Update on COVID hospital admissions in England.
636 admissions reported today. The 7-day average is up by 42% in the last week. Implied doubling time is 14 days.
There’s been a slight fall in the rate of increase but this is still rapid growth in admissions. 1/5
636 admissions reported today. The 7-day average is up by 42% in the last week. Implied doubling time is 14 days.
There’s been a slight fall in the rate of increase but this is still rapid growth in admissions. 1/5
To see the slight fall in the rate of increase more clearly, here is an “R-like” estimate based on hospital admissions. With a reducing proportion of infections turning into admissions, it probably understates R slightly.
The fall in the last few days is quite clear. 2/5
The fall in the last few days is quite clear. 2/5
All English regions are showing strong increases in hospital admissions over the past week. Growth is fastest in London, the East and South West. Growth is now slowest in the North West. Admissions are highest in the North East, and still rising rapidly. 3/5
Hospital bed occupancy for COVID-19 has risen significantly in the last week. Mechanical ventilation beds occupancy is up by 30% and other bed occupancy is up by 46%. 4/5
The age profile of COVID-19 admissions is much younger than during the second wave. Half are now aged below 45, as discussed in our recent blog. This reduces in-hospital mortality by half, and reduces the average time spent in hospital. 5/5
https://twitter.com/COVID19actuary/status/1411688410943733761
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