Time seems to tell about a new historical top! #Bitcoin
-Price starting from Halving:
Is it possible for this cycle to be the longest lasting?
It still has time if it repeats like 2016, as the previous cycle was longer compared to 2012.
Follow the Thread [6]👇👇
-Price from the breaking of the last ATH:
It is earlier than all cycles. The historical suggestion is that there is still enough time to make new corrections as well as new ATHs.
1/6 2011 occurred 4 corrections with an average duration of 80 days. These being between -40% to -55% depth.
2/6 2013 only a single correction of -75% depth, it took about 210 days to resume the last top. After a brief price rebound after the big dip, in 36 days it fell -50%, from here on it only recovered high again.
3/6 2017 occurred 3 price corrections, with an average duration of 35 days to resume the last top and trend continuation. The depth of the dips were between -30% to -40%.
4/6 It already currently went through a correction earlier this year and is now going through a second one that we can only really confirm after breaking the last top ($65,000). The corrections are between -30% to -55% depth. 👇
It took about 30 days to recover the first retracement, while the correction that is still in effect is 140 days from the last top.
5/6 There is a brief resemblance to the first cycle, although the corrections were more aggressive and in greater numbers.👇
If this cycle gets even more similar to 2011 in the pattern of corrections, there are still 2 corrections to contend with, suggesting new ATH.
Still also equal in the corrective aspect in quantity compared to 2017, as retracements were less aggressive in terms of percentage.
6/6 Looking from Halving, the top of 2011 and 2013 were faster, as 2017 took longer than all so far, this may be the case again. The current cycle is longer than all previous ones, including 2017.
The cycles are similar in the technical aspect and correction pattern.👇
The point is: The moments that occurred in the past have similarities to the present movements, the suggestion is that we still go higher!
1/5 Miners back accumulate from the correction to the support at $30,000, there were miners selling during the correction, but only to supplement cash as there was the ban in China and then they had to relocate to a different location.
Thread👇👇
I recently posted the pattern identified in the MPI, which shows when miners sell.
2/5 The Reserves show the time when they offered to sell, around $25,000 to $30,000 right at the beginning of the year.👇
1/5 SCA in record after record, HODLERS never stopped buying, they are accumulating more than ever.
Long-term holders aged 2-3 years and 12-18 months continue to accumulate strongly, as reflected in the SCA.
Follow the Thread👇👇
2/5 This indicator is the value of the sum of unspent coins, transaction output in live days, and their value.
Since testing support at $30,000 these guys have flipped their hand to buy.
3/5 We should keep an eye on holders aged 3-6 and 6-12 months, as @DanielJoe916 mapped out recently and made this part clear, they have absorbed practically all liquidity from the correction with long term holders.
[The bull market is not over, phase 1 has just begun!]
1/7 Historically #Bitcoin cycles follow a pattern divided into 4 sequence. The starting point is the first mid-cycle top post Halving onward, this is an update of the recent charting I did.
Thread 👇👇
2/7 The yellow box is touched when prices make a mid-cycle top, historically the end-of-cycle top is only realized with Puell Multiple hitting the red box, this has been the case in all previous cycles.
3/7 It can be expected that the end top of the current valuation cycle will finish at least in the red box, leading prices to a new All Time High soon.
4/7 In order to mark the pattern, the 2011 and 2013 cycles also followed it in this way,
$65,000 is not top end of #Bitcoin cycle, bull market is not over!
I recently did an article using MVRV to map the cycles and behavior during bear and bull market period
In this text you will see a new cycle mapping, but using another data, this time the Puell Mutiple
Thread👇
1. The mapped sequence tells the timing during Bitcoin's bull and bear market. The cycles are standardized and the movements are similar.
In all cycles there were tops in the middle of the bull market in which led the Puell Multiple towards the green box (bottom|buy region) 👇
signaling the best buying moment during the bull market, the MVRV indicator also indicated this moment.
2. The red box marked ALL of #Bitcoin 's END-CYCLE TOPS, and see how the $65,000 top arrived only in the yellow box, which also signals tops, but not end-of-cycle tops.
1. I recently posted a Quicktake saying that we are not in a bear market and did the comparison of the current cycle with the previous cycle, 2017 using the MVRV. Now, we have the full chart from the first moves to the first Halving and the 2013 cycle which is quite similar to...
current bull run that has not been reversed yet.
2. The yellow box is the best time to sell and the box in green signals the best time to buy, already below in the box in blue is a peculiar moment that happens only in bear market after hitting a top in prices near the Halving ..