Ignoring baseline partisanship and going solely by race and education-based splits, Democrats performed about 8% below expected in Florida in 2020.
The struggles with the Cuban community are well-documented, but they also perform *way* worse than expected among college whites.
The struggles with the Cuban community are well-documented, but they also perform *way* worse than expected among college whites.
I see the white retiree issue, but here's the thing: it's not just Democrats struggling with them; that's not the underperformance area that stands out to me. There's a persistent underperformance among college-educated whites that cuts against the state's demographic profile.
I don't think there's honestly much to instill confidence in me that we reverse this, but if they wanted to do it, there's a path, even if it's very hard. 60% of Floridans are pro-choice, 73% are pro-climate action. 67% are majorly pro-criminal justice reform.
There's a clear path to flipping these voters, even accounting for the retirees issue, by focusing on those policy areas and building a competent statewide machine that ties FL Republicans to the national GOP platform and positions Dems well, but it's Florida Democrats, so...
Yeah, and also an under-discussed factor is how the panhandle is zooming left because it behaves like the rest of the Deep South instead of the rest of Florida.
https://twitter.com/MCSmith10463778/status/1416427676802428934?s=20
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