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31 Aug, 6 tweets, 3 min read
[The bull market is not over, phase 1 has just begun!]

1/7 Historically #Bitcoin cycles follow a pattern divided into 4 sequence. The starting point is the first mid-cycle top post Halving onward, this is an update of the recent charting I did.

Thread 👇👇
2/7 The yellow box is touched when prices make a mid-cycle top, historically the end-of-cycle top is only realized with Puell Multiple hitting the red box, this has been the case in all previous cycles.
3/7 It can be expected that the end top of the current valuation cycle will finish at least in the red box, leading prices to a new All Time High soon.

4/7 In order to mark the pattern, the 2011 and 2013 cycles also followed it in this way,

but the mid-cycle tops advanced not only in the yellow box, but all hit the red box.

5/7 In 2011 at least there were three tops left in the middle of the cycle, 2013 only a single top and 2017 also three tops before the all-time high.

6/7 We are still in the range below 2.00 with prices coming back over 50% from the historical top, meaning it is still time to buy.

7/7 Puell Multiple still signals #Bitcoin to be cheap.
Also read at Quicktake: cryptoquant.com/quicktake/612d…

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More from @gaah_im

G a a h Profile picture
8 Sep
1/5 Miners back accumulate from the correction to the support at $30,000, there were miners selling during the correction, but only to supplement cash as there was the ban in China and then they had to relocate to a different location.

Thread👇👇
I recently posted the pattern identified in the MPI, which shows when miners sell.

2/5 The Reserves show the time when they offered to sell, around $25,000 to $30,000 right at the beginning of the year.👇

It was a big, massive sell off, returning the Reserves to December 2019 levels.

3/5 Compared to the recent sell-off one can conclude that the miners tend to continue accumulation as the MPI is also in the yellow phase.👇
Read 5 tweets
G a a h Profile picture
7 Sep
HODLERS stronger than ever! #Bitcoin

1/5 SCA in record after record, HODLERS never stopped buying, they are accumulating more than ever.

Long-term holders aged 2-3 years and 12-18 months continue to accumulate strongly, as reflected in the SCA.

Follow the Thread👇👇
2/5 This indicator is the value of the sum of unspent coins, transaction output in live days, and their value.

Since testing support at $30,000 these guys have flipped their hand to buy.
3/5 We should keep an eye on holders aged 3-6 and 6-12 months, as @DanielJoe916 mapped out recently and made this part clear, they have absorbed practically all liquidity from the correction with long term holders.

Read 6 tweets
G a a h Profile picture
6 Sep
Time seems to tell about a new historical top! #Bitcoin

-Price starting from Halving:

Is it possible for this cycle to be the longest lasting?
It still has time if it repeats like 2016, as the previous cycle was longer compared to 2012.

Follow the Thread [6]👇👇 Image
-Price from the breaking of the last ATH:

It is earlier than all cycles. The historical suggestion is that there is still enough time to make new corrections as well as new ATHs. Image
1/6 2011 occurred 4 corrections with an average duration of 80 days. These being between -40% to -55% depth. Image
Read 10 tweets
G a a h Profile picture
3 Aug
$65,000 is not top end of #Bitcoin cycle, bull market is not over!

I recently did an article using MVRV to map the cycles and behavior during bear and bull market period

In this text you will see a new cycle mapping, but using another data, this time the Puell Mutiple

Thread👇
1. The mapped sequence tells the timing during Bitcoin's bull and bear market. The cycles are standardized and the movements are similar.

In all cycles there were tops in the middle of the bull market in which led the Puell Multiple towards the green box (bottom|buy region) 👇
signaling the best buying moment during the bull market, the MVRV indicator also indicated this moment.

2. The red box marked ALL of #Bitcoin 's END-CYCLE TOPS, and see how the $65,000 top arrived only in the yellow box, which also signals tops, but not end-of-cycle tops.
Read 30 tweets
G a a h Profile picture
24 Jul
[Short sales are becoming more aggressive] #Bitcoin

Short sell-offs begin to be more aggressive since the first trap below major support at $30,000

Since COVID DAY when we had sell-offs at the same level, that volume has been going up as price has also followed.

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We are now at this same level and descending from the historical top, ready to start going up in volume slaughtering the bears?

Also read by Quicktake: cryptoquant.com/quicktake/60fb…
The whales are starting to fill up again right after the traps below major support.
Read 5 tweets
G a a h Profile picture
23 Jul
[We are still in the bull market] #Bitcoin

You can also see it from Quicktake: cryptoquant.com/quicktake/60fa…

👇👇To view all the details of the data presented follow the thread👇👇
1. I recently posted a Quicktake saying that we are not in a bear market and did the comparison of the current cycle with the previous cycle, 2017 using the MVRV. Now, we have the full chart from the first moves to the first Halving and the 2013 cycle which is quite similar to...
current bull run that has not been reversed yet.

2. The yellow box is the best time to sell and the box in green signals the best time to buy, already below in the box in blue is a peculiar moment that happens only in bear market after hitting a top in prices near the Halving .. Image
Read 29 tweets

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