1876 and 1964, the Democrats won the majority of former CSA states 23 times (100%).

But in the 14 elections that took place after 1964, the Democrats won the majority of former CSA states only once (7%).
And what fascinates me here is that the former CSA states have been loyal to one party or another in Presidential Elections.

First, intensely loyal to the Democratic Party.

And then, overnight, intensely loyal to the Republican Party.

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More from @TheValuesVoter

25 Jun
Good cops, and there are a whole lot of them in America, provide more value to society than we can ever pay them back in terms of salary and benefits. We need them badly.

But bad cops, like former officer #DerekChauvin, are an incalculable liability to society and to taxpayers.
This man, who is now a convicted murderer and under multiple federal indictments, had a gun, a badge and a taxpayer-funded salary less than 13 months ago today.

What is the impact of people like this on society? Let’s count the ways.
People like Chauvin and others who abuse their authority as officers:

- Hurt and kill the people they swore an oath to protect.
- Destroy the faith of many citizens in the idea of policing.
- Cost taxpayers a literal fortune. Nobody Defunds the Police more than bad cops.
Read 10 tweets
25 Jun
For all the GOP talking points about the border, let’s consider the actual Border Apprehension stats:

In 2021 (Biden’s Presidency)
01/2021 - 78,442
02/2021 - 101,117 (+28.9%)
03/2021 - 173,337 (+71.4%)
04/2021 - 178,854 (+3.18%)
05/2021 - 180,034 (+0.66%)
In 2019 (Trump’s Presidency)
01/2019 - 58,327
02/2019 - 76,545 (+31.2%)
03/2019 - 103,731 (+35.5%)
04/2019 - 109,415 (+5.5%)
05/2019 - 144,116 (+31.7%)

Source: CBP
The May, 2019 numbers, when Trump was President, were 80.0% of the May, 2021 numbers, when Biden was President.

There was a 130.0% increase between January and May, 2021, during Biden’s term.

And there was a 147.1% increase between January and May, 2019, during Trump’s term.
Read 6 tweets
22 Jun
As those of you who follow me know, I not only dive deep into polls but I also love it when I can find two groups of people who share multiple common demographic characteristics with one area being different.

So I noticed a couple more things.
White Evangelicals across the country tend to vote GOP. However, there is a pretty significant differences in the degree to which this is the case among white evangelicals in the north and white evangelicals in the south. Across multiple Presidential elections.
For example, in 2004, in North Carolina, Bush won white evangelicals 85-15 (+70). But in Michigan that year, Bush won white evangelicals 75-24 (+51).

That’s a 19 point difference.

pewforum.org/2012/12/07/ele…
Read 23 tweets
22 Jun
In 1965, 30 of the 32 Senate Republicans (93.75%) voted to pass the 1965 Voting Rights Act. The only "NAY" votes came from two Republicans from former Confederate States of America States.

In 2021, 0 of the 50 Senate Republicans (0.00%) are expected to support voting rights. ImageImage
In 1964, Democrats held 20 of the 22 Senate seats representing the 11 Former Confederate States of America states. 17 of these Democratic Senators voted "NAY" on the Voting Rights Act. Even though the leader of their party, Democratic President Lyndon Johnson, pushed hard for it. Image
In 2021, Republicans hold 18 of the 22 Senate seats representing the 11 Former Confederate States. Every single one of them is expected to vote "NAY" on Voting Rights. Image
Read 5 tweets
19 Jun
This is the spot where #Juneteenth began.

“Commemorated annually on June 19th, Juneteenth is the oldest known celebration of the end of slavery in the U.S. The Emancipation Proclamation issued by President Abraham Lincoln Sep. 22, 1862, announced, …
… ‘that on the 1st day of January A.D. 1863, all persons held as slaves within any state…in rebellion against the U.S. shall be then, thenceforward and forever free.’ However, it would take the Civil War and passage of the 13th Amendment to the Constitution to end …
… the brutal institution of African America slavery.

After the Civil War ended in April 1865 most slaves in Texas were still unaware of their freedom. This began to change when Union troops arrived in Galveston. …
Read 11 tweets
19 Jun
In case you’re wondering why the GOP is so intent on making it harder for people to vote, just look at the Senate itself. Rick Scott won his seat by only 10,033 votes in 2018.

Could making it harder to vote help them when close elections by discouraging that many voters? Yes!
Ted Cruz won his seat by only 2.57 points in 2018. In Texas and against a liberal.

Brian Kemp won the Georgia Governorship in 2018 by only 1.4 points or 54,723 votes. Way too close for southern comfort.

In 2020, the GOP won four US House seats by less than a point.
Making it more difficult for people to vote discourages voting. Which can alter the outcome of close races. In states where the GOP statistically does worse the more people vote.

Which is the point.
Read 4 tweets

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