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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
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16 Aug, 11 tweets, 10 min read
This is a five alarm news fire.

@JoeNBC @morningmika
@Maddow @Maddowblog
@JoyAnnReid @NicoleDWallace @TiffanyDCross @mitchellreports

@allinwithchris @Lawrence @the11thHourShow @chucktodd @mehdirhasan

@camanpour @BeckyCNN @Kasie
@AC360 @jaketapper @wolfblitzer @FareedZakaria
Pacifica Radio Clip from @AnnGarrison, includes interview with U.S. diaspora Tigrayan who is opposed to U.S. Policy in Ethiopia.
Thread from Professor Ann Fitzgerald, Director, Balsillie School of Int’lAffairs, a Canadian academic specialist in the #HornOfAfrica and #Ethiopia conflict who is currently in Ethiopia.
Alarming recent assessment from journalist @wdavison10 the International @CrisisGroup's Ethiopia Analyst.
Recently this happened. Replying to a tweet from Samantha Powers, quoting @JakeSullivan, someone in the AU put out a rogue tweet.
This tweet is from the personal account of Billene Seyoum spokeswoman for @PMEthiopia. The woman in the video is @Amnesty official @DRevero who published the latest Tigray "Rape as a Weapon" report, here she talks about Libya.

And this tweet is from one the TPLF's senior leadership.

And he just comes out and says it. The TPLF is threatening to become the Taliban if they don't get their way.
And it not just the leadership, El Douche is one of the core members of the TPLF's information operation, he is involved in misinformation, misdirection, harassment the whole gamut. He has been talking about the Taliban now for several days.
And its not as if this is a surprise.

@BronwynBruton is a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council. This report published November 13th 2020 - 10 days after the TPLF murdered 6000 Federal Troops at the Northern Command - warns of all that has followed. atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/africaso…
And there is even a great BLM US domestic political angle on this. The 29th June HOR "Conflict in Ethiopia" hearing referred to in the OP thread had HR 445 on its agenda. It has now stalled, because of this: #AfricanLivesMatter
And there is also a financial news angle. It appears that Tigrayan Diaspora in America are now trying to crash the Ethiopian Currency whilst raising funds to further escalate the wars in Ethiopia that the TPLF (and other parties) are supporting.

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
17 Sep
The framing of what the USG has done today as "imposing sanctions" is not really what it is. I far better framing to interpret this is as a "framework to achieve and end to the war in North Ethiopia".
As a great imperial power the USG, struggles to say this in as many words. But it is clear when you read between the lines that the U.S. is finally willing to engage with the Ethiopian Govt. in a sincere manner. That said there is still a lot of water to travel under the bridge,
The framing of this initiative is carrot and stick. The stick is of course the bit that Ethiopia should not accept.

But the carrot is significant. The President of the United States is offering to restore Ethiopia's to its rightful place as friend and ally of the US. Image
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
17 Sep
This letter is fantastic. And a great way to respond to the @JoeBiden peace Initiative. Very very Abiy in its construction, strong, and heartfelt. The final paragraph is crucial.
The U.S. initiative - I just spent a couple of hours getting into the weeds on it - is on one level disrespectful, and on another (more important level) clearly a practical response to try to end this war and crisis.
The final paragraph of @AbiyAhmedAli's letter reads:

"It is essential to point out here that Ethiopia will not succumb to consequences of pressure engineered by disgruntled individuals for whom consolidating power is more important than the well-being of millions.
Read 6 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
17 Sep
BREAKING NEWS: We have the US Sanctions announcement. Here reported by CNN. edition.cnn.com/2021/09/17/pol…
There are four statements on this issued by the White House. Here posted in the order they appear chronologically.

1. Executive Order >> whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
2. Statement by @POTUS @JoeBiden on the Executive Order. whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
Read 8 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
17 Sep
So this #TPLFStrategyLeak appears to be a significant event. An 86 page document leaked, allegedly written/presented to TPLF leadership a couple of weeks before the Northern Command attack.

The document appears to have been leaked online. A full version is not yet available.
The second #TPLFStrategyLeak tweet, tweeted earlier contains a summary and description of the full document. And I now have a full translation of that.
The document is in Amharic, which raises questions about its authenticity. However, it's not quite that simple, as it also raises questions about any attempt to fake it. I would also note that faking an 86 page doc. would itself be extraordinary.
Read 8 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
16 Sep
The Ethiopian-Tigray Crisis-War has reached what looks like a turning point. The rumours, which are everywhere, that @POTUS @JoeBiden is about to sanction Ethiopia and Eritrea are clearly being telegraphed for a reason.
@POTUS @JoeBiden E.G. this is one of the most recent ones. And this one is weirdly specific. "18 Hours". sounds like there will be a press conference or something.
Apparently the announcement of the sanctions has been approved. On the day that @KarenBassTweets was due to depart for Ethiopia on CODEL (Congressional Delegation) visit. However this seems to have been postponed, now till 27th-29th September. Which is odd.
Read 24 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
16 Sep
Translation into English of Somalia President Farmaajo’s statement suspending Somalia PM Roble @MohamedHRoble (aka Rooble)’s powers. [ Translation by @Mohamud_M_A ] Image
Response from ousted PM Roble @MohamedHRoble Via VOA reporter @HarunMaruf.
And some speculation on possible immediate reasons for Roble’s removal by President Farmaajo @M_Farmaajo.
Read 4 tweets

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