Thread : An expensive lesson in Risk Managmenent 🧵
1) I would like to share my nerve wracking experience that forever imbibed in me the importance of risk management.
On Aug 2016, I lost -20L in a minute,what lessons I learnt from this incident & how did I bounce back !
2) On August 2016, I suffered my highest intraday loss of 18 lacs due to a unknown risk.
I had shorted Just Dial 500 CE & was in a profit of 1.3 lacs at 3:19 pm. But to my dismay, at 3:20 pm, I saw a whopping loss of 18 lacs. In less than 60 seconds, I had lost over 20 lacs.
3) I had huge qty in Just Dial CE but as my position was huge and Just Dial being an illiquid script. My position got squared from 0 to 10 Rs. I was in 1.3 L profit at 3.19 & 3:20 -18 L.
Lost almost 20 L in a min
Check my email to @zerodhaonline and their reply to understand
4) I was totally upset as I never thought that I could lose so much due to illiquidity.
There was nothing wrong with system or risk management but this was a risk which I was never aware.
This made me believe in risk management ever then before.
5) That was quite a hard time for me and I started doubting my trading abilities.
I couldn’t digest the fact that in 60 seconds I lost -20 L due to illiqudity :(
This was the lowest point of my trading career and the future looked gloomy☹️ as confidence was badly shaken !
6) Inspite of the huge loss, I kept following my system.
Market were kind🙏 & I made the highest ever profit in % term in next 3 months.
Almost 75L profit in 3 months from sept 2016 to Dec 2016.
Check the PnL attached !
7) I thanked God for helping me sail through the painful drawdown.
After this incident, I vowed that I’ll never take the markets lightly and always manage my risk at all times.
8) On 21st Sept 2018, I had sold 330 PE overnight and YesBank opened 10% lower and closed the day at -33%. But I survived as I bought 320 put as protection.
If I had not bought 320 PE then would have lost 10 L
I managed overnight risk also after an expensive lesson in Just Dial
9) Ms. Nirmala Sitaraman Candle
On 21st Sept 2019, BankNifty rallied almost 10% intraday with huge IV spike in calls.
I had 27200 CE sold and booked loss in that at 220. The same option was trading at 2230 few hours later.
Would have lost heavily if I had not managed my risk
10) Demonetisation
- Surgical Strike
- Flash Crash in March 19
- Lower Circuit on index in March 20
Have survived all major black swans without any major loss.
After making huge losses at the start of my career, I have realised that good trading is all about managing risk.
11) I have been in drawdowns several times since then but never lost the convinction to follow my systems.
Drawdowns are inevitable for a trader.
We can only manage risk & follow our systems.
Never take markets lightly & never make a loss so big that affects you emotionally
12) Consistent success in trading lies in effective management of risk & sticking to your system even through prolonged periods of drawdown.
13)Rules I follow to manage Risk
- Never open any trade without knowing the initial risk ( R)
- Define PnL in terms of R
- Limit losses under 1 R and profits should be >1 R
14) Read this book
Van Tharp’s Definitive guide to position sizing
It’s a great book risk management & position sizing
-Focus on risk management & types of risks
-Backtest &Follow your systems with conviction
-Don’t be afraid of losses & drawdown as no system can make money all the time
Goodluck on your Trading Journey !
-End
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1) A lot of people talking about today’s freak trade in 37100 PE in BNF
We as traders are always exposed to various types of risk and it’s a part of our business.
Let me highlight certain risk faced in past years & also ways to manage it
2) Gap Risk
18th may 2009
Markets opened at 9:55 AM as this was the market opening time at that time
Nifty immediately hit an 20 % upper circuit at 10.01 am and the markets froze.
So markets were open only for 6 minutes.
There are many such instances of overnight gaps
3) Vega Risk
On 24th August 2015, the Indian markets declined close to 5.92%.
Nifty around 490 points but something unusual happened on that day.
Far otm Call options shot up inspite of such a huge fall😲
“There is but one thing in this world that I am determined to have, and that is a business association with Thomas A. Edison. I will burn all bridges behind me and stake my entire future on my ability to get what I want”
2) But Barnes had no invention to his name, no particular skills of use, and couldn’t scrape together the meager amount of money it’d take to pay his rail fare to New Jersey(where Edison lived)
3) He had no money, no guarantee he’d even get to meet the legendary inventor, nothing promising to offer Mr. Edison should he cross paths with him, and absolutely no hint of a reason to believe that Edison would take him on in any capacity.
We use the Django framework for most of our web apps (in house scanners) as it encourages rapid development & clean, pragmatic design.
3) Python
Python is extensively used for backtesting as various open-source modules like pandas, NumPy, Talib, Backtrader, FFN, Matplotlib, and many more data analytics & visualization tools are built on top of it.
Python helps us in analysing large datasets in a easy way
Thread:
As 2021 begins, I would like to highlight the importance of perseverance & positive thinking.
The aim of this thread is to motivate people to stay committed to their goals.
Sharing few of accomplishments which I never thought would have been possible.
Dream BIG !
1)I did a 2 day quantitative trading seminar @iitbombay focussed on system driven trading and got a great response.
Being a introvert,I always shied speaking on the stage & this was my first public speaking apperance & learnt the importance of people’s skills.
2) Seeing my IIT Bombay seminar post, I got approached by @JBIMS, a top MBA institute to share my insights on system driven and markets for their MBA students.
I realised the importance of brand building and self promotion.