1. The Hockey Stick grows longer, blade grows sharper. Recent warmth may be unprecedented in at least 100,000 years (see my @Time op-ed for further details: time.com/6088531/ipcc-c…) #IPCC#AR6
2. Impacts of climate change are now "widespread and pervasive". Climate change is NOW causing amplified weather extremes of the sort we’ve been witnessing this summer — droughts, heat waves, wildfires, floods, superstorms. The IPCC unambiguously connects the dots this time:
3. Urgency AND agency: We can prevent the worst impacts (e.g. multiple meters of sea level rise) through bold action in the years ahead. The crucial message going into #COP26
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It's fascinating to read the thoughtful commentary by the students quoted in the piece. Both individual and collective action are of course important, and it's easy to lose sight of that in these discussions. Nuance here matters.
What I note in The #NewClimateWar is that individual actions are important, but an *exclusive* focus on individual behavior alone can crowd out needed discussion about systemic change/policy:
1. The climate problem is “too complex” to solve w/ existing technology. That’s false. Research Gates inexplicably neglects shows we can get there w/ existing renewable energy. See my @Newsweek commentary, “The Right Path Forward on Climate Change” newsweek.com/right-path-for…
2. The insistence that “today’s zero-carbon technologies are more expensive than their fossil-fuel counterparts”.
That’s false. See this report from Lazard (and associated graphic): lazard.com/media/451086/l…
In his posthumously published (1997) book "Billions & Billion", the late great Carl Sagan provides an interesting discussion of "rules of the game", e.g. different codes of behavior/policy, such as the "Golden Rule", the "Silver Rule", the "Iron Rule", etc. 🧵
Sagan discusses the "science" (game theory) & human experiments that have been done to assess the effectiveness of competing strategies. The conclusion is that the so-called "tit-for-tat" rule out-performs the others, i.e. leads to greatest likelihood of a positive outcome.
This strategy can be summarized as "initial friendliness, willingness to forgive, and fearless retaliation". If you like, it amounts to using both "carrot" and "stick".
We (@Rahmstorf et al) reached that conclusion in a 2015 @NatureClimate study (nature.com/articles/nclim…). It featured a reconstruction over the past 1000 years of the sub-polar "cold blob" (below) that is indicative of an AMOC slowdown.
There's a lot of "friendly fire" in the #NewClimateWar (publicaffairsbooks.com/titles/michael…). Despite having some of the best climate journalists on staff, @NYTimes editorial decisions have often played into the tactics of climate inactivists (presumably unwittingly). Some examples (thread):
The @NYTimes engaging in "deflection" (i.e. it's all about individual lifestyle change rather than systemic change)
The @NYTimes providing editorial page space for a low blow attack on youth climate advocate @GretaThunberg
Congratulations #PresidentBiden!
Now let's get to work.
We must reassert the climate leadership that was lost under Trump.
A lot of us stand ready to help!
Here's my full statement below.
Let's hit the ground running in January! 🙂 #NewClimateWar facebook.com/MichaelMannSci…
Congratulations to President Elect @JoeBiden!
And congratulations to US for having used the power of our vote to create an opportunity for meaningful progress on climate going forward (thread)
Biden's victory ushers in a new era of global cooperation, allowing us to begin to repair the damage that was done by Donald Trump over the past four years both to domestic climate efforts and to our reputation on the world stage.