Thread by @jamewils

UK total population (6.82 crores ) is almost double of Kerala's (3.47 crores).

UK fully vaccinated around 60.38 % of its total population & partially vaccinated 9.46%.

Meanwhile Kerala fully vaccinated only 19.6% of its total population & partially vaccinated 33.5%. #Thread

https://twitter.com/jjchamie/status/1428546881093767171

Unlike UK, Kerala is not sovereign & cannot give indemnity bond or export vaccines.

Kerala is at at the mercy of the Union Govt to get its vaccines.

If supply is ensured, Kerala would have long back vaccinated its whole adult population, we have the wherewithal to do it.

Now comes to the qn of infections and deaths.

UK on 18th Aug had 497.3 infections/million while Kerala is having 617.5 infections/million

UK had recorded 1.64 deaths per million while Kerala recorded 5.16 deaths per million.

Of course, our infection & deaths are a concern.

But I hope once Kerala reached a vaccination level of UK, our infections and deaths are almost match, if not superior than the UK.

Also we are yet fully know whether we are seeing the beginning of a third wave propped up by the delta variant or not.

Wait for 2 more weeks!

A couple of more data points are important here. We should compare the total infections & total deaths and also the peak daily infections & peak daily deaths.

These numbers will give how best the COVID-19 was negotiated by the system.

So let us look at those data.

UK so far had 93178.49 infections/million of its population while Kerala had only 108550 infections/millon.

UK had a cumulative death 1938.2 death/million while Kerala only had 554.7 death/million.

It means Kerala avoided deaths significantly for more infections than UK!

On Jan 8,2021 UK recorded its highest infections 1004.51 inf/million (68192 no.), while Kerala on May 12, 2021 recorded 1254.5 inf/million (43529 no.).

Come to the maximum daily deaths on Jan 20,201, UK recorded 26.90 deaths/million (1612 no.) while Kerala 6.54 d/m (227 no.)

Now comes to most important parameter of the population density as far as an epidemic is concerned.

UK have 281.3 people/SQ KM while Kerala had more than 3 times of UK, ie, 892.9 people/SQ KM.

If consider vaccine shortage & population density, etc Kerala done a superior job!

While Kerala had 77% of its population as 18 plus, while UK had a similar number of 78.7%, both had almost same number of adults.

Also Kerala ensures a fair amount of data accuracy in comparison with other Indian States & Indian Government. Thanks to Govt, media, & opposition.

A robut health system without much urban-rural divide with a century old culture of creating health professionals and successive Governments which invested heavily in health and education are Kerala's strengths.

Of course, COVID being an epidemic tested our resilience.

COVID-19 is not to be treated like sprint, it should be treated like managing a marathon.

We should learn the limitations where State power can control such a once in hundred year phenomenon.

State capacity should be keep without getting fatigued or exhausted.

It is a recognition that Kerala is compared with the developed countries on its management of this epidemic.

Once we managed to vaccinate 90% of our 77% of population, which is the adult population, we perform better than UK.

END!

PS: I am always for comparing the infections or deaths as a percentage of the population rather than other parameters.

We should consider the population density & the spatial availability of health infra and health workers also.

My careless word choice...it is not export..it is IMPORT