UK statement of “High Likely” is interesting as it shows a probability assessment score of 80/90% on the PHIA. This is with the evidence presented to them from other countries. The response expected is obviously unknown.
But for the UK to be this far up the chart on its assessment and publicly announce it as Iran is behind the attack does suggest a certain level of intel on the situation. The question on my mind right now is, will it be in the maritime domain or not. If we look at the broader…
Picture of the situation, right now, if you are asked to spend time aboard an #Israel|i linked vessel, in any capacity, you have to accept a greater level of risk, along with the operating costs, as im sure the insurance premiums are now higher too.
Thread: Al-Alam Claim, Mercer Street in response to Al-Dabaa Airbase?
Yesterday, in a odd silence from #Iran|ian media Al-Alam surfaced with a claim that the targeted attack against the Mercer Street Tanker off the coast of Oman was in response to an airstrike conducted…
by #Israel against Al-Dabba Airbase. But we need to look at the full timeline of events first to understand the full picture here.
On 19th July 2021 - SyAAD was confirmed to be active over Eastern Aleppo, near Al-Safirah. Satellite imagery several days later via @planet showed
Two impacts noted just east of Aleppo itself. In the following days to this airstrike, members of #IRGC linked Fatemiyoun and a Local Hezbollah branch were confirmed to be killed in this airstrike.
It is speculated that a Shahed was used in this attack, photos may confirm or deny this in the future if something gets released. Delta Wing’s of this nature have a proliferate history in the recent years already, in 2019 they were used in the…
For those who are new and not sure of the 2019 reference, there were several incidents in Iraq during 2019 affiliated to Israel, but with no hard evidence just drawn conclusions on evidence that had suggestions to the matter. One example.