[Thread] 1. On Mon we did 223, 969 daily vaccinations — by far the most daily jabs since the start of #VaccineRollOutSA. How many #COVIDvaccine doses have we got left?
Answer: By the end of Mon, we had 2.8 mil doses (#Pfizer + #JnJ) left (confirmed by @healthza).
2. Where do 2.8 mil #COVIDvaccine doses leave us? 1. If we use 220 000 doses/day, we have 12.7 days of stock 2. We start with full w/end vaccinations on Aug 1 3. 12.7 days takes us to +/-Aug 3 (if we don’t count 24, 25, 30 Jul = w/end days + work with 20-30k jabs/w/end day)
3. So will we run out of jabs on Aug 3?
Answer: NO.
Why not?
Because we have consistent weekly batches of #Pfizer stock arriving.
What about after Aug 2? More weekly batches will arrive; Pfizer only gives us delivery dates 2 weeks or so ahead of time.
5. Which #JnJ jabs will arrive and when? 1. We’ve bought 31 million doses 2. We’ve received 1.5 million doses
When will the rest arrive? @healthza hasn’t received delivery dates yet, but they’re expecting dates “any day” now. (We're supposed to get 9.1 mil doses in Q3)
6. Will we get other #COVIDvaccines too? 1. Sinovac + AstraZeneca are approved by @SAHPRA1 2. Data shows AstraZeneca works well @ the #DeltaVariant which is now dominant in SA (we didn't get it previously as it didn't work well @ the Beta variant, which used to be dominant).
7. Has @healthza procured either AstraZeneca/Sinovac? 1. Not yet, they're still deciding on the best option 2. Does Sinovac work @ the #DeltaVariant? There is little public data; @healthza said in a press release in early Jul they will release data as it becomes available
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JUST IN:
[Thread] 1. SA's Biovac will become the 1st company in Africa to produce Pfizer's #COVID19 jab
- Biovac won't produce the jab from scratch, it will import the drug substance (the active ingredient which makes the jab work) from Europe + "fill and finish" the jab in SA
2. Pfizer is an mRNA vaccine:
- Tech transfer (so Pfizer transferring the "know-how" of mRNA technology) will start immediately
- Tech transfer will include
* On-site development of Biovac's factory
* Equipment installation
3. 1. When will we production start?
By the beginning of 2022
2. Who will get the doses Biovac produces? Only African Union member states
3. How many doses will be produced? 100 mil+ annually (at full operation)
[Thread] 1. What % of SA adults have been fully or partially vaccinated?
1. Fully vaccinated: 4.7% (Limpopo = 6.2%) 2. Partially vaccinated (1 #Pfizer dose): 9.1% (1 dose provides 94% protection @ hospitalisation as a result of infection with the #DeltaVariant)
2. Is #VaccineRollOutSA scaling up? Yes. Here’s the timeline for every 1 mil doses recorded on the #EVDS (data = @HealthZA dashboard):
1 mil: 28 May
2 mil: 16 Jun (19 days)
3 mil: 30 Jun (14 days)
4 mil: 8 Jul (8 days)
5 mil 16 Jul (8 days)
3. What does the 1-mil timeline in the previous tweet tell us? We now take 8 days to administer 1-mil jabs. Initially we took between 14 + 19 days. If we reach #Ramaphosa’s goal of 300 000 jabs/day, we’ll get close to 1 mil jabs every 3 days (we’re now doing about 220 000/day).
[Thread] 1. #CyrilRamaphosa: #ShutdownSouthAfrica is nothing less than a deliberate and well-planned attack on SA's democracy. It is in direct contravention of the Constitution of SA and intended to cripple the economy and cause social instability.
2. #CyrilRamaphosa: Using the pretext of political grievance, instigators sought to exploit conditions of poverty and unemployment and provoked ordinary citizens and criminal networks to engage in looting.
3. #CyrilRamaphosa: There were targeted attacks on trucks, warehouses and other infrastructure necessary to main our economy. Through social media they sought to inflame racial tensions and violence.
2. 90+ pharmacies (some = vaccination sites) have been looted in #UnrestSA. How many #CovidVaccines have been stolen? We don't know the exact amount, but @healthza says it's a small number, as smaller sites mostly receive daily stock from warehouse. bit.ly/3ifMciT
3. Will @healthza reach its target of 250 000 jabs/day this week? No, it's unlikely because of #UnrestSA. Most urban KZN sites are closed (under normal circumstances they do about 40 000 daily jabs, now they do 4000). They can only reopen when it's safe. bit.ly/3ifMciT
[Thread] 1. The devastating, snowball effect of unrest and looting on #COVID19SA
On Monday, @healthza reported 146, 577 vaccinations for the day — on Thursday, before protests started, we did 191, 833.
Which province had the biggest drop in vaccinations and why?
2. The province with the biggest drop in vaccinations is the one with the most widespread unrest: KZN. Several vaccination sites had to shut down.
On Fri, KZN did 40, 741 vaccinations, on Monday it did 3, 956 (less than a 1/10 of Fri).
3. How does this impact on our 3rd #COVID 19 wave? COVID hospitalisations are increasing. Jabs dramatically reduce someone’s chances of being hospitalised. We’re currently vaccinating people of 50+ — they’re most likely to fall ill. On Mon we had 36, 776 fewer of them vaccinated.
[Thread] 1. #CyrilRamaphosa: Violence is continuing in many parts of KZN + Gauteng. It may be spilling over to other provinces. Some have characterised this as a form of political protest. #SouthAfricaShutDown
2. #CyrilRamaphosa: This violence might indeed have its routes in political matters. Some people advocate for violence + disorder along ethnic lines. But what we are witnessing now are opportunistic acts of criminality - a cover for looting and theft. #SouthAfricaShutDown