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4 Aug, 5 tweets, 2 min read
"At this...stage, everyone who wanted the vaccine, because they made their...choice based on risk...has done so. The people who remain are facing forms of compulsion from work, travel demands, or are...sick of being treated like society’s vermin"

1/n
brownstone.org/articles/force…
"Some...had Covid in the past. They know...about the immunities...recovery confers. They suffered the illness but are being robbed of the payoff by elites who only trust the pharmacy...you will not hear about natural immunity on mainstream news"
2/n
brownstone.org/articles/force…
"As for a step to “end this pandemic,” based on the numbers, that is happening...unless we are going for a pipe dream of total elimination rather than endemicity. Not even universal vaccination will achieve elimination, as even the CDC is saying now"

3/n
brownstone.org/articles/force…
There is nothing democratic or consensual about any of this. It’s a pure act of executive despotism...But when lockdowns came so too ended the presumption of liberty...We literally threw out centuries of precedent...about liberty into the thrash.

4/n
brownstone.org/articles/force…
Humanity has long known about the tendency of governments to resist admitting error. Very few ever do. That refusal is costing us dearly right now...There must be a reckoning...[by the next generation] that at least fears a repeat of catastrophe.

5/end

brownstone.org/articles/force…

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More from @therealarod1984

therealarod1984 Profile picture
4 Aug
8/4 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality update:

THREAD:

Virtually the same highlights as yesterday (see Q/T below). This next week we are going to see the highest case & hospitalization growth rates of the curve, before it starts to crest mid-month. Hold on tight.

1/n
 .
8/4 Positivity Rate:

* Antigen pos% still in post-peak, even if flat yesterday. Will be surprised if peak doesn't hold.
* PCR still in-peak. Yesterday's revisions nudged it up, but now 6 days with virtually no growth rate.

2/n
 .
8/4 Cases:

Another huge day on raw case counts, mostly driven by big testing numbers, way more testing than during last year's wave. (Hence why Positivity is only 17+%. Last year hit 20%)

15K cases reported today, way ahead of 2020. #casedemic continues.

3/n
 .
Read 8 tweets
therealarod1984 Profile picture
3 Aug
8/3 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality update:

THREAD:

Highlights:

1) Antigen confirmed peak, PCR possibly in peak
2) Cases Gone Wild
3) Hosps continue behind 2020
4) Weekly update to Fatality Projection model - downward revision
5) 51 reported fatalities today

1/n
 .
8/3 Positivity Rate:

* I'm 90% sure Antigen Pos% has peaked. New revisions today, but 3 days of declines since Friday peak.
* PCR revisions show new slight climb today, but the past 6 days have been within 1% of each other, with a peak clearly forming. We watch.

2/n
.
8/3 Case:

Another day over 10K cases. Cases are going nuts, way ahead of 2020 pace. But its #Casedemic as you will see in the next few slides.

Cases at nearly 8500/day in the 7DMA, not far from Summer 2020 peak of 10250. Vaccines where art thou?

Hang in there.

3/n
Read 11 tweets
therealarod1984 Profile picture
2 Aug
8/2 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality update:

THREAD:

Highlights before we get into the details:

1) A peak for positivity rate???
2) Huge Sunday case dump from Harris Co.
3) Hospitalizations falling further behind vs. 2020
4) 4 total fatalities reported today

1/n
 .
8/2 Positivity Rate:

* Need 2 more days before I'm ready to call anything
* I'm 80% sure Antigen has peaked, 4 straight days of declines
* I'm 50/50 on PCR. Could be the weekend effect. These get revised as test results arrive to the state, which can take a few days.

2/n
 .
8/2 Cases:

Harris dumped over 1600 cases of the 3700 reported today. The 7DMA in 2021 is super jagged due to all the periodic reporting and backlogged case dumping.

2021 is still well ahead of 2020 Summer wave in regards to raw case total.

#casedemic

3/n
Read 8 tweets
therealarod1984 Profile picture
2 Aug
8/1 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality update:

THREAD:

#Casedemic continues. Good day for pos% & cases. Hospitalizations continue to track below 2020, and fatalities running increasingly behind 2020.

1/n
Positivity Rate:

Could be the weekend, but both positivity rates show a peak and the start of a decline. Moreso Antigen, but PCR as well. We will watch the next couple of days to see if this solidifies or if its just weekend reporting. Possible good news though.

2/n
.
8/1 Cases:

Better day. Basically the same week over week as last Sunday. So the 7DMA is flat. Still way ahead of 2020 Summer wave pace, however.

If we go by 2020, the case wave will peak in about 17 days. We watch.

3/n
 .
Read 8 tweets
therealarod1984 Profile picture
31 Jul
7/31 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality update:

THREAD:

Casedemic is here. Cases are way ahead of the 2020 Summer Wave pace, while general hospitalizations, ICU, and fatalities are running increasingly behind 2020.

1/n
 .
.
Positivity Rate

Antigen Positivity Rate had a bunch of revisions, but still is trying to crest. PCR Positivity doesn't look to be far behind. Is 20% the magic number, as it has been in 2020 Summer and Winter waves, or will it crest below that?

2/n
 .
.
Cases -

Running way ahead of 2020 pace now. Remember these 2 waves are 13 months apart to the day.

Second day in a row and 3rd out of 4 above 10,000 cases.

#Casedemic and here's why...

3/n
 .
Read 8 tweets
therealarod1984 Profile picture
30 Jul
7/30 Texas C19 Case, Hospitalization & Fatality Update

THREAD:

This is quickly becoming a Delta Casemedic. Huge Case dumps from Harris & Bexar (again) put case count to 13,000+ today. Now tracking ahead of 2020.

Meanwhile Hosps & Fatalities are tracking behind 2020.

1/n
We will start with Leading Indicator of Positivity rate.

* Antigen Positivity has peaked and is declining.
* PCR Positivity is still climbing.
* Based on history, PCR follows closely behind Antigen, within days, so a peak should be imminent.

Next, cases.

2/n
 . ImageImage
As mentioned in 1/n, huge case dumps in Bexar & Harris, over 6K of the 13K really skewing things. Bexar does just once a week, but did a second one of 2K today.

2021 Summer Cases are running hotter than 2020 now. No way there's not a crap-ton of breakthrough cases.

3/n ImageImage
Read 9 tweets

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