Thread: Risk hai toh ishq hai ?

1) A lot of people talking about today’s freak trade in 37100 PE in BNF

We as traders are always exposed to various types of risk and it’s a part of our business.

Let me highlight certain risk faced in past years & also ways to manage it
2) Gap Risk

18th may 2009

Markets opened at 9:55 AM as this was the market opening time at that time
Nifty immediately hit an 20 % upper circuit at 10.01 am and the markets froze.
So markets were open only for 6 minutes.

There are many such instances of overnight gaps
3) Vega Risk

On 24th August 2015, the Indian markets declined close to 5.92%.

Nifty around 490 points but something unusual happened on that day.

Far otm Call options shot up inspite of such a huge fall😲

Vix shot up 64%
4)Gamma Risk

26th sept 2019

It was an expiry day and 30000 CE went from 50 to 1000+ in minutes and eventually closed at 0

This move caused lot of leveraged traders to lose a significant amount of their capital
Many such instances of gamma risk on expiry day
5) Flash Crash

31st may 2019

Flash crash in Banknifty of 1000+ points.

Friday’s high of the Bank Nifty was 31,783 and the low point of the index was 30,623

Such flash crash has been seen in many stocks as well on other instances
6) Black swan risk

13th march 2020

Nifty hit 10% lower circuit and trading was halted for 45 mins and when the circuit opened markets rallied and close around 4% in the green.

Sensex which was 3300 points down in the morning, at day end closed at 1300 points in the positive😲
7) Algo/Execution Risk

August 1, 2012

Due to algo issue Knight capital did 397 million shares and assumed a net long position in 80 stocks of approximately $3.5 billion as well as a net short position in 74 stocks of approximately $3.15 billion. Knight lost over $460 million
8) Price can below 0 as well

21st april 2020

A historic drop occurred on April 20, when the price of West Texas Intermediate crude dropped by almost 300%, trading at around negative $37 per barrel.
9) Exchange issue(Technical Glitch)

On 24th Feb 2021, NSE faced a technical glitch for the entire day and trading was halted.

This caused a lot of issue and completely out of a hands of a trader
10) Liquidity Risk

This happened with me

I had sold justdial 500 CE on MIS when spot was at 485. I had sold 2.68 L qty and was in profit of 1.5 L at 3.19
But at 3:20, my mtm was -18.3 L

Lost 20 L in a minute due to liquity risk (see response from @zerodhaonline to understand)
11) Risk and ways to manage !

I have highlighted some common risk and ways to manage it

See the image below
12) As a trader, we have signed up for these risks and we cannot complain about it. All we can do is be prepared & manage them

-Never take the markets lightly
-Anything can happen anytime in the markets
-Be aware of the risk you are exposed to
-Manage risk at all times

End

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More from @sourabhsiso19

9 Sep
How to become more productive & achieve results🧵

1) An important concept that I learnt last year and which has helped me immensely is “Non Zero Day”

There should be no zero days.

What's a zero day?

A zero day is when you don't do a single thing towards your dream or goal
2) Didnt' do anything all day and it's 11:58 PM?

Write one sentence.
One pushup.
Read one page of that chapter.
Write one line of code.

One. Because one is non zero.
3) Turning your dreams into reality doesn’t happen magically.
It happens from a massive string of CONSISTENT NON ZEROS.

0.99^ 365 =0.03 but
1.01 ^ 365 = 37.8

Small improvements daily add to to great results overtime
Read 8 tweets
1 Aug
Power of Desire (Thread)

1) The Story of Edwin C. Barnes

“There is but one thing in this world that I am determined to have, and that is a business association with Thomas A. Edison. I will burn all bridges behind me and stake my entire future on my ability to get what I want” Image
2) But Barnes had no invention to his name, no particular skills of use, and couldn’t scrape together the meager amount of money it’d take to pay his rail fare to New Jersey(where Edison lived)
3) He had no money, no guarantee he’d even get to meet the legendary inventor, nothing promising to offer Mr. Edison should he cross paths with him, and absolutely no hint of a reason to believe that Edison would take him on in any capacity.

All Barnes did have was desire🏆 Image
Read 13 tweets
15 Jun
Thread : Tech Stack at our Company

1) Technology is at the core of how we approach trading & we consider ourselves as much a technology company as a trading firm.

The tech team has remained under the hood so let me introduce the team & the tech stack used.

#Technologies
2) Django :

We use the Django framework for most of our web apps (in house scanners) as it encourages rapid development & clean, pragmatic design.
3) Python

Python is extensively used for backtesting as various open-source modules like pandas, NumPy, Talib, Backtrader, FFN, Matplotlib, and many more data analytics & visualization tools are built on top of it.

Python helps us in analysing large datasets in a easy way
Read 9 tweets
17 Feb
Thread :

How I turned -7 L to +1 L intraday ?

1) In the morning, I had created 37000 PE and 31700 CE as per the system.
But BNF fell initially 400 points and 37000 PE SL got hit at 400

And MTM at 10 am was - 2 L due to PE SL hit.

#trading #system
2) As 37000 PE got hit, I sold 36500 PE around 100.

So open position now were
36500 PE sell &
37100 CE sell

But to my dismay now bnf rallied almost 600 points from day low😖 & due to IV spike strangle lost 100 points & I exited everything.

MTM loss now was around -7 L :(
3) I was almost near my daily loss limit, took one last trade as today being a wednesday there’s good theta decay.

I created :
36500 PE 6500 qty
37100 PE 5000 qty
& 37200 CE 11500 qty
Read 8 tweets
15 Jan
Thread:
As 2021 begins, I would like to highlight the importance of perseverance & positive thinking.

The aim of this thread is to motivate people to stay committed to their goals.

Sharing few of accomplishments which I never thought would have been possible.

Dream BIG !
1)I did a 2 day quantitative trading seminar @iitbombay focussed on system driven trading and got a great response.

Being a introvert,I always shied speaking on the stage & this was my first public speaking apperance & learnt the importance of people’s skills.
2) Seeing my IIT Bombay seminar post, I got approached by @JBIMS, a top MBA institute to share my insights on system driven and markets for their MBA students.

I realised the importance of brand building and self promotion.
Read 21 tweets
5 Jan
Thread :

Today I suggested Naukri on on @CNBC_Awaaz and hit upper circuit.

So why did I recommend Naukri (InfoEdge) ?

Analysis

1) Trend :

It was trading at all time high which indicates strong bullish trend

#trading #stocks
2) Strength of Trend:

The red candle formed on 21st dec (circled) was immediately rejected the next day.

This indicates the strength of bulls.
3) Sign of a leader :

I like to buy stocks which have already doubled from 52 week low and hit a new high every 6 months.

Naukri was around 1600 in March 20 and is almost 3 x and satisifies the critera
Read 5 tweets

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