President @VonDerLeyen unveiling #FitFor55 climate package now.

It is the largest single batch of legislation to stop climate change proposed by any government anywhere, designed to update EU laws to meet the new 2030 emissions reduction target of 55% (raised from 40%).
That EU 2030 target was raised in December, motivated partly by the #FridaysForFuture climate protests.

But for the past 6 months there have been many questions about how the new target will be met.

Today we're getting answers.
energymonitor.ai/policy/eu-emis…
Other major economies are also setting more ambitious 2030 emissions reduction targets.

But today the EU becomes the first to spell out how to reach the goal with detailed policy proposals.
energymonitor.ai/policy/green-d…
There are 12 legislative proposals, but these are the main ones:

💶 A carbon border tax (#CBAM) on imports from countries without stringent climate legislation

🚗🏠🚢 Expanding emissions trading to cars, buildings and ships

⛽️ Changing energy taxation from volume to content
Out of the 3, EC is only conceding that the last one is a tax.

If either of the other 2 are deemed a tax they'll need unanimous approval by all 27 EU governments - with likely veto by 🇵🇱. Hence "Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism".

EC insists this won't be an income generator.
But could the new ETS for cars & buildings also be deemed a tax? That's been the debate in 🇩🇪, which is the only EU country to have already established emissions trading for these two sectors.

There's lots of doubt if this new mini-ETS is a good idea.
energymonitor.ai/policy/carbon-…
EU Com President @VonDerLeyen: "Change on this scale I never easy, even when it’s necessary. For that reason here are some that say we should go slower. But when it comes to climate change, doing less or doing nothing literally means changing everything."
"There is no time to waste," says Vice President @TimmermansEU

"People are dying in NW Canada because it's 50 degrees celsius there. Siberia reaches over 35. We saw Tornados in the Czech Republic - who would have ever thought of that?"

"We don't have the luxury of denying this"
EU economy chief @PaoloGentiloni on carbon border mech:
"We're very proud of leading EU role, today we're confirming that. Of course early movers have advantages but also face risks. Risk here is what we call carbon leakage - production shifting to countries with lower standards"
Climate campaigners aren't reacting positively to main elements of today's package - notably putting a price on emissions from cars and buildings.

They say EC is letting industry off the hook and shifting the burden of fighting climate change to citizens.
friendsoftheearth.eu/press-release/…
This is all part of an ongoing disagreement over market mechanisms that goes back 2 decades.

The #EUETS forms the bedrock of today's #FitFor55 package. But climate campaigners have never been big fans of emissions trading. energymonitor.ai/policy/carbon-…
VP @TimmermansEU responds to EP Environment Committee chair @PCanfin saying #EUETS for cars is "political suicide" - saying it's "nonsense".

"I’m a politician, I’m not one for political suicide"

"I’d like to ask MEPs and others, look at the proposal before you judge it."
Timmermans: "We need to do something about housing and transport, and if you look at the instruments we have we've come to the conclusion [ETS] gives us the most opportunity to compensate those who need compensation and gives best incentive to energy producers to decarbonise."
"Transport is increasing its emissions" says Timmermans.

"If there was a proposal which did same thing but better we’d be open to that, but to date we haven’t seen that."

"Those who voted in favour of the climate law" and are complaining "have to come up with an alternative".

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More from @DaveKeating

14 Jul
The EPP, the largest and most powerful political group in the EU, has declared that the Polish government is putting the country on the road to "Polexit" with its dismantling of the rule of law.

Today the country refused to implement rulings of the ECJ.
eppgroup.eu/newsroom/news/…
The ECJ ruled last year that Poland’s Disciplinary Chamber must suspend the politically-motivated cases it is pursuing against judges.

The decision "shows blatant disregard for the EU’s highest court" Amnesty International said today. amnesty.org/en/latest/news…
What happens if a member state refuses to abide by ECJ rulings (relevant now for 🇵🇱&🇭🇺) has never been confronted. It is a treaty violation, but does it result in expulsion?

No, there is still no codified way to expel a member state (just like in 🇺🇸).
bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Read 4 tweets
14 Jul
There's been a lot of recent takes that the EU is a failure if it can't enforce a 'union of values' on all its constituent states.

But it's worth pointing out that this is a problem encountered by every federation of states with degrees of sovereignty. apnews.com/article/joe-bi…
Just like President Von der Leyen, President Biden has very limited ability to counter the erosion of democratic rights in US states when it comes to areas that are a state competence.

Like Brussels, Washington has some limited tools. But Texas can mostly do what it wants here.
VDL & Biden can condemn with a moral argument. They can look for ways to deter the member state behaviour through condemnation, or through withholding funding.

But in a federation, ability to directly intervene is limited. EU & US very different, but face similar problems here.
Read 6 tweets
12 Jul
Breaking: EC spokesman signals pushback against #Malta's entry ban on unvaccinated EU citizens.

"It's true member states can put in place restrictions to protect public health. However any such measure that restricts free movement needs to be proportionate & non-discriminatory" Image
"A vaccine certificate cannot be a precondition for the exercise of free movement. This is 1 of the main principles of the EU digital Covid certificate regulation"

"We have concerns that these measures could discriminate against those persons who are not fully vaccinated" #Malta
A reminder: Just like in US, EU member states cannot close their borders with one another.

Unlike in US, there's exceptions for emergencies but they must be justifiable. Idea of certificate (vax, PCR test & antibodies) was once available these closures are no longer acceptable.
Read 4 tweets
12 Jul
#Malta's decision to start banning all unvaccinated travellers (even EU citizens) violates the spirit, if not the letter, of EU travel pass legislation.

Will the EC say such suspensions of Schengen free movement are no longer justifiable because the certificate is now available?
#DeltaVariant cases in key 🇪🇺 countries - 🇵🇹🇪🇸🇨🇾🇲🇹 among them - are rising rapidly following 🇬🇧 rise.

But tourism industry is warning governments not to overreact. Hospitalisations and deaths are not rising at anywhere near the same pace, because most Europeans are vaccinated. ImageImageImage
The charts showing the rapid rise in Covid cases in Europe as the #DeltaVariant spreads are legitimately alarming.

The big question is whether Europe's high rate of vaccination (the highest of any continent) will protect against hospitalisations and deaths even as cases rise.
Read 5 tweets
8 Jul
Hi @TVietor08, loved the @PodSaveAmerica 4th July podcast on debunking narratives.

But I disagree that the US is exceptional because "Our constitution, our system of government, is unique in that we have this capacity to amend it and fix it over time."
crooked.com/podcast/baby-y…
The idea that the US is a young, agile democracy and the nation states of Europe are old and inflexible is itself an American narrative that needs debunking.

Because the precise opposite is true.
The nation states of Europe are almost all younger than the US. Their constitutions are more recent. And they are constantly amending and reinventing things to adjust to modern realities - something the US is now incapable of doing.
Read 8 tweets
2 Jul
As predicted, #Slovenia's Orban ally PM Janez Janša used his 1st meeting with commissioners to expound on his world view rather than outlining EU presidency plans.

Because of what he said in that meeting, VP Timmermans refused to join him in presser after
politico.eu/article/rule-o…
“I simply could not be on the same podium with PM Janša after his unacceptable attack on and defamation of two judges and two S&D MEPs" Timmermans said.

By contrast, Von der Leyen was reportedly muted in her pushback against Janša. She is in his same EPP political group.
But in presser VDL reminded Janša that 🇸🇮 “has an important role to play on current rule of law files" because at this crucial moment of recovery financing "trust is our most valuable asset"

In other words don't try to delay these files until French presidency starts in 6 months
Read 4 tweets

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