JUST OUT in @NEJM: Safety / Efficacy data for @novavax COVID-19 vaccine.
-89.7% efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19
-86.3% against alpha variant (B.1.1.7)
-96.4% against other variants
-NO hospitalizations, NO deaths in vaccine arm
DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2107659

Brief thread:
@NEJM @Novavax The @novavax vaccine is a (spike) protein-based vaccine, with an adjuvant that psychs up the immune system. This is older tech, like pertussis / Hep B vaccines - and may (?!) be more acceptable to those who are a bit nervous about mRNA vaccines.
@NEJM @Novavax This report is on the UK trial - 15,000 participants. Half got placebo, half the vaccine (which is 2 doses, 21 days apart).
UK means this is mostly white people, though US data seems similar.
@NEJM @Novavax Efficacy 7 days after dose two is solid at near 90%. Starting the clock after dose 1 is, as expected, not as good - 70% or so. We'll need both doses I think.
@NEJM @Novavax Trial was conducted at B.1.17 (Alpha) variant was kicking off in the UK. Efficacy very good here as well. Great news.

Don't get too excited about the high efficacy against "other variants" though - no Delta in the population at the time this trial was going.
@NEJM @Novavax On to safety...
Systemic adverse events worse in vaccine group, particularly after dose 2 which we've come to expect. Most not severe.
@NEJM @Novavax A bit of a different side-effect profile than the @pfizer and @moderna shots. Less fever here. But headache, fatigue, muscle pain pretty common. Feels like some folks might need to take a day off of work after this.
@NEJM @Novavax @pfizer @Moderna Digging into the supplement for details on the serious events. 44 in vax group, 44 in placebo group. Nothing standing out as a "signal" on my first pass. Here's the cardiac data for those worried about this:
@NEJM @Novavax @pfizer @Moderna People always ask about pregnancy. Pregnant women excluded (as ever) from this trial. Some women became pregnant, but I can't find a hard count. One miscarriage reported in the vax group.
@NEJM @Novavax @pfizer @Moderna Take home?
-Solid SOLID efficacy for this protein-based vaccine.
-No data on efficacy against delta though
-Side effect profile seems on par with mRNA vaccines
-No major safety signals.
@NEJM @Novavax @pfizer @Moderna I assume this will get an EUA. The big question is whether this more familiar vaccine tech will move the needle and get some folks into the vaccinated camp. I hope so.

/Thread.

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More from @fperrywilson

14 Feb
Folks, we need to talk about this Vitamin D trial. I have no stake in this game - take Vitamin D if you want but this pre-print is super sus. (THREAD)
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
The paper is presented as a randomized trial of vitamin D supplementation in hospitalized patients with COVID. Interesting and important question! And the results appear dramatic: Image
If true, this would be one of (if not THE most) effective treatments for COVID. But there are problems...
Read 16 tweets
19 Jan
Thread to discuss our new RCT (ELAIA-1) appearing in @bmj_latest that showed some unexpected results in the world of electronic alerts for acute kidney injury.
bmj.com/content/372/bm…
We know that AKI goes unrecognized and, in theory, undertreated from large retrospective studies like this one from @dmoledina:
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Acknowledging that reality, many health systems (including the @NHSuk, have institute automated "alerts" for AKI).
Read 25 tweets
8 Dec 20
Looking through the @pfizer data submitted to #vrbpac now. Fascinating stuff here. Thread. 1/
Baseline characteristics. Not bad. ~10% Black. Would have liked to see more >=75 years old. 2/
Efficacy overall (that's the 95% you keep hearing about) and stratified by age group.
Looks similar whether > or < 55 years of age. 3/
Read 15 tweets
28 Oct 20
Thread:
Even a mediocre vaccine can end the pandemic. But there are some caveats. I wrote about this on vox.com last week,
vox.com/21528373/vacci…
but here are the highlights: (1/n)
Let's assume that, on average, every person with COVID-19 can infect 2 additional people (a bit lower than the R0 of 2.5 but makes math easier). (2/n)
To stop the pandemic, we need to prevent disease in 1 out of every 2 people.
So if the vaccine is 100% effective, we'd need to vaccinate 50% of the population.
(Technically vaccinate or infect 50% of the population but trying to stay simple.)
(3/n)
Read 13 tweets
16 Sep 20
I have no idea which #vaccine
@realDonaldTrump was talking about today. But if we are going to have a vaccine before 2021, it will be one of these seven.

Here are the details (THREAD)

methodsman.com/blog/current-c…
mRNA vaccines
Inactivated virus vaccines
Read 4 tweets
5 Aug 20
OK let's do this.
In one place - ALL the randomized trials of #Hydroxychloroquine for #COVID.

5 peer-reviewed RCTs. 1 large RCT still in pre-print, but deserves recognition.

All negative.

I don't know what else to say at this point.

medscape.com/index/list_124…
Read 10 tweets

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