OK I'll bite :-)

Off the top of my head, here are 6 reasons (in somewhat random order) why a heterogeneous agent model allows you do more than "just starting from the MPC>>0 and then going forward from there":

(I'm sure there are many others -- what else?) Image
1. The world is dynamic: future income affects current consumption and current income affects future consumption. This obviously matters for policy.

HA models provide a framework for this, see eg the nice exposition by @a_auclert Rognlie @ludwigstraub web.stanford.edu/~aauclert/ikc.… Image
2. We may want to compare different policy options within the same framework, e.g. how does fiscal policy compare to monetary policy?

Again HA models provide a framework for this, see e.g. this nice recent paper by @ChristianKWolf scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/… Image
3. We may want to think about the distributional and welfare effects of monetary and fiscal policy. Again HA models allow you to do this, see e.g. @glviolante ecb.europa.eu/pub/conference… and ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps… Image
4. Q: how do we actually know how sensitive consumption is to current income?

A: mostly from micro evidence see e.g. the work of @ProfJAParker @p_ganong @pascaljnoel @Farrell_Diana @FionaGreigDC @AndreasFagereng @BlomhoffHolm @GNatvik @LorenzKueng @pilossopher @THEdanjlewis Image
4. (continued): would it perhaps be useful to have a framework that can connect to this micro evidence?

I happen to think so. HA models can do this. I struggle to see how the framework @JWMason1's envisions does this.
5. Related, I'd say there is really no such thing as *the* aggregate MPC. Instead there's a distribution of micro-level MPCs.

HA models feature exactly such a distribution and can connect with empirical evidence on it, see eg @GregWKaplan and @glviolante Image
6. There are lots of different potential transmission mechanisms of monetary and fiscal policy.

HA models provide an integrated organizing framework to think through these (and their distributional and dynamic effects), see e.g. benjaminmoll.com/research_agend… Image
OK let me stop here. What other reasons did I miss?

I should also add: obviously I'm not trying to say "all is amazing in macro."

And there are a number of arguments in @JWMason1's piece I'm quite sympathetic to, eg putting more emphasis on national accounting in PhD teaching
(p.s. I missed yesterday's EconFIP panel because it was a bit late in London so don't know what was discussed there)
Late addition:

7. Distribution may matter for aggregate MPC & dynamics more generally

Note: these distributional state vars can be v different from "inequality" e.g. distribution of savings from mortgage refinancing here arlene-wong.com/s/refinance.pdf

Thx @JohnHCochrane for nudging

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More from @ben_moll

1 Sep
I finally read this & thought the following was interesting: exercises quite similar to this ("saving rates rise with income, hence inequality increases aggregate saving") were a prime motivation for Friedman to develop the permanent income hypothesis in the 1950s.

1/ ImageImageImage
The excerpts above are from the conclusion of Friedman's "A Theory of the Consumption Function"

nber.org/system/files/c…

Whole book here nber.org/books-and-chap…

2/
This 1975 Alan Blinder paper "Distribution Effects and the Aggregate Consumption Function" has a nice exposition of the evolution of economic thought up to the 70s

jstor.org/stable/1837107

3/ ImageImage
Read 12 tweets
13 May
Do wealthier households save a larger share of their incomes than poorer ones?

I suspect most people's prior is that the answer is "yes." Turns out that's incorrect, or rather: things are considerably more subtle, at least in our Norwegian wealth tax registry data.

A short 🧵:
The 🧵 is based on a major revision of "Saving Behavior Across the Wealth Distribution: The Importance of Capital Gains", which is joint with @AndreasFagereng @BlomhoffHolm & @GNatvik

benjaminmoll.com/SBWD/

1/
Why do saving rates matter? Answer: for (i) secular trends in income & wealth inequality and (ii) how such distributional shifts feed back to macro aggregates

See eg great work by @M_De_Nardi @ludwigstraub @AtifRMian @profsufi @ProfGreenwald @SVNieuwerburgh @HannoLustig

2/
Read 16 tweets
15 Feb
#EconTwitter hivemind: what are your favorite papers combining “causal” micro estimates (say from DiD or RCT) with a general-equilibrium macro model to answer an interesting macro question?

This is for my PhD teaching so the easier to read the better. Thanks in advance!
p.s. self-submissions are definitely welcome, i.e. your favorite paper can be your own (aren't they usually? 😃)
Read 6 tweets
9 Feb
The benefits of new technologies accrue not only to high-skilled labor but also to owners of capital in the form of higher capital incomes. This increases income and wealth inequality.

New version of our work with @LukaszRachel and @pascualrpo and summary thread 👇 Image
Coincidentally this @voxdotcom "Billionaires Explained" show has a pretty good intuitive version of our theory netflix.com/watch/81097618 (from minute 8:00), there explained by @JeffDSachs. ImageImage
It's also worth adding that standard theories predict exactly the opposite, namely that (in the long-run) all benefits of automation accrue to labor in the form higher wages.

See for example aeaweb.org/articles?id=10… and the 2019 ERP govinfo.gov/content/pkg/ER… ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
25 Jan
Interesting proposal to tax capital gains on accrual rather than realization. But isn't it a bit more complicated than "unrealized capital gains are the dominant form of income of the rich and should therefore be taxed"?

A short thread:
Basic econ theory says: 1. source of capital gains matters, 2. whether you buy/sell matters.

Example: if only reason stock price increases is falling interest rates & investors just live off dividends/never sell, unrealized cap gains are just "paper gains" so why tax them?

1/
That the source of capital gains should matter for how they are taxed is an old argument.

Here are two short papers I found, one from 1940 and one from 1979.

First, Paish (1940) jstor.org/stable/2550234

2/ Image
Read 7 tweets
16 Nov 20
When a small minority of loud economists attacks researchers from other disciplines, it makes us all look bad.

And allows the media to pit economists against epidemiologists in this unhelpful way economist.com/finance-and-ec…

A short thread:
This @TheEconomist article does not reflect the views of most economists I know.

Most economists I know did not "get off on the wrong foot" with epidemiologists. Instead they highly value their work and just try to learn from it as much as possible.

1/
They do not "intensely criticize" epidemiologists' models or their use. Instead they have hugely benefited from them and been very much aware of how difficult it is to forecast an epidemic in the face of limited and fast-changing data availability and quality.

2/
Read 9 tweets

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