One my dearest friends recently got victim of credit card fraud.

Some non-obvious learnings:

1/ The first 8 digits of your card can be derived from who your bank is. Don't get tricked in "giving digits 9 to 12 for control purpose" – it might be all a fraudster needs.
2/ Fraudster can call or send SMS from what looks like your bank's number.

If you receive a suspect call from your bank, ask who's calling (and if they have an employee code), then hang up, google the bank's number, call it yourself, and ask for the person who called.
3/ Fraudsters can know many details of your life, including your bank and account number, mobile phone model, recent purchases, etc.

They might have an accomplice in your town, going through your mail in your trash bin (that's what I suspect happened with my friend).
4/ Obviously, never give security codes. Never. Ever.

Be immediately suspicious of whoever asks for them.

In case of doubt, hang up, then google your bank's phone number, call them, and continue the conversation there.
5/ Never, ever, click on a link in an email. Even if you suspect it's your bank's. Always open a new browser tab, manually digit your bank's website address (or use a bookmark), and access the bank from there.
6/ Unless you really need them, keep the credit card limits low, to limit damage.

My friend had them low, then increased them once as he went for holiday abroad, and forgot to lower them once back. So, instead of losing 1.5k€, he lost 4k€.
7/ Have at least two bank accounts. This way, you won't hesitate to block one in case of suspicion of fraud.

My friend got conned also because he was reluctant in blocking his one bank account where he had substantial money on.
8/ To file a police complaint, you might need bank documents.

Call daily to ask for them and require updates. My friend got his bank account blocked for weeks, because he asked once and just trusted that the bank would send them quickly.
9/ I know we all think banks have solid anti-fraud system, and many do, and often the money is recoverable, but even then.

Fraud can happen, and it has all kind of collateral damage (stress, temporarily losing access to the account, etc.)

Let's talk more about it, proactively.
10/ Do the below even if it feels unnecessary – no one got conned when thinking it was necessary.

11/ Common question: isn't credit card fraud recoverable?

Usually it is, but the hours my friend spent fixing it (claims, etc) aren't.

Also, he lost money because he had to cancel a work trip (he's self-employed), stress, etc.

A lot of collateral damage; better prevent it.

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More from @DellAnnaLuca

14 Jul
In a country with say 50% vaccinated, on average, less than 50% of the contacts of a person with COVID are vaccinated (because vaccinations aren’t homogeneous).

One reason why many places are still seeing cases grow despite more and more vaccinations.
Also cases aren’t homogeneous; see this map from September 2020.

(Also, the blue areas dispel the myth that lockdowns cause an increase in deaths - they display areas in which fewer people died compared to previous years). Image
It’s the sum of two considerations:

1) Given 50% vaccination rate (say), a person that gets the virus has a >>50% chance of not being vaccinated.

2) A non-vaccinated person is more likely than average to be part of a non-vaccinated family, to have non-vaccinated friends, etc
Read 4 tweets
13 Jul
A VISUAL FRAMEWORK FOR ANTIFRAGILITY

(thread, 1/N)
2/ First, the basics. The antifragile (a term coined by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his homonymous book) is what benefits from variation, usage, problems, and feedback.

Example: using our muscles to lift weights makes them stronger.
3/ The antifragile also exhibits robust and fragile behaviors.

(In the picture below, the former diagram represents the fragile and the latter represents the antifragile.)
Read 21 tweets
7 Jul
Horrific.

Note that they built human-virus labs in the middle of metropolises such as Wuhan and agricultural-virus labs in the middle of monoculture fields. That's everything you need to know about whether you should listen to them regarding risks.

(link via @maartenmeijer)
The previous agricultural-virus lab was built on an island, so that the ocean could provide a cordon of safety in case of a leak.

They decided to move it in the agricultural heartland.

Decisions made around researchers, not around keeping our lives and livelihoods safe.
"The risk assessment didn’t even attempt to quantify the likelihood of malicious or deliberate acts."

"In 2001, anthrax stolen from a federal bioweapons lab killed five people and sickened 17 more."
Read 5 tweets
25 Jun
It looks like the school has agency:; but its movements are decided by the fishes, each taking *individual* decisions.

Same for companies: it seems they have agency, but their behavior is caused by individual decisions of their managers, each made on individual incentives.

1/3
There is no such thing as “a company decided”.

Instead, it’s: “some of its managers decided.”

It matters, because GROUP INCENTIVES DON’T AFFECT GROUP BEHAVIOR UNLESS THEY’RE TRANSLATED INTO INDIVIDUAL INCENTIVES.
The same applies to our brain.

We’re tricked into thinking the brain has agency because it acts as one, like a fish school.

But its actions are decided at the level of its components, each sending an output based on individual internal rules.

Causality is always bottom-up.
Read 5 tweets
13 Jun
I do not recommend working *chronic* overtime, for many reasons.

But, *if* you do want to work more, do not do more of the same work you do during work-hours. What got you here won't get you there, said M. Goldsmith.

Instead, do side-projects, learn new skills, etc.
That was about *chronic* overtime. Occasional overtime is instead okay or even good, and I do believe that the younger you are, the better to do some when the need arises.

Occasional overtime is the sign of a healthy business; chronic overtime is the sign of a sick one.
Why is *chronic* overtime a problem?
- it sometimes leads to health issues and ~always to fertile grounds for frustration & motivational losses
- it takes away time from other important stuff in life
- it buries underlying problems (👇)
Read 5 tweets

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