Cautious Reopening plot tells its own story of things going wrong as all the stats lurch in the wrong direction as Delta exceeds 80% of cases. As red dots
783 cases, 135% last Wednesday
73 hospital, 122% last Weds
20 ICU, 118% last Weds
/1
783 cases, 135% last Wednesday
73 hospital, 122% last Weds
20 ICU, 118% last Weds
/1
The 4294 cases this week are 130% previous week, at that rate there would be 400k cases by end of September with 8,000 admitted to hospital. That doesn't look very sustainable & would likely lead to a lockdown unless that rate reduces - we are close to central 2 scenario /2
That Central 2 Scenario is pretty grim, including 1150 additional deaths & its worrying thats the current trajectory before the high risk opening of indoor hospitality /3
We got more detail on the very large numbers of cases being traced to travel at the NPHET briefing, these are not cross border and in fact Spain tops the list - this is a lot of the recent case increase & likely to get worse as travel gets easier on the 19th /4
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