Having seen the bad recent #BTW21 polling for CDU-CSU (Union) in the news, I've updated my Excel table based on the latest numbers...
This is based on the *average* of all polls in August so far
This is based on the *average* of all polls in August so far
Currently *NO* 2 party coalition is possible
This is because the Grüne are stable, Union are slipping, and SPD and FDP gradually gaining
In a couple of polls Grüne + SPD + Linke is enough for a majority, but based on the average for August so far, this isn't (yet?) sure
This is because the Grüne are stable, Union are slipping, and SPD and FDP gradually gaining
In a couple of polls Grüne + SPD + Linke is enough for a majority, but based on the average for August so far, this isn't (yet?) sure
That means 4 3-party coalitions are currently possible
⚫️🟢🟡 - 🇯🇲 coalition
⚫️🟢🔴 - 🇰🇪 coalition
⚫️🔴🟡 - 🇩🇪 coalition
🟢🔴🟡 - 🚦 coalition
(names of the coalitions based on the colours of the parties involved)
⚫️🟢🟡 - 🇯🇲 coalition
⚫️🟢🔴 - 🇰🇪 coalition
⚫️🔴🟡 - 🇩🇪 coalition
🟢🔴🟡 - 🚦 coalition
(names of the coalitions based on the colours of the parties involved)
This is turning into a fascinating and tricky election!
.ods file of my workings here: jonworth.eu/downloads/coal…
/ends
.ods file of my workings here: jonworth.eu/downloads/coal…
/ends
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