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Tobias Harris Profile picture
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24 Sep, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Can I recommend some massive threads for those who will be in attendance?
On her book:

And the biographical thread:

I hope someone asks her about this quote in particular. The idea that if you're acting in the name of defending the nation you can brush aside critics is troubling.

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Tobias Harris Profile picture
23 Sep
This column in Sankei by Abiru Rui, a Sankei writer who also wrote several rather hagiographic books about Abe, is an extremely helpful look at how the right wing sees Kono. My quick reading follows.
He opens by noting his anxiety about Kono's basing his campaign on his "ability to breakthrough" challenges. He says that Kono's vague promises that can be easily ignored are reminiscent of the DPJ.
(Has anyone done systematic study on the uses of the DPJ in right-wing rhetoric?)
Read 16 tweets
Tobias Harris Profile picture
21 Sep
In my latest for @NikkeiAsia, I consider how Abe's legacy is shaping the LDP race. asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Shinzo…
Some excerpts: "This year's leadership contest reveals the extent to which his premiership continues to shape and constrain the choices available to Japan's leaders."
"It is increasingly apparent that Abe left his successors a toolbox -- fiscal and monetary stimulus, state-led industrial policy, more activist foreign policy led by a strengthened prime minister's office -- but not a road map."
Read 5 tweets
Tobias Harris Profile picture
18 Sep
The LDP's campaign website includes the "manifestos" for each of the candidates. Here's a brief guide.
1) Noda Seiko (@noda_seiko93)
Slogan: Politics that can be understood by anyone
She's less a moderate than an outright liberal, particularly in the LDP. Her statement is focused on fostering a "paradigm shift" that accommodates a more diverse society.
…in.jp-east-2.storage.api.nifcloud.com/sousai21/pdf/n…
Her platform is to "trust the experts" on Covid-19; realize child-centered politics; fairness towards women, the elderly, persons with disabilities, LGBTQ (allow separate surnames); endorses decarbonization, focuses on renewables but nothing about nuclear.
Read 35 tweets
Tobias Harris Profile picture
17 Sep
Definitely keep an eye on this spreadsheet tracking which MPs are supporting which candidate.
Suffice to say, the path to Kono -- or any candidate -- winning in the first round is exceedingly narrow.
That's based not just on the estimated MP votes but also after playing around with the trust D'Hondt method PR calculator. icon.cat/util/elections
Read 9 tweets
Tobias Harris Profile picture
17 Sep
I'm starting a thread for stray thoughts about the #自民党総裁選.
Kono's popularity and quirky communication style mask the extent to which he's actually quite similar to Suga. Very good with the details of policy, less good at the "vision thing." This was one of the striking things about his book.
Kishida has declared an end to neoliberal policy, but he's about ten years too late. Abe just wasn't a neoliberalism; his legacy is neo-statism.

foreignaffairs.com/articles/japan…
Read 6 tweets
Tobias Harris Profile picture
17 Sep
I turn it on and immediately hear Kono talking about the importance of following the data, which is very on brand.
Candidates
This is kind of amusing and very Japanese TV. They're holding placards showing who they want to question.
Read 7 tweets

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