#Armenia decided to widen the conflict with #Azerbaijan with a lawsuit at the International Court of Justice #ICJ. It is actually good for Azerbaijan. It is also a non-starter that will backfire on Armenia for these reasons:
1) Armenia does this on behalf of itself and a nonexistent separatist entity it created to confuse world community and minimize responsibility by the name of "Republic of artsakh". It's not serious to do this in a serious venue. ICJ is for recognized legitimate nation-states.
2) Armenia illegally militarily occupied Azerbaijan for 29 years, since 1991. It killed 25,000 Azerbaijani civilians, it ethnically cleansed 800,000 Azerbaijanis & Kurds, it destroyed their homes and infrastructure, it mined everything and stole and demolished cultural heritage.
3) #Azerbaijan will finally counter-sue after talking about it for 20 years. And Azerbaijanis, being real victims, have a much stronger foundation for claims of not just discrimination, but damages that are quantifiable and greater than #Armenia's by several orders of magnitude.
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In this thread we will reveal the demographics of the Karabakh (Nagorno-Karabakh) region since the Russian survey of 1810 till the last Soviet census of 1989/1990. (the Azerbaijani kingdom -- Karabakh Khanate -- signed the Kurekchay Treaty with the Russian Empire in 1805)
according to Armenian Gen. Tormasov of Russian Imperial Army in Karabakh in 1810 there were:
for decades we hear Armenian propaganda & nearly all media shamelessly falsify the historical record about Armenians being majority in "Nagorno-Karabakh". Note the terminology - "Nagorno-Karabakh" vs. Karabakh - it's very important to understand this nuance.
"Nagorno" is the Russian for "mountainous" & is a later add-on, a 20th century invention, to the historic name of Karabakh (that Azerbaijani word [consists of Turkic "kara" & Persian "bagh" - thus Azerbaijani], which means black garden, dates back to around 13th century).
Thus, historically, there was only one Karabakh region, with fairly stable borders. And Azerbaijanis, and before them their ancestors the Caucasian Albanians, have been a majority in that region at all time. At no time have Armenians been a majority in that region.
however, for a reformed & modernized #AzerbaijaniArmy conducting essentially a #counterterrorism liberation campaign in the #Karabakh mountains will not be harder than it would be for the #ArmenianArmy to try to hold on.
In an interesting twist of events & fate, waging war in the mountains of the occupied Karabakh would probably be harder or as hard for the #ArmenianArmy because:
1) they didn't prepare for it there as much
2) their C&C as well as special forces have been decimated
3) falling leaves will expose everything from above, so that natural defense will be nill in the winter
4) drones with IR cameras are going to be very effective, as would be the A.I. in TB2 UAVs that notices movement on the ground & alerts operator