Joseph Dempsey Profile picture
Aug 11, 2021 31 tweets 25 min read Read on X
Video reportingly shows #Taliban captured Kunduz airport with #Afghanistan Air Force Mi-35 Hind attack helicopter
Location at Kunduz confirmed (36.66575, 68.91244)

14 July @planet satellite image (below) shows Mi-35 with rotor blades attached.

10 August @Maxar image confirms Mi-35 still in place yesterday but rotor blades removed - possibly to further disable it from future use. ImageImage
How it started How it’s going ImageImage
To be clear this a loss for #Afghanistan but does not equate to an operational attack helicopter for #Taliban

Though rotor blades are stored below this suggests further technical reasons airframe was left behind. Also would required trained ground & air crews to operate. Image
#Taliban reportedly shown with another non-operational #Afghanistan Air Force helicopter

#US supplied Bell MD-530F '289' was damaged in emergency landing in Bolan area, ​​Helmand province 29 July.
ImageImage
#Taliban reportedly shown at captured Shindand Air Base, Herat Province with two #Afghanistan Air Force Mi-17 Hip helicopters undergoing maintenance and a room of spares parts.
This was not meant to become a thread on #Afghanistan lost air force... 🤦‍♂️
#Taliban reportedly with another #Afghanistan Air Force Mi-17 Hip Helicopter yesterday. (Some difficulty in confirm location and date of this however) ImageImageImage
Another #Afghanistan Air Force Mi-17 Hip Helicopter reportedly yesterday - note absence of winch and different camo from example above. Image
Reportedly #Taliban at Ghazni with #US supplied Bell MD-530F and at least one UH-60 Blackhawk yesterday ImageImage
Footage reportedly showing #Taliban at Kandahar airport #Afghanistan with 2 #US supplied UH-60 Blackhawk (one under maintenance, one on apron) and 2 stored Mi-17 Hip helicopters
Confirmation of Kandahar airport location (31.51086, 65.86269), geolocated with @planet 19 June satellite imagery
ImageImage
New footage reportedly showing #Taliban at Herat airport with 2 seemingly operable #Afghanistan Air Force Mi-17 Hip helicopters
Confirmation of Herat airport location (34.21595, 62.22686), geolocated with @planet 14 Feb satellite imagery
ImageImage
@planet Important to note recent @Maxar & @planet imagery indicates #Afghanistan Air Force managed to redeploy majority of operational aircraft away from #Taliban capture.

However for fixed-wing aircraft including armed A-29B & AC-208 they are fast running out of safe airbases. Image
While it appears the #Taliban may have captured some operable Mi-17 Hip helicopters (and potentially other types in future) their access to proficient air crews will remain a limiting factor - these are not forgiving 'pick up and play' platforms. ImageImageImage
Further footage reportedly shows #Taliban at Kandahar airport with #Afghanistan Air Force #US supplied C-208 transport aircraft (not armed AC-208 variant) and MD-530F helicopter '300' (rotors removed)
Confirmation of Kandahar airport location (31.51154, 65.86429), geolocated with @planet 19 June satellite imagery
ImageImage
Reportedly #Taliban at Mazar-i-Sharif Air Base with another #Afghanistan Air Force MD-530F helicopter and significantly their first A-29B Super Tucano light strike aircraft (serviceability unknown) ImageImage
Reportedly another image from Mazar-i-Sharif Air Base yesterday showing a further three #Afghanistan Air Force MD-530F helicopters Image
Amidst apparent desperation and chaos at #Kabul airport, remainder of #Afghanistan Air Force is also likely held up there. Indications some aircraft already left country but others may well be destroyed/disabled by departing forces to prevent capture (archive images) ImageImageImage
An #Afghanistan Air Force A-29B Super Tucano apparently crashed in #Uzbekistan overnight after fleeing the country gazeta.uz/uz/2021/08/16/… Image
Identification of #Afghanistan Air Force A-29B Super Tucano wreckage that reportedly crashed in #Uzbekistan Image
"Uzbekistan's air defence forces prevented an attempt by an Afghan military aircraft to illegally cross Uzbekistan's border"
- #Uzbekistan defence ministry spokesman

reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
The shot down A-29B Super Tucano is not believed to be the only #Afghanistan Air Force aircraft crossing the #Uzbekistan border in the last 24hrs, though what authorisations were given or not is unknown.

So not shot down...

“However, during the escort, the Embraer 314 and MiG-29 aircraft collided and fell in the Sherabad district of the Surkhandarya region...”
- #Uzbekistan General Prosecutor's Office

gazeta.uz/ru/2021/08/16/… ImageImage
#Uzbekistan General Prosecutors Office has reportedly withdrawn the claim of collision with a Mig-29

apnews.com/article/europe…
Reportedly another #Afghanistan MD-530F at #Taliban captured Mazar-i-Sharif airport. If previous imagery accurate this would make at least five from this site alone.
Footage of two #Afghanistan UH-60 Blackhawk reportedly having landed in a field in #Uzbekistan
Amazing 16th August @planet satellite image shows the fleeing #Afghanistan Air Force aircraft that have appeared at Termuz #Uzbekistan in the last few of days Image

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More from @JosephHDempsey

Jun 25
Possible North Korea missile launch reported by Japan MoD.
North Korea ballistic missile launch confirmed by South Korea JCS

yna.co.kr/view/AKR202406…
"A military source told Yonhap News Agency that the North appears to have test-fired a hypersonic missile, but the test is believed to have ended in failure after the missile flew some 250 kilometers."
en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202405…
Read 4 tweets
May 30
North Korea🇰🇵 launched "multiple ballistic missile" from Pyongyang's Sunan area.

🕕 06:13
▶️>350km
🔼~100km

Source: mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2…
Image
"around 10 short-range ballistic missiles" according to ROK JCS
en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202405…
KN-25 600mm guided MRLS rather than a 'traditional' SRBM is most likely candidate given trajectory (less depressed than norm 50km apogee given approaching max range) and volume of projectiles.


Image
Read 7 tweets
Apr 1
North Korea launched suspected ballistic missile.
North Korea presumed to have launched an IRBM from Pyongyang region at 06:53 (GMT+9) according to South Korea JCS en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202404…
Initial North Korea ballistic missile launch trajectory data:

🕖06:52 (GMT+9)
▶️~650km
🔼~100km


Image
Read 6 tweets
Mar 17
Japan MoD reports suspected North Korea ballistic missile launch

mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2…
North Korea launched three ballistic missiles

🕢07:44
▶️350km
🔼50km

🕢07:44
▶️350km
🔼50km

🕣08:21
▶️350km
🔼50km

Source: Japan MoD
mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2…
Image
North Korea claim successful 'salvo' test of 600mm super-large MRLS (KN-25)

Image
Image
Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 14
North Korea conducts 5th round of cruise missile tests since start of 2024.

en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202402…
North Korea claim test of "Baasuri-6" AShM

Image
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Although claimed as new by North Korea unclear how "Baasuri-6" differs from AShM first shown tested in 2017, aside from the octuple launcher first shown on parade in 2020


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Read 6 tweets
Mar 19, 2023
North Korea conducts a further suspected ballistic missile launch

🕚11:05 / 02:05 GMT
▶️800km
🔼50km

Source: mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2…
Depressed and "irregular trajectory" at this range could indicate KN-23 series, though previous max demonstrated range had been ~690km.

I would also not rule out a resumption of testing relating to claimed hypersonic manoeuvrable vehicles

"Tongchang-ri area" implies a Sohae Satellite Launching Station launch site

Though static engine tests for military ballistic missiles continue to be conduct here, a test launch of an offensive ballistic missile from this site would be something new.

en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202303…
Read 8 tweets

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