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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
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25 Jun, 12 tweets, 7 min read
Delta up 4x in % in New York City—the #DeltaVariant has spiked to 22.7% of all #COVID19 cases in latest @nycHealthy data, up from only 5.6% the week prior. While cases low, 4x ⬆️ is an worrisome % increase, outpacing US overall growth. Masks recommended.🧵
www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid…
2) do not be deceived by low case numbers while #DeltaVariant is growing in the underbelly of low cases. We have seen what happens elsewhere. Even in heavily vaccinated UK and Israel, they still got #DeltaVariant outbreaks.
3) Notice how #DeltaVariant displaced other variants quickly … it will definitely happen in NYC too.
4) UK is more heavily vaccinated than the US. So is Israel. Yet they both got surges in cases. UK also seeing hospitalization increases too.
5) #DeltaVariant is the fastest identified variant to date. Faster transmission by leaps and bounds. We must be cautious.
6) #DeltaVariant spreads so goddamn fast that mere seconds of “fleeting” exposure by passing them in a shopping mall can lead to infection. This is how Sydney outbreak started. They are now in lockdown for part of the city. And yes—FLEETING contact with stranger is enough. See 🧵
7) I shudder to think how fast #DeltaVariant can spread in NYC crowded subways if “5-10 seconds” is all it needs to transmit to a new host.
8) don’t get complacent and don’t do what UK 🇬🇧 did in dropping the ball until it was too late and >90% and cases surged. Complacency kills with the #DeltaVariant. Watch the 3 videos in the thread 🧵 below.
9) not just in NYC, but it is growing very quickly across the US. I’ve been warning by #DeltaVariant for months since India 🇮🇳
10) US has just 1 month before crisis really unfolds nationwide, says @Bob_Wachter. You can lie to yourself everything is fine because we are vaccinated—but Israel is more vaccinated than any country and they just announced outbreak and mask mandates. We have 1 month to act now!
11) Off to bed — but consider — do you honestly think NYC or the Us will do much better against #DeltaVariant than the UK? Don’t be complacent. I’ll continue this thread tomorrow. Good night.
12) folks— Israel 🇮🇱 has now declared an outbreak due to #DeltaVariant — it is more 2 dose vaccinated than almost anywhere on the planet. Yet it is rescinding it’s no-mask relaxation after just one week. It’s reinstating masks now. NYC & the CDC should do the same. See thread 🧵

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
26 Jun
⚠️WEAR MASK EVEN IF VACCINATED—Top @WHO leader urges masks against #DeltaVariant even if 2-dose vaxxed. "Vaccine alone won't stop community transmission. People need to use masks consistently, be in ventilated spaces—even if you're vaccinated" #COVID19🧵
cnbc.com/2021/06/25/del… Image
2) "People cannot feel safe just because they had the two doses. They still need to protect themselves," WHO official Dr. Mariangela Simao @mariangelasimao told reporters.
3) The WHO comments come as some countries, including the Us, have largely done away with masks and pandemic-related restrictions as the Covid vaccines have helped drive down the number of new infections and deaths.
Read 12 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
26 Jun
BREAKING—Sydney 🇦🇺 just announced a two week lockdown for Greater Sydney because of #DeltaVariant. “If we’re going to do this, we need to do it properly. There’s no point doing a 3-day and then having #COVID19 continue to bubble away in the community.” theguardian.com/australia-news…
2) “at this stage, the best health advice we have is that a 2-week period or until midnight on Friday, July 9, is necessary, in order to make sure that we get to our target of zero community transmission, which has always been our target from the beginning of the pandemic.
3) “Given how transmissible the virus is, given extra exposure venues, we know that even the best contact tracers in the world can’t stay a step ahead unless we put this in and we need to do it properly. So there was no point doing 3-5 days because it wouldn’t have done the job.
Read 20 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
25 Jun
Let this sink in—Trump wanted to dump returning US tourists with possible #COVID19 on Guantanamo Bay, same maximum security detention center where US detains suspected terrorists. Trump also thought the US “owned” the island—it’s in Cuba 🇨🇺. Insane. HT @damianpaletta @yabutaleb7
2) Even more sociopathic… he had no empathy for sick #COVID19 patients and risk of Covid once he survived his bout with VIP drugs not available to others. What a tale… read thread 🧵
3) According to the book, Trump also was furious at Azar and CDC for doing testing. Testing! Trump thought not doing testing would allow him a victory.

amzn.to/3zNeuJC
Read 10 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
25 Jun
📍Govt leaders used ‘herd immunity by natural infection’ plan to create Boris Johnson’s 🇬🇧roadmap to purposefully “allow #COVID19 to circulate in younger people”. Dangerously “counter to ethics, common sense & science” says @yaneerbaryam.🧵
By @NafeezAhmed
bylinetimes.com/2021/06/24/the…
2) “Continuing COVID-19 transmission until summer 2022 will contribute to more than 35% of overall herd immunity, according to one model commissioned by the Government. Among documents from the Scientific Advisory Group on Emergencies (SAGE) – previously unreported until now…”
3) “– one presented to the group in February summarised modelling by the University of Warwick and Imperial College London based on scenarios defined by the Cabinet Office.
The document signed off by chairs of SAGE’s Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling sub-group came
Read 33 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
25 Jun
NEW—The #SARSCoV2 that causes #COVID19 could have started spreading in China as early as October 2019, two months before the first case was identified in the central city of Wuhan, a new study showed on Friday. 🧵
reuters.com/world/china/fi…
2) Researchers from Britain's University of Kent used methods from conservation science to estimate that SARS-CoV-2 first appeared from early October to mid-November 2019, according to a paper published in the PLOS Pathogens journal.
3) The most likely date for the virus's emergence was Nov. 17, 2019, and it had probably already spread globally by January 2020.

…some early cases had no known connection with Huanan, implying that SARS-CoV-2 was already circulating before it reached the market.
Read 7 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
25 Jun
Let this sink in—the world’s most 2-dose fully vaccinated country, Israel 🇮🇱, is forced to double-back and reinstate its indoor mask mandate. Why? Several fast outbreaks all triggered by the #DeltaVariant, which spread via “fleeting” exposure. #COVID19
timesofisrael.com/israel-to-rein…
2) “If a child has been abroad and arrives at school the next day, this is wrong. And everyone should say that to him and to his parents,” he said. 👀
3) While a majority of adults in Israel have been vaccinated and the country has one of the highest inoculation rates in the world, Ash said the numbers were still far from the 80% figure he said would mark herd immunity.
Read 14 tweets

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