[Thread] 1. What % of SA adults have been fully or partially vaccinated?

1. Fully vaccinated: 4.7% (Limpopo = 6.2%)
2. Partially vaccinated (1 #Pfizer dose): 9.1% (1 dose provides 94% protection @ hospitalisation as a result of infection with the #DeltaVariant)
2. Is #VaccineRollOutSA scaling up? Yes. Here’s the timeline for every 1 mil doses recorded on the #EVDS (data = @healthza dashboard):

1 mil: 28 May
2 mil: 16 Jun (19 days)
3 mil: 30 Jun (14 days)
4 mil: 8 Jul (8 days)
5 mil 16 Jul (8 days)

Graph = @mediahackza/@Bhekisisa_MG
3. What does the 1-mil timeline in the previous tweet tell us? We now take 8 days to administer 1-mil jabs. Initially we took between 14 + 19 days. If we reach #Ramaphosa’s goal of 300 000 jabs/day, we’ll get close to 1 mil jabs every 3 days (we’re now doing about 220 000/day).
4. How does SA compare to #Africa?

@mediahack shows only Morocco has done more jabs than SA (population sizes in brackets):
1. Morocco: 21, 102, 584 (37 mil)
2. SA: 5, 558, 378 (60 mil)
3. Egypt: 5, 056, 303 (104 mil)
4. Nigeria: 3, 938, 945 (211 mil)

bit.ly/3eFlBLb
5. What could make us fall behind?
1. Vaccine supply: if manufacturers = unable to deliver on schedule, we’ll vaccinate at a slower rate (this has already happened with #JnJ)
2. Unrest: if violence flares up, sites in affected areas will have to close down, as in KZN last week
6. How do we know jabs work? All #COVIDvaccine manufacturers conduct efficacy trials to measure how well their shots work and if they’re safe. But we now also have “real-world” data from the US and countries in Europe, because they've been vaccinating for +/- 8 months.
7. 99.5% of all #COVID hospitalisations and deaths in the US now occur among unvaccinated people. Jabs provide excellent protection @ falling severely ill and death. Watch this CDC press conference (10:45 onwards) for the data.
8. This is a graph from the UK government. It compares the first 50 days of their 2nd + 3rd #COVID waves. The difference? COVID deaths in the 3rd wave were minute compared to the 2nd wave. Why? A large proportion of the population had been vaccinated.
9. Summary: #COVIDVaccines can save you from dying or ending up on a ventilator. They can be the difference between living and dying from #COVID caused by the #DeltaVariant (and also other variants), which is now dominant in SA. Get vaccinated. Just do it.

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More from @miamalan

23 Jul
[Thread] Glenda Gray, @MRCza:
1. The only way to bring the #COVID19 pandemic under control, is to vaccinate a large % of SA
2. Everyone needs to be vaccinated, not just 20%/30% of the population
3. Only 1.1% of people in low income countries have received one #CovidVaccine dose Image
2. Glenda Gray:
1. The benefits of vaccines far outweigh the occurrence of side effects
2. Severe side effects, such as rare/unique types of blood clots associated with #JnJ and heart inflammation associated with #Pfizer are very uncommon Image
3. Glenda Gray: How rare is rare?
1. For #JnJ, rare blood clots = 3 cases for every mil doses among adults
2. For JnJ, Guillain-Barre syndrome = 7.8 cases for every million doses among adults

* What is Guilain-Barre syndrome? Find out here: mayocl.in/3wZWqJV Image
Read 13 tweets
23 Jul
[Thread] 1. #Kubayi: We lost 47 500 #COVID vaccines during the #unrest (this has gone up since earlier this week) that were stolen or destroyed. 120 private pharmacies were destroyed.
2. #Kubayi: Most public vaccine sites in KZN were not damaged during the #unrest and this enabled us to resume vaccinations in KZN as quickly as possible.
3. In Gauteng there was minimum interruption to vaccinations because of the #unrest. But people did fear to go to certain sites. But the disruption in KZN and GT was not only to the vaccine programmes, but people were also not able to access chronic meds.
Read 5 tweets
21 Jul
JUST IN:
[Thread] 1. SA's Biovac will become the 1st company in Africa to produce Pfizer's #COVID19 jab
- Biovac won't produce the jab from scratch, it will import the drug substance (the active ingredient which makes the jab work) from Europe + "fill and finish" the jab in SA
2. Pfizer is an mRNA vaccine:
- Tech transfer (so Pfizer transferring the "know-how" of mRNA technology) will start immediately
- Tech transfer will include
* On-site development of Biovac's factory
* Equipment installation
3.
1. When will we production start?
By the beginning of 2022

2. Who will get the doses Biovac produces? Only African Union member states

3. How many doses will be produced? 100 mil+ annually (at full operation)
Read 4 tweets
20 Jul
[Thread] 1. On Mon we did 223, 969 daily vaccinations — by far the most daily jabs since the start of #VaccineRollOutSA. How many #COVIDvaccine doses have we got left?

Answer: By the end of Mon, we had 2.8 mil doses (#Pfizer + #JnJ) left (confirmed by @healthza).
2. Where do 2.8 mil #COVIDvaccine doses leave us?
1. If we use 220 000 doses/day, we have 12.7 days of stock
2. We start with full w/end vaccinations on Aug 1
3. 12.7 days takes us to +/-Aug 3 (if we don’t count 24, 25, 30 Jul = w/end days + work with 20-30k jabs/w/end day)
3. So will we run out of jabs on Aug 3?
Answer: NO.

Why not?
Because we have consistent weekly batches of #Pfizer stock arriving.
Read 7 tweets
16 Jul
[Thread] 1. #CyrilRamaphosa: #ShutdownSouthAfrica is nothing less than a deliberate and well-planned attack on SA's democracy. It is in direct contravention of the Constitution of SA and intended to cripple the economy and cause social instability.

#ProtectSouthAfrica
2. #CyrilRamaphosa: Using the pretext of political grievance, instigators sought to exploit conditions of poverty and unemployment and provoked ordinary citizens and criminal networks to engage in looting.
3. #CyrilRamaphosa: There were targeted attacks on trucks, warehouses and other infrastructure necessary to main our economy. Through social media they sought to inflame racial tensions and violence.
Read 8 tweets
16 Jul
[Thread]. 1. Why has @HealthZA not published a list of KZN #VacccineRollOutSA sites that are open? Because they're concerned such a list might get used by looters to decide where to go next. bhekisisa.org/health-news-so…
2. 90+ pharmacies (some = vaccination sites) have been looted in #UnrestSA. How many #CovidVaccines have been stolen? We don't know the exact amount, but @healthza says it's a small number, as smaller sites mostly receive daily stock from warehouse. bit.ly/3ifMciT
3. Will @healthza reach its target of 250 000 jabs/day this week? No, it's unlikely because of #UnrestSA. Most urban KZN sites are closed (under normal circumstances they do about 40 000 daily jabs, now they do 4000). They can only reopen when it's safe. bit.ly/3ifMciT
Read 10 tweets

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