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Dominic Cummings Profile picture
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3 Aug, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Remember the 🛒's words in No10 July when suggested that gvt comms machine push back vs tide of disinformation from e.g Telegraph & the hack known in SW1 as 'Bonkers'. "Nooooooo, the trouble is Dom my heart is with Bonkers!' Hence, autumn disaster, >50k more dead, econ tanked
Why has Bonkers-ism spread so widely? Partly cos ERG and Cadwalladr types have both *encouraged* seeing covid policy as *political identity*. This is deeply irrational but reinforced by newspapers with collapsing business models & the most extreme activists...
If you're rational you don't tie your judgements of covid science/policy to Brexit/Remain or LAB/CON identity. But if you look around SW1 you see vast swathes of MPs/pundits actively embracing this stupidity & others reinforcing it for clicks/£: e.g Cadwalladr/Farage/Campbell/ERG
And not just MPs/pundits, few talk more nonsense re politics, are more irrational re mixing political identity with covid, & more UNable to see others' views than irrelevant minor academics in social sciences - & theyre the ppl *most* easily fooled by propaganda / MSM inventions

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More from @Dominic2306

Dominic Cummings Profile picture
2 Aug
One way you can tell Starmer's team are rubbish at politics is they keep giving their broadcast people 'liar' soundbites. It's pointless. Public *know* PM's a liar. If Blair were in charge he'd say something *voters care about*. This most basic principle is beyond Starmer's mob
DEMs made exactly the same error viz Trump, focusing on character. Many of their attacks INCREASED support for him. But it pleased media/activists so they did it. Politicians usually do not optimise for *relentless focus on voters* (winning) but *media/in-group*
If you're an MP quietly thinking about the next leadership contests (CON or LAB), check out my blog on Lee Kuan Yew & Singapore. Ideas galore for you to steal & more important an overall *method* that wd put you in the history books: dominiccummings.substack.com/p/high-perform…
Read 5 tweets
Dominic Cummings Profile picture
1 Aug
A lot of Westminster seems happy that *hire people to do urgent job X INSTANTLY in a pandemic x2 each 2-3 days* was borderline illegal 3/20 & very keen we keep the system/approach that killed >100k unnecessarily so next time there's a deadly crisis we kill even more
If we'd listened to this conventional wisdom spring 2020, we'd have done the conventional vaccine procurement instead of ripping it up & saying we'll ignore all normal rules/EU laws & *we don't care* if a court later says 'that was unlawful'
In the legal shitshow of spring 2020 we cd prioritise either A) 'don't lose a JR in a year' or B) 'solve problems killing 10000s'. Vote Leave chose B. Jolyon's legal cases are reinforcing the SW1 power structure & conventional wisdom back to A...
Read 5 tweets
Dominic Cummings Profile picture
29 Jul
When I saw shocking lack of data @ DHSC/CABOFF *I acted immediately* to get data for SAGE et al as covid x2 each 2-3 days. This improved policy + saved lives. A vaguely rational polity wd learn from this. Instead SW1 incentives = pay lawyers to confuse the media/MPs #InquiryNow
Why Hanbury? Just weeks ago they’d worked with me on GE. Unlike normal polling companies I *knew* they cd connect *instantly* to new No10 data science team & cloud *with zero mtngs*. INSTANTLY, without mtngs/debate, was what we needed as covid spread in 3/20
Taxpayers *gained* from a/ instant action (better policy, fewer deaths), b/ free riding on work paid for by others to develop a cloud system for polling data *instead of having to procure/build from scratch/train people when we had no time* etc
Read 5 tweets
Dominic Cummings Profile picture
18 Jun
1/ Pundit babble pollutes understanding & MP/official incentives. Want to improve your understanding of politics? Stop reading these pundit babblers. They don't understand political communication, never mind *how power actually works in SW1*. Typical e.g - overconfident + wrong Image
2/ Watch how all the drone-babblers today suddenly have 'explanations' for what they can't predict. It's all bullshit, all the way down. If you want to get anything big done in politics you must learn to tune out the noisy hum of the drones...
3/ Wait for it... The Clown Prince himself, the epistemological Godfather of the lobby, will doubtless soon be 'explaining' electoral geography. If you rely on pundit-drones to 'explain' SW1 you are doomed to follow the ephemeral emotional waves of the lobby's constant hysteria Image
Read 9 tweets
Dominic Cummings Profile picture
17 Jun
1/ V highly recommend this note by Jeremy Grantham predicting we're in late stage of 1929-style crazy bull market. Was sent it by hedge funder & don't think I ought to post full document but I encourage ppl to try to get hands on it!
2/ Tesla's absurd price, the "Buffett indicator" (total stock market capitalization to GDP) has broken thro its all-time-high 2000 record, bonds even more spectacularly expensive by historical comparison than stocks...
3/ 'the P/E ratio of the market is in the top few percent of the historical range and the economy is in
the worst few percent. This is completely without precedent'
Read 6 tweets
Dominic Cummings Profile picture
8 Jun
1/ Fascinating report by a world leading mathematician, P Scholze, on an open source project to use 'proof assistants' on an important maths proof. Byproduct = the computer improved human understanding. Seems clear these tools will play ever greater role xenaproject.wordpress.com/2021/06/05/hal…
2/ Concept of 'proof assistants' goes back to e.g Hilbert's 1900 question on the possibility of automating maths & Gödel's 1931 proof re incompleteness/undecidability. I got very interested in this history & wrote about it here: dominiccummings.com/2017/06/16/com…
3/ Almost everything you read re Gödel is wrong. Franzen wrote a brilliant book explaining all the misconceptions: Image
Read 7 tweets

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