I haven't said anything about the #SouthAfrica situation up until now, but there is becoming increasing concern about infrastructure attacks, food shortages, etc.

If I see them, I'll add them as a thread here.
A key component of the commercial infrastructure is the warehouses, which are getting targeted en masse. Discussions of larger corporations pulling out.
On a fundamental level, this wave of looting may have been sparked by the arrest of former President Zuma, but at the heart of the matter is this: the South African people are hungry.

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More from @vcdgf555

15 Jul
While there has been considerable focus on Chinese interests at home & abroad via satellite, I thought I might take a look at some of the other lesser known Chinese (alleged) installations. Great Coco Island, Myanmar is one such location.

However, there is something lacking.

1/ Image
To begin with, the island airfield has remained in a state of incompletion, despite a widening of the original runway. Currently, the runway is ~2600 meters long, but has been this long since at least 2018 with no noticeable evidence of intent to finish.

2/ Image
One need only look at the measure of resolve of the Chinese industrial and military base by viewing bases in Djibouti or the South China Sea for evidence of rapid gains.

By comparison, the airfield has inadequate hangars or housing for any kind of long endurance basing.

3/ Image
Read 4 tweets
27 Apr
Chinese Air Force 🇨🇳 B-737 VIP/diplomatic flight spotted landing at Dhaka, the capital of Bangladesh 🇧🇩.

B-4026 is a Boeing 737-76D #7BB0E1, part of Central (PLAAF HQ) Command's 34th Transport Division, 100th Air Regiment out of Beijing.
Back tracing the origin of the flight, FR24 coverage only began as it left Myanmar, but that is not where it came from. Briefly, 2 hours ago, the flight was spotted on ADSBx over Thailand. This is also NOT where it originated from.
So, Wei Fenghe, Defence Minister of China, is in Dhaka today.

thedailystar.net/bangladesh/new…
Read 6 tweets
31 Mar
Starting my own thread of OSINT indicators about how the Ukrainian-Russian Donbass military buildup is progressing.
First casualties of the day appear to be an errant truck.

Dark humor aside, it was crossing a river bridge carrying equipment for making bridges to cross rivers.
General consensus from the tank enthusiasts/OSINTs was that these were T-72s.
Read 27 tweets
30 Mar
One of the cheekiest things I've seen in a while from CCP censors.

Gonna post this, go pour myself a cup of coffee, then will be back in 10 minutes. See if you can spot what I see.
Ok, back.

Lately the Chinese military has been switching some aircraft nose numbers to a two digit format, like this example I noted yesterday. The Y-8Q above has no 2nd digit, which instantly raised suspicion. Could it be a new format of just one digit?
No, or at least, not this time!

The photographer chose a set up to catch the lens flare. Light should not bend, correct?

Well, it just so happens to bend conveniently where a 2nd digit would be!
Read 6 tweets
29 Mar
Good morning.

Last night, I spotted two aircraft using military callsigns and ranges of hex codes leaving the Dalian, Shanghai region where known Y-8Q/KQ-200 (GX6) & Y-8JZ (GX8) are based. They overflew the western Pacific east of Taiwan near Okinawa, then returned.
The easiest airframe to be identified is the Y-8Q/KQ-200 (GX6), tail no. 82014.

Given there was a Y-8Q last night on FR24 within the hex code ranges of other known Y-8Q codes, I feel confident #7A431C belongs to 82014. The margin of error exists because #7A431D was also out. ImageImageImage
The other aircraft is a Y-8JZ (GX8), nose no. 24. There are 8 known Y-8JZs, of which the serial range for 4 of them are tied to 9xx1 coding from PLANAF 2nd Div/6th Air Regt.

9211, 9221, 9231 & 9241 S/Ns exist. I'm confident this one is 9241.

Note the new paint area on the tail. ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
25 Dec 20
Rumblings of trouble in Iraq tonight. May turn into a thread as situation progresses.
Pair of KC-135s over UAE, heading west currently.

60-0337 (AE0482)
59-1502 (AE0597)
This is what started the trouble. AAH militias threatening a response.
Read 25 tweets

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