Mate, don't fall for the Tufton St propaganda. It is not expensive and not difficult.

Imagine the UK was a person who currently emits 100kg of CO2 per year.

32kg comes from heat. A bit of insulation retrofit plus switching to heat pumps saves 24kg

1/
28kg comes from driving. Changing from petrol/deisel to EV saves 21kg

23kg comes from Electricity generation. Changing to 100% renewable/nuclear saves 23kg... and saves the remaining 15kg HP and EV emissions.

Wow: we have saved 83 out of 100!

What's left?

2/
2kg from industry: steel, cement etc. Carbon capture and concrete alternatives maybe save 1kg.

13kg from farming. If you stop eating meat you *save 5kg

(*not really: I will come back to this)

And if you stop eating entirely you save 8kg.😉

3/
Now the interesting thing about this is the big 3 - which together save 83% - either cost less than the status quo in TCO terms (EVs) or levelized cost per KWh terms (Renewables) or only need a decent market size (HPs) to become cost neutral.

4/
The remaining dribs and drabs will no doubt drop too, with a greener grid and Electric Tractors and emissions-focussed industrial processes.

And as for th 5kg for meat eating... it is bullshit - literally.

It is based on methane emissions. But these GHG's are not like fossil
5/
fuel. As long as there are no more cows here today than 30 years ago the 30 year old farts are breaking down at the same rate as todays ones are emitted.

So have a burger. But no more than 30 years ago.

6/6

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More from @mac_puck

11 Aug
@peterjukes have you or @GeorgeMonbiot or @carolecadwalla written anything yet on lessons from Brexit in regard to decarbonisation?

The Tufton St gang changed the EU question from the economy, NI peace, UK power/influence into one of sobwintee, Turks, and health tourism.

1/
They knew what the answers to the first set of questions would be.

Now, in the decarbonisation debate they do not want the question to be: "Heat-pumps vs boilers" or "EV's vs gas-guzzlers" or "Offshore aerogenerators vs gas-fired power stations".

In all 3 cases the...

2/
...green option is far better for air quality and UK jobs (not to mention CO2 emissions) and the UK economy.

EV's are already cheaper in TCO (Total Cost of Ownership) than gas-guzzlers

Renewables have become cheaper per KWh than gas power stations.

HPs *will* be...

3/
Read 13 tweets
6 Aug
The Koch anti-decarbonisation lobby have clearly chosen their attack line: affordability.

They will employ the following tricks:

1. Tot up capital costs but ignore running cost savings

2. Use out of date cost data, ignoring the plummeting costs of renewables and LZCs

1/
3. Quote their ridiculously inflated, 30-year cumulative cost (all "adds" and no "omits") as a single cost per household. To give the impression (a) householders will have to pay it and (b) pay it all in year 1. In reality, as with most infrastructure, the cost will be...

2/
Met with government borrowing at an interest rate of around 0.75% (gilts) or effectively 0% (QE - the interest goes back to the government). So "£100K per household" is in reality £40K borrowing per household"
and an annual interest payment of £300... but starting at £10 in

3/
Read 4 tweets
5 Aug
There are so many lies here by @SteveBakerHW , I am just going to have to take them one by one...
1. His promise to the voters.
Steve says his promise was "to pay close attention to climate change policy"; he says he has done that now and as a result is against decarbonising by 2050.

Bullshit, Steve: your promise is in the manifesto in black & white (& yellow highlighter)
2. Four lies in one paragraph next.
End of:
- comfortable lives
- mass car ownership,
- foreign holidays,
- domestic heating.

"Project fear" or what?

Calm down Steve, the CCC estimated net zero will mean 2% lower per capita GDP than otherwise in 2050. Brexit passed ....
Read 24 tweets
14 Jul
@rjbarfield1 Big question is how many Pfizer / Moderna jabs we have available?

I am finding it very hard to track down this information.

This article suggests we have 40M doses (20M people) of Pfizer and 60M coming in Autumn

pharmatimes.com/news/uk_buys_a…

So how many have we used?

1/
@rjbarfield1 This website suggests it was 19.1M first doses as of 30th June

Which implies we are down to our last 0.9M until the Autumn deliveries start arriving.

gov.uk/government/pub…
@rjbarfield1 I used the way back machine to trace how many jabs of each type of vaccine were administered each week.

It looks like AZ 1st shots started dropping off in last week Mar / 1st week April, around the time the clots issue went official.

And Pfizer 1st shots accelerated in..
3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
13 Jul
@Laura__Fox @fascinatorfun
This website gives the breakdown of Pfizer /AZ /Moderna jabs given up to 2 weeks before. gov.uk/government/pub…

Used the wayback machine to piece together the rollout.

Look at Pfizer in early April.

Look at this article: pharmatimes.com/news/uk_buys_a…
Unless the Government has a secret supply of Pfizer, it looks to me like they procured enough for 20M 1st doses last year then procured another 30M worth on 28th April.... but it is not getting here until the Autumn.

I am becoming more certain the opening up is a
"Hail Mary" move to conceal the fact that their magnificent vaccine rollout success is turning to sh1t before their eyes. If everyone under 30 gets Covid, and thus has to wait 4 weeks before they can be vaccinated then no-one will know we ran out...
Cunning, eh, Baldrick?
Read 4 tweets
10 Jul
@fascinatorfun I think Dilettante Voice has found the smoking gun. Last year HMG ordered enough Pfizer for 20M first doses. By 30th June it had 0.9M left... with more than 15M under 40's to go and AZ contra indicated for them since 7th April.

1/
They frantically managed to place an order on 28th April for 60M more doses... but it doesn't start arriving until autumn!

Anyone who wasn't a sociopath would just 'fess up and say "sorry folks we are going to have to hang

2/

theguardian.com/society/2021/a…
tight until the Autumn."

But Bojo has been signing off PMQ's every week with "we vaccinate, while you procrastinate". If the vaxx programme slams to a halt, he is holed beneath the waterline.

So I reckon he has said "let her rip: they can get immunity by infection instead"
3/
Read 4 tweets

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