Ontario data shows that vaccines are very effective at preventing C19 as well as serious outcomes if infected. However, most of the benefit comes from vax'ing older age groups. 1/5 #COVID19ON#Covid19Ontario
Hospitalizations are dramatically lower in C19 cases in vaccinated (breakthrough) vs. unvaccinated. (data expressed as cases per 100,000). But, in younger age groups the actual impact is less than for older. 2/5
Consolidating age groups shows clearly that vaccinations, have less impact on outcomes in younger ages. 3/5
Similarly, for preventing death, vaccinations are effective but have little impact in lower age groups. 4/5
So, return to normal life does not depend on high levels of vaccination in the young. The energy and money committed to pushing vaccines on anyone under 60, could be used more effectively elsewhere. 5/5 The charts are based on great work by @Golden_Pup
1/ City of #Toronto Covid-19 variants of concern. 7 day average of cases screened for spike mutation plus confirmed variants of concern as a portion of overall cases, by episode date. #COVID19Ontario
2/ The chart above is the best representation of the status of VOC that I can produce with public data. It comes from Toronto's Covid Status of Cases page. They have a chart showing screened and confirmed voc cases by episode date. I combine this with cases by episode date...
3/ from their public covid case dataset. It is important to use episode date because the cases announced as screened + for spike mutation, and confirmed as voc on a given day, are not necessarily (in fact rarely) cases from the same day. From watching these numbers closely...
1/ Covid-19 disproportionately affects the elderly, right?
A large majority of deaths are in LTC and other elderly, right?
So, you'd expect that 2020 would show a greater % of overall deaths in older age groups, right?
But that's not what we've seen... #COVID19Ontario
2/ The proportion of deaths in Ontario up to August is THE SAME as it usually is. Check out the chart. There was a larger difference between '16-'17 than '19-'20. Does that make any sense?
The next chart shows why... #COVID19Ontario
3/ Deaths in the elderly surged over normal levels during the peak of the first wave. And then, proceeded to drop below normal levels in the Summer. Could one say that those elderly who died, simply died several weeks earlier than they would have without Covid? #COVID19Ontario