The Koch anti-decarbonisation lobby have clearly chosen their attack line: affordability.
They will employ the following tricks:
1. Tot up capital costs but ignore running cost savings
2. Use out of date cost data, ignoring the plummeting costs of renewables and LZCs
1/
3. Quote their ridiculously inflated, 30-year cumulative cost (all "adds" and no "omits") as a single cost per household. To give the impression (a) householders will have to pay it and (b) pay it all in year 1. In reality, as with most infrastructure, the cost will be...
2/
Met with government borrowing at an interest rate of around 0.75% (gilts) or effectively 0% (QE - the interest goes back to the government). So "£100K per household" is in reality £40K borrowing per household"
and an annual interest payment of £300... but starting at £10 in
3/
year 1, £20 in year 2, £30 in year 3 etc. If QE is used it will be ZERO.
I am happy to pay £10 to save the planet; but why not ask billionaires to pay a teeny bit of tax for a change?
So tweeps, PLEASE don't fall for the "we cannot afford net Zero" schtick. They are LYING!
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1. His promise to the voters.
Steve says his promise was "to pay close attention to climate change policy"; he says he has done that now and as a result is against decarbonising by 2050.
Bullshit, Steve: your promise is in the manifesto in black & white (& yellow highlighter)
2. Four lies in one paragraph next.
End of:
- comfortable lives
- mass car ownership,
- foreign holidays,
- domestic heating.
"Project fear" or what?
Calm down Steve, the CCC estimated net zero will mean 2% lower per capita GDP than otherwise in 2050. Brexit passed ....
Unless the Government has a secret supply of Pfizer, it looks to me like they procured enough for 20M 1st doses last year then procured another 30M worth on 28th April.... but it is not getting here until the Autumn.
I am becoming more certain the opening up is a
"Hail Mary" move to conceal the fact that their magnificent vaccine rollout success is turning to sh1t before their eyes. If everyone under 30 gets Covid, and thus has to wait 4 weeks before they can be vaccinated then no-one will know we ran out...
Cunning, eh, Baldrick?
@fascinatorfun I think Dilettante Voice has found the smoking gun. Last year HMG ordered enough Pfizer for 20M first doses. By 30th June it had 0.9M left... with more than 15M under 40's to go and AZ contra indicated for them since 7th April.
But Bojo has been signing off PMQ's every week with "we vaccinate, while you procrastinate". If the vaxx programme slams to a halt, he is holed beneath the waterline.
So I reckon he has said "let her rip: they can get immunity by infection instead"
3/
I believe the UK Gov. is adopting its new, highly unusual, "let it rip" Covid policy, to conceal a vaccine procurement failure that would be politically devastating for the UK Gov (& for brexit).
Vaccination capacity should increase over time not drop by 60%.
But Johnson would rather feed British kids into the covid mincer than ask the EU for help; it would end his career.
Why not offer to help? It would save lives in Britain *and* in the EU (particularly IRL).
And if it helped UK voters to realise the EU is not the enemy - in fact cares more about the health of Britain's children than its own government does - then all the better.
@chrischirp
Q: What *exactly* does "70.4% effectiveness" mean?
Does it mean 70.4% will gain total immunity no matter how huge the viral load / number of exposures?
Or does it mean, everyone gets a bit of an immune boost, so an individual needs 100÷(100-70.4)=3.37 x as..
..big a viral load to succumb (or 3.37 x as many encounters).
This is a genuine question and the answer has big implications for the UK.
Because it seems like the Gov policy is to deliberately raise a child army of covid vectors and unleash them.
As I understand it
"effectiveness" is calculated by comparing infection rate in say 50K vaccinated and 50K unvacfinated people in the same community, ie the same exposure profile... what happens when the government throws virus-bomb into the population, creating artificially high exposure?