Is Diversification a Mistake?

Listen to the experts👇🏽

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1/
Half the finance world screams

“DIVERSIFY”

and the other half scream

“NO”

What do you say?
• Warren Buffet

“Diversification is protection against ignorance, it’s a sound approach for a novice”

But….

“Diversification makes little sense for people who know what they are doing” Image
…… Warren Buffet reckons forcing yourself to diversify is a mistake.

“A really wonderful business is very well protected against shocks in the economy”

It’s better to have 3 quality businesses than 100 well known big businesses. In fact, it’s less risky….
……As Buffet puts it, “Why would I buy my 27th best business when I can add more to my second or third best business”??
• Peter Lynch

“It’s a huge mistake, I’d rather own one stock”

He is clearly against diversification, he recommends buying quality businesses instead.

He argues that buying mediocre businesses to balance a portfolio is insanity, because mediocre businesses go down. Image
• Monkish Pabrai

“Look at entrepreneurs -They usually have everything in their business”
(all their eggs in one basket betting on themselves)

“They don’t feel like they should sell their business to buy smaller stakes in many other businesses, they are happy with single bets. Image
…….. Monkish Pabrai
agrees with Buffet

“If you know what you are doing, diversification makes no sense, it seems like insanity to own 20 stocks”

Monkish follows a 10 by 10 portfolio

10 stocks with 10% on each, and in his personal portfolio he has about 5 stocks only.
2/
How many stocks should I own in my portfolio then?

First you must be able to:

- Identify the moat
- Know the industry
- Trust management
- Analyze debt levels
- Understand the business
- Be sure about future growth
- Identify long term compounders

Learn about moat👇🏽
3/
How do I even begin to evaluate a company?

Start here👇🏽
4/
When does diversification make sense?

•Active investors:
(Diversification makes no sense)

•Passive investors:
(Diversification makes sense)
5/
How many stocks do you have in your portfolio?
That’s the tweet, follow me @talkcentss for more financial threads.

You can expect:

- Stock research
- Property threads
- 10x investment ideas
•Recap

- If you know how to analyze businesses then it’s crazy to own over 20 stocks

- Having too many companies to track won’t be manageable

- Some diversification is a good idea protects against unforeseen calamities

- It’s possible to hold only 1 stock in your portfolio

• • •

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More from @talkcentss

7 Sep
Alibaba as an Investment Case

• What they do
• Revenue Breakdown
• Competitive advantage
• Whose buying the stock
• Risks of buying Alibaba
• Valuation

- Thread -
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Alibaba Group was established in 1999 by 18 people led by Jack Ma, a former English teacher from Hangzhou, China.

This Chinese multinational technology company that specializes in e-commerce and retail internet has built their business around the iron triangle.
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The Iron Triangle

Before we take a deep dive into understanding this triangle, we need to have a look at the core businesses of Alibaba first
Read 28 tweets
6 Sep
Here is the story of how I lost $500

The dark side of an unregulated NFT/Crypto Market.

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The craze begins with FOMO, those restless nights tossing and turning thinking everyone is getting rich but me.
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All these new twitter accounts talking about their new shiny NFTs, and how they went from $1000 to $1million in less than a few months.

Exacerbated by……
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6 Sep
Money Metaphors

Money Makes the world go around

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Investing is a marathon not a sprint

Translation,
investing takes time, don’t be in a rush to get rich quick. Image
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Liquidity is like oxygen,
you don’t notice that you need it until is not there.

Translation,
having cash available is important to be able to cover emergencies, or to be able to take advantage of market sell offs. Image
Read 14 tweets
27 Aug
Sibanye-Stillwater ( $SSW )

Why I continue to buy the stock

2021 (6 month Financials)👇🏽

- Thread -
1/
Safety Framework

It’s difficult to ever go with no accidents, it is part of the industry, but let’s see how this translates into numbers.
2/
Revenue

(Up to June 30th, 2021)

Diversified like this:

1. 48% = SA PGM
2. 22% = SA Gold
3. 17% = US PGM
4. 13% = PGM recycling

PGM = Platinum Group Metals

*The red line indicates debt.
Debt is going down while revenue is going up.

#markets
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23 Aug
You are losing money in the bank

Find out why 👇🏽

- Thread -
1/
We always hear people talking about inflation and interest rates.

But how does it affect me and the economy?

Let’s take a look
2/
Bank Deposit rate

This is the rate banks give you for depositing your money with them.

It’s a liability to them, but a method for them to borrow
(cost of liability)

They are effectively paying you 3.79% to borrow your money and their cost is getting cheaper.
Read 20 tweets
16 Aug
Purple Group Ltd

Should I buy now?

- Thread-
• Shareholders

As of June 10th, 2021 the biggest shareholders were:

1. Private Companies = 40.9%
2. General Public = 37.3%
3. Individual insiders = 13.1%
4. Institutions = 8.6%
•Ownership

Breaking it down further, we can see what companies and individuals have the largest holdings in Purple Group.

Let me point out some individuals have direct + indirect ownership of Purple Group.

Like Mark Barnes, who is a shareholder in (BVI)
Read 13 tweets

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