The US far-right has hailed the Taliban victory. 'They hate what we hate, we can emulate their strategy, they bring closer the global ethnic civil war,' is the sick logic... but the parallels with Saigon are ominous 1/....
2/ The alt-right/Taliban mutual admiration network exists because both forces are philosophically anti-modern, anti-rational and anti-woman... medium.com/mosquito-ridge…
3/ But as @kathleen_belew points out, the parallels with America's defeat in Saigon are more than symbolic. Her study of the White Power movement in the 80s/90s shows defeat in Vietnam was a major impetus for its radicalisation and militarisation medium.com/mosquito-ridge…
4/ And as Russia specialists point out, it was Soviet defeat in Afghanistan that gave a major impetus to Russian fascism, and the ethno-nationalism of figures like Alexander Dugin... medium.com/mosquito-ridge…
5/ And lest we forget, it was the German stab-in-the-back myth that fuelled both the Freikorps and the Nazis... medium.com/mosquito-ridge…
6/ We are dealing with a fascism regrown for the networked and global era. It celebrates all defeats of liberal democracies, even its own, and all victories for violent misogyny and anti-rationalism... medium.com/mosquito-ridge…
What's the social-democratic answer to the care crisis? That's the question that should guide Labour today. The answer is 1/ As a universal social need, care should be free at the point of use and funded from general taxation... that's been a Labour value since the year dot...
2/ Nobody is asking Labour to design this on the back of an envelope but to state the principle. It may need a decade to get there, like zero net carbon, but the principle has to be clear... and here's why...
3/ Since health and social care need to integrate, and one is user pays and the other free at the point of use, over time the user pays principle will erode the NHS... so will hypothecation...
First reaction to Johnson's NI rise 1/ It's a clear reversal for the Tory right - Sunak promised before the last election to cut NI... but as a move it's regressive, and attacks the incomes of working age families...
2/ The cap and floors for the wealth grab don't solve the problem: a semi in Newbury sells for 400k, the average house sale in Leigh is a terrace for 112k - so all caps that are not proportional are regressive...
3/ There's nothing in this that improves care quality, availability, or even the fragility of the private care industry...
The Afghan debacle has re-set US foreign policy - to the narrow defence of US national security. It leaves Johnson’s foreign policy stance in ruins. 1/ In March the UK abandoned 75 years of commitment to defending “rules based international order” …socialeurope.eu/lost-an-empire…
2/ Instead the UK would enter “systemic competition” with Russia and China, aiming to shape the new order in space and cyber, and to duck and dive into the spaces created by US-Russian-China competition…
3/ The implicit assumption, both in defence tech, military structures and geopolitics was that the UK would coat-tail on the USA, and distance itself from Europe… well Biden’s speech just signalled how stupid that assumption was
I saw first hand how liberal interventionism & expeditionary mania ripped thru the political and media elite in 2001: what we should ask for now is simply the admission: we were wrong, its over, never again 1/ paulmasonnews.medium.com/while-you-were…
2/ Today we face much bigger dangers: the Saigon evacuation took place amid effective global stability; the 2020s will see peer rivalry grow - we need to learn the deep lessons of Afghanistan - our political system failed paulmasonnews.medium.com/while-you-were…
3/ There was no vote, no serious scrutiny of the 2001 and 2006 decisions on Afghan deployments. Cabinet failed, Parliament failed, military chiefs failed paulmasonnews.medium.com/while-you-were…
None of the @IPCC_CH geo-social scenarios captures how bad things are... the science is clear, governments still in the grip of a fossil-finance elite that's fragmenting the global system 1/ newstatesman.com/politics/envir…
2/ Reality is heading towards a mix of SSP3-4-&-5 ... unless we force a radical change ... but with what institutions/what allies? newstatesman.com/politics/envir…
3/ Because @johnmcdonnellMP committed to something close to what's needed in 2019, Labour activists got a taste of what's coming to all politicians if they commit to urgent mitigation: fear and incomprehension newstatesman.com/politics/envir…
Tell me again how the market delivers the structural+behavioural change needed to avoid this? #IPCCreport 1/ Short answer: it won't...
2/ We need to take control of the #COP26 agenda from below. Simple question for all national leaders: how does your proposed action lead to zero net carbon before 2050? Right now almost none can answer...
3/ ... because the kind of capitalism needed to deliver ZNC is unacceptable to the capitalists who exist, and they have monopolised power, finance, communications and the state...