Will Weisselberg flip?

A lot bearing down on him if he doesn't.

Read this sober analysis by former IRS Criminal Investigation supervisory special agent.

Plus includes a valuable comment by former Chief Assistant in Manhattan DA Office @DanielRAlonso.

justsecurity.org/77312/allen-we…
2. Key: How much jail time does #Weisselberg face if

A. pleads and cooperates
vs.
B. convicted after trial

I asked the oracle, @DanielRAlonso, who said:

for A: "excellent chance of a probationary sentence"
for B: "very likely a term of 1-3 but more likely 2-6 years or higher" Image
3. Former IRS special agent, Sheil, put it this way:

(1) fight charges and risk conviction after trial (most likely 2-6 years or higher)

(2) plead guilty but don't cooperate (likely as much as a year)

(3) plead guilty and cooperate (likely probation and payment of civil fines) Image
4. Another factor:

"Prosecutors conspicuously made references throughout the indictment to other Weisselberg family members."

Risks of charges against them?

"He would be well advised to avoid those risks especially after the prosecutors have now issued these public signals."
5. Another factor:

"Superseding indictments would seriously raise the sentencing guidelines baseline, and the enticing plea deal available to Allen now would vanish. ... He’d be well advised to plea and cooperate now than after any such indictment is entered." Image
6/6. Not as much a factor:

The prospect of federal charges being brought in addition for the tax crimes alleged in the indictment.

Sheil writes: "It would be ordinary practice for the IRS to let the state prosecution stand for the individual’s criminal liability."

<end> Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Ryan Goodman

Ryan Goodman Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @rgoodlaw

4 Jul
Exquisitely analyzed piece.

Trump lawyers laid false claim #Weisselberg-#TrumpIndictments were "fringe benefits" case.

Since then, DJT, Eric and Don Jr. have maintained that frame. So has much of the media!

Top #TaxLaw expert demolishes that framing.

justsecurity.org/77331/the-weis…
2. Paying a senior executive their income in wads of cash to avoid paying taxes is ... not a fringe benefit case. Image
3. Professor @DanielShaviro (the very top tax law expert who authored the article) also provides a list.

"The following items that the company paid for, on Weisselberg’s behalf, most emphatically do not fit the profile of potentially excludable fringe benefits": Image
Read 6 tweets
1 Jul
❗️❗️

The Trump Organization-Weisselberg Indictment alleges a FEDERAL tax fraud scheme.

Charges are serious and documented enough, and DA believes can prove beyond a reasonable doubt, so question is:

Where is the Garland Justice Department/IRS?

Are the feds coming next?
2. What a powerful fact in favor of the prosecution.
Read 4 tweets
28 Jun
.@SpeakerPelosi Bill to establish #Jan6 #SelectCommittee:

"The Speaker shall appoint 13 Members to the Select Committee, 5 of whom shall be appointed after consultation with the minority leader."

Maybe Members who vote against this Bill should be considered disqualified.
2. Good to see the bill to establish the January 6 Select Committee explicitly highlights investigation into "how technology, including online platforms ... may have factored into the motivation, organization, and execution of the domestic terrorist attack on the Capitol."
3. Judicious use of these powers👇 in public hearings could be an enormous benefit to the public and to truth-seeking.

Questioning for longer than 5-minutes
Questioning by staff of the Select Committee
Read 5 tweets
28 Jun
Questions to ask @DeptofDefense about U.S. strike on "Iran-backed militia groups in the Iraq-Syria border region."

Question 1: What can you say to assure Congress and the American people this will deter (rather than continue/escalate the cycle of violence).👇

#Iran #Iraq
Question 2: Why does the DoD/USG think this strike will deter, when the February strike didn't?

Question 3: Does DoD/USG acknowledge the February strike did not deter?

Good background reading (by @Mikeknightsiraq and Crispin Smith from May 2021).👇

washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
Question 4: The Feb. 25 U.S. strike was only in Syria. Did Iraq consent to June 27 U.S. strike on its territory?

Question 5: If Iraq did not consent, what's the international legal justification, and will the US submit a letter to United Nations (under article 51 of UN Charter)?
Read 14 tweets
25 Jun
“The Trump Organization is expected to be hit with criminal charges as soon as next week by Manhattan District Attorney Cy Vance’s office in a case that Trump attorneys say is tied to tax-related conduct, multiple people familiar with the matter tell NBC”

nbcnews.com/politics/donal…
2. Ron Fischetti, an attorney for the Trumps “said company lawyers met with Vance’s office on Thursday and tried to persuade the Manhattan D.A.’s office not to go forward.”
3. “Manhattan district attorney’s office has informed Donald J. Trump’s lawyers that it is considering criminal charges against his family business”

“Vance Jr. could announce charges against the Trump Organization and the executive, Allen H. Weisselberg”
nytimes.com/2021/06/25/nyr…
Read 4 tweets
24 Jun
Giuliani's "misconduct directly inflamed tensions that bubbled over into the events of January 6"

He "communicated demonstrably false and misleading statements to courts, lawmakers and the public at large in his capacity as lawyer for" Mr. Trump and the Trump Campaign.
2. "One only has to look at the ongoing present public discord…which erupted into violence, insurrection and death on January 6, 2021 at the U.S. Capitol, to understand the extent of the damage that can be done when the public is misled by false information about the elections."
3. Mr. Giuliani is:

"suspended from the practice of law in the State of New York, effective immediately, and until further order of this Court" and "until such time as disciplinary matters pending before the Committee have been concluded."

nycourts.gov/courts/ad1/cal…
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(