Here is a thread on understanding operating leverage.
But before that, leverage.
A lever can lift a large weight with help of a smaller weight because of the long arm. This is because of the balancing of torques. A small weight can lift a large weight. That is leverage.
Imagine that sales of a co went up 10% and operating profit went up 25%. Can we conclude that this is definitely operating leverage?
The answer is in the next tweet
No, we cannot definitively conclude that. Profits could have gone up for a variety of reasons. Example, better sales mix (better gross margins). One off reduction in any of the myriad costs a biz has to bear. Last but not the least, operating leverage.
What is operating leverage?
It is essentially the growth in costs of operations being lower than growth in sales. In other words, a “sub-linear” growth in operating costs with growth in sales is what provides operating leverage. Lets look at an example.
Vaibhav Global
Here, take a look at VGL’s simplified P&L statement statement from tikr.com
What is the cost item most responsible for the large operating leverage?
The Answer is Other operating expenses.
Have a look at this same data as tikr.com in google sheets with 5 year CAGR for each line item computed.
You can see that other expenses are growing much slower than topline. 15% CAGR for topline versus only 7% for the other expenses. This is also one of the largest expenses in the P&L statement. So it should not come as a surprise that its slow growth will pump up operating profits
To a lesser extent, depreciation growth (11%) is also much slower than topline growth (15%). This is another source of operating leverage. What is happening here? That requires one to look beyond the P&L and listen to the commentary in the concalls.
Now one needs to think about *why* the operating leverage exists.
For example, if you break up, cost of goods sold, you see that cost of raw material has almost not grown compared to cost of purchased stock in trade.
If we break up the “cost of goods sold” line item & also by reading the annual reports, concalls, we realize that a lot of VGL’s goods sold are not manufactured in-house, they are contracted to small manufacturers. This will be useful later.
If we look into the notes to the P&L statement through the years (sample attached) we will observe one large cost: Content and broadcasting. This is growing very slowly.
Thus, There are 2 trends playing out in the biz which cause a large operating leverage.
1. If we break up the “cost of goods sold” line item, we realize that a lot of VGL’s goods sold are not manufactured in-house, they are contracted to small manufacturers.
Thus, manufacturing costs are low and this is reflected in the low CAGR of depreciation and also to some extent other operating expenses. Other key cost trend driving operating leverage is their sales medium.
2. They buy airtime on TV channels. Cost of airing content to a fixed # of homes is fixed. Think about the app they build. The operating costs of an app and backend do not scale linearly with # of users. Thus, the content delivery costs grow slowly compared to incremental sales
All these factors combined result in Operating Leverage.
It is the operations themselves which act as a 'lever' allowing a 'small' sales growth to result in a 'large' operating profit growth.
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More from @sahil_vi

15 Jul
@BarnwalAashish @itsTarH Very^1000 different.
1. TAM: CS with its 30-60% market share has a far smaller TAM than TC. Tc Has single digit global market share. The picture is only getting started, here.
2.look at topline growth. 26% cagr for tatva pre covid, 22% including covid year. 14% for CS.
@BarnwalAashish @itsTarH 3. TC has quantified it's durable competitive advantage. Takes competitors 3-7 years to get into supply chain of clients. I don't know this quantification for CS
4. Much larger capex for TC (70% expansion) compared to 30% for CS
@BarnwalAashish @itsTarH 5. R&D spend is much higher for TC at around 1.7%. Guidance of 3-4% post commissioning of new R&D center.
Read 10 tweets
15 Jul
What company should i make my next company thread on?
1. Strides
2. Vaibhav Global
3. Tatva Chintan
Strides
A very misunderstood company with discernible change. Thanks to @itsTarH for bringing it on my radar. Lots of value unlocking opportunities like Stelis, injectables. Trading at a discount coz its getting valuation of the worst/most gruesome biz. Next 5 years will be very
@itsTarH Different than last 5 IMO. Even base biz (regulated markets) likely to do better, & as the promoter exits the valuations might improve. Branded biz in unregulated markets can provide stability to cashflow going forward.

Stelis has book value of 2500cr. Strides owns 33% Image
Read 10 tweets
12 Jul
This has actually been beautifully explained by Aditya Khemka sir in his 1.5 hour YouTube video :


Pharma is not 1 market : it is 4000 different molecules and markets. In some markets we are beginning b
to see china+1 play out. In some we have not.
In some, india has a cost competitive advantage and so we are able to take market share away from China.

In some we simply cannot compete with China and so china will gain market share.
As an example : laurus is not seeing any china+1 play out.

The more structural change to track is dependence on china for KSM is going down across the board.

Indian api makers are truly becoming attmanirbhar (or at least reducing china nirbharta).
Read 4 tweets
12 Jul
Cell Lines
Cell Culture
Tissue Culture
Mammalian Cell culture
Insulin production

If you hear these terms often but wonder how to understand the coherent way in which they come together, I cannot recommend this YouTube Channel enough:

Shomu's Biology
List of lectures on Mammalian Cell Culture:




Rest you can look up on YouTube
I have subscribed to his channel.
Disclaimer: DOn't know the channel founder/operator, no vested interest, just an eager learner :)
Read 4 tweets
10 Jul
Given the immense interest in this #investment #process thread about how to get investment ideas, thought of creating a logical follow-up 🧵

Given that I have an idea & some sense for valuation & growth, how do i construct a portfolio?

If you like the thread, plz RT.
First thing worth mentioning is that I am only describing my own process. Others can follow a different process which could work for them.

Opposite of a good idea can also be a good idea
Before understanding the process itself, it is important to understand the problems the process is being designed to solve for. What are the key hurdles or troubles I have faced in designing my PF.
Read 50 tweets
9 Jul
I am reminded of a wonderful fable I read few months ago in am investing book (forgot which one). It goes something like this:
5 friends are walking in a desert. They end up meeting god ny chance and God tells them that they will satisfy one wish for each of them.
Person 1 asks for a camel. They get it. They are very very happy.

Person 2 looks at person 1 like they are a fool. Person 2 thinks what a fool to have asked for such a small thing. Person 2 asks god for 10 camels and 10 kg of gold. They get it and are very very happy.
Read 8 tweets

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