This has actually been beautifully explained by Aditya Khemka sir in his 1.5 hour YouTube video :


Pharma is not 1 market : it is 4000 different molecules and markets. In some markets we are beginning b
to see china+1 play out. In some we have not.
In some, india has a cost competitive advantage and so we are able to take market share away from China.

In some we simply cannot compete with China and so china will gain market share.
As an example : laurus is not seeing any china+1 play out.

The more structural change to track is dependence on china for KSM is going down across the board.

Indian api makers are truly becoming attmanirbhar (or at least reducing china nirbharta).
Neuland, Divi's many others are reporting reduction in depenence on China through backward integration and better supply chain management.

At same time, this is capitalism. China won't go down without a fight. Others like Solara see fierce competition from China too:

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More from @sahil_vi

13 Jul
Here is a thread on understanding operating leverage.
But before that, leverage.
A lever can lift a large weight with help of a smaller weight because of the long arm. This is because of the balancing of torques. A small weight can lift a large weight. That is leverage.
Read 24 tweets
12 Jul
Cell Lines
Cell Culture
Tissue Culture
Mammalian Cell culture
Insulin production

If you hear these terms often but wonder how to understand the coherent way in which they come together, I cannot recommend this YouTube Channel enough:

Shomu's Biology
List of lectures on Mammalian Cell Culture:




Rest you can look up on YouTube
I have subscribed to his channel.
Disclaimer: DOn't know the channel founder/operator, no vested interest, just an eager learner :)
Read 4 tweets
10 Jul
Given the immense interest in this #investment #process thread about how to get investment ideas, thought of creating a logical follow-up 🧵

Given that I have an idea & some sense for valuation & growth, how do i construct a portfolio?

If you like the thread, plz RT.
First thing worth mentioning is that I am only describing my own process. Others can follow a different process which could work for them.

Opposite of a good idea can also be a good idea
Before understanding the process itself, it is important to understand the problems the process is being designed to solve for. What are the key hurdles or troubles I have faced in designing my PF.
Read 50 tweets
9 Jul
I am reminded of a wonderful fable I read few months ago in am investing book (forgot which one). It goes something like this:
5 friends are walking in a desert. They end up meeting god ny chance and God tells them that they will satisfy one wish for each of them.
Person 1 asks for a camel. They get it. They are very very happy.

Person 2 looks at person 1 like they are a fool. Person 2 thinks what a fool to have asked for such a small thing. Person 2 asks god for 10 camels and 10 kg of gold. They get it and are very very happy.
Read 8 tweets
7 Jul
Do you believe intelligent extraterrestrial life exists?
I am firmly in the yes camp.
Do we live inside a simulation or base reality?
Read 5 tweets
7 Jul
Had a look at #cleanscienceipo
My key takeaways:
1. Really specialty chemicals. Many cos operate under the guise of specialty but this one is the real deal. They did not file patents to protect their process IP.
2. Margins and unit economics top notch. Even china imports from this Co. Wow. Invested in backward integration recently to increase gross margins. Only depend on commodity chemicals as starting materials now.
3. While last 3 years profit CAGR was 42%, i don't think next 3 years will see repeat.
(i) topline growing at 14% in an industry growing at 8-11%.
(ii) some operating leverage and favorable product mix can take profit CAGR to 18-20% IMO.
(iii) I Won't pay PEG of 2.5 for any biz
Read 5 tweets

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